Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Aaron Schatz's blog

NFL Needs to Change How Rookies Are Paid

Finally, a reason to get excited about the Week 17 Washington-San Francisco game. Vernon Davis is totally going to want to kick Chris Cooley's ass after he reads this. Cooley sure does have a point, though.

72 comments, Last at 02 May 2008, 5:33pm by MJK

FO on ESPN.com: Adding Star WR Rarely Improves Team

After the recent success of Terrell Owens and Randy Moss, teams are chomping at the bit to trade for Chad Johnson. But Owens and Moss aside, adding a star receiver doesn't generally lead to significant improvement. Losing a star receiver, however, usually leads to decline.

29 comments, Last at 28 Apr 2008, 9:59pm by Alex

Jared Allen to Vikings

Officially, as of tomorrow. Are the Vikings a quarterback away from being the best team in the NFC? Jared Allen is a great player. This is a serious coup for Minnesota. The Chiefs will receive Minnesota's first-round pick (17th overall) and two third-rounders. while the Chiefs will make Allen the highest-paid defensive lineman in football, surpassing Dwight Freeney.

144 comments, Last at 29 Apr 2008, 3:11am by t.d.

Dolphins Have Contract with Jake Long

And the St. Louis Rams are on the clock.

50 comments, Last at 24 Apr 2008, 5:10am by Xeynon

Remember Taco Wallace?

Somebody's been having some fun with the Wikipedia.

22 comments, Last at 20 Apr 2008, 7:46pm by ineedawittyname

Steve McNair Retires

Big news out of Baltimore, where Steve McNair will be announcing his retirement at 1pm Eastern. A little bit of a surprise, I suppose, but only because McNair has not been the subject of non-stop Hamlet-like "will he or won't he" debate for years like Brett Favre has been. The guy is 35, has loads of injuries, and is coming off his worst year, so this is a good time. I don't think McNair has Hall of Fame credentials, but I hope that he is remembered as a player who worked hard to make himself better.

44 comments, Last at 21 Apr 2008, 3:26pm by Bobman

FO Mailbag: Reggie Bush Similarity Scores

Reggie Bush is a unique player, but one running back of the last 30 years had a similar start to his career. A hint? Think orange creamsicles. (Click link to read more.)

35 comments, Last at 15 Apr 2008, 10:22am by Rich Conley

FO on ESPN: Odom Will Miss Playing Alongside Haynesworth

Here is part II of my look at quarterback hits. This time, I look at defenses, including a weird little trend involving Tennessee and what that might mean for the 2008 Bengals. Because I needed to focus this more on one story for ESPN, we cut out the table that would have shown the ten defenses with the FEWEST knockdowns, so here is that list for the benefit of FO readers:

Houston: 7.6% (18 adjusted hits, 28 sacks with hit)
Carolina: 8.3% (29 hits/20 sacks)
Atlanta: 8.9% (33 hits/18 sacks)
San Francisco: 9.3% (27 hits/29 sacks)
Buffalo: 9.9% (38 hits/22 sacks)

13 comments, Last at 05 Apr 2008, 2:41pm by Ryan Mc

FO on ESPN: Quarterback Abuse 2007

This week's ESPN.com column looks at which quarterbacks were knocked to the ground most often in 2007, and which offenses protected quarterbacks the best when we count both sacks and hits. I know, I know, people will complain that this is yet another Patriots-centric article, but I was wracking my brain trying to figure out a good anchor for the piece, and it was the only thing I could come up with. We'll look at defenses (and defenders) with the most hits next week.

23 comments, Last at 01 Apr 2008, 9:40pm by Will Allen

Crowded Agenda Includes Proposal to Re-Seed Playoffs

Here's John Clayton with a look forward to the owner's meetings in West Palm Beach this weekend. Mark me down as being against the playoff seeding change -- we constantly talk about how much it means to win your division, so it should really mean something to win your division. I'm also in favor of allowing a radio in one defensive helmet, and increasing roster size to make up for not having NFL Europe exemptions. As you already know, I think the hair length rule is possibly the dumbest rule change proposal in the history of professional sports.

57 comments, Last at 29 Mar 2008, 10:41pm by Least Common Denominator