Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Aaron Schatz's blog

Week 5 DVOA Ratings
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Week 5 DVOA Ratings

The Giants lead the NFL in DVOA after five weeks and are playing better than most people seem to realize. The same can be said for the surprising teams in second and third place, who are a combined 4-5.

86 comments, Last at 13 Oct 2008, 3:46pm by Hank

Updating Northern California Symposium on Statistics and Operations Research in Sports

Our good friend Ben Alamar asked us to pass this along; he's putting on this conference on sports statistics and operations research. It's October 18 in Atherton, California, down near Palo Alto, and there are a lot of interesting football papers being presented -- I'm particularly interested to read the ones on play-calling and an attempt to use "new growth theory" (whatever that is) to quantify coaching. We've tried a few different things to quantify the effects of coaching, and we haven't had any success. Anyway, the more academically-inclined Bay Area FO readers should consider attending.

14 comments, Last at 06 Oct 2008, 2:59pm by Boston Dan

DVOA Chile (Slight Return)

A slight update on DVOA after Monday Night Football (click link for more.)

17 comments, Last at 02 Oct 2008, 12:02pm by jonnyblazin
Week 4 DVOA Ratings
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Week 4 DVOA Ratings

It's the NFC East's world, and we're all just living in it. The league's toughest division puts four teams in the top eight this week, including the second-best 2-2 team in DVOA history.

80 comments, Last at 06 Oct 2008, 4:56pm by Anonymous

Aaron Schatz on B.S. Report

Here's a link to this week's B.S. Report, I'll be appearing this season roughly every three or four weeks. This week, Bill Simmons and I talk about the Patriots' loss to Miami (from a Pats fan perspective, of course), what the schedule means for the Buffalo Bills, and whether or not the Cowboys will develop an offense to challenge the 2007 Pats, 1999 Rams, and 1994 49ers among the all-time greats. Link goes to Bill Simmons page, look on right side for podcast.

18 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2008, 4:41pm by nibiyabi

SITE NEWS: Midseason KUBIAK Update Now Available

The midseason KUBIAK update is now available for download. All projections have been updated based on DAVE ratings as well as changes in player roles over the past three weeks. Projections are done for the remainder of the season, not including the past three weeks. IDP are not done. The zip file you will download contains both the midseason update and the final preseason KUBIAK (team defense version) for comparison purposes.

EPC: Jake Long

In his latest Every Play Counts (new home on AOL version), Michael David Smith looks at Jake Long's performance in last week's huge Miami upset of New England, and finds that he's a dominating run blocker.

20 comments, Last at 24 Sep 2008, 9:23pm by Sisyphus
Week 3 DVOA Ratings
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Week 3 DVOA Ratings

DAVE likes the Eagles, while VOA likes the Ravens and Giants. But the real story this year is at the bottom of the league, where we launch a feature they've been dreading from Missouri to Michigan.

98 comments, Last at 20 Nov 2009, 11:08am by Dana DeArmond

Top Small Running Backs

In honor of Darren Sproles, this week's MNF feature takes a look at the top 10 small running backs (maximum 5-foot-9 and 200 pounds) since the AFL-NFL merger. Two of the top three are playing right now.

8 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2008, 12:52pm by tally

FO Mailbag: The Mark of Zastudil

Where does Dave Zastudil's performance in Week 2 stand among the great moments in punting history? (Click to read more.)

10 comments, Last at 22 Sep 2008, 8:42am by pawnking