Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Aaron Schatz's blog

Sports Info Solutions Seeks 2018 Football Video Scouts

Here's a chance to work with our partners at Sports Info Solutions, putting together the charting data that will be used in Football Outsiders Almanac, on the Off The Charts Podcast, and by NFL and NCAA teams. (Click to read more.)

Open 2018 NFL Draft Thread

This is an open thread for discussion of the 2018 NFL draft. You can use this thread all night Thursday night during the first round, or to discuss the aftermath of Round 1 the next day, and then again Friday night (Rounds 2-3) and Saturday (Rounds 4-7). We will also have our annual Audibles at the Line staff discussions from the first two nights, published on Friday and Saturday mornings.

146 comments, Last at 01 May 2018, 9:09am by jtr

Off The Charts Podcast: 2018 Draft Edition

We've got a special treat for you, a big, long 50-minute special edition draft preview Off The Charts football podcast. There are tons of SIS college charting stats you won't find anywhere else, including breakdowns of the top quarterback prospects. Learn how Josh Allen doesn't always suck, and how Lamar Jackson changes defensive strategy. Plus, who had the best man coverage stats of the top cornerback prospects, what routes were the best for the top receiver prospects, and which other top offensive lineman had even more impressive blown block stats than Quenton Nelson.

The Taxing World of NFL Player Finances

Fascinating article from The MMQB about the complicated world of tax filing for NFL players. They owe state taxes based on where they play and practice, not where they live, which means filing a number of different state returns each year. It also means that playing teams in tax-free states can dramatically change a player's net income, to the point where it makes sense to specifically spend the bye week in a tax-free state.

20 comments, Last at 21 Apr 2018, 3:37pm by The Ninjalectual

Patriots Deal Brandin Cooks to Rams

A shocking NFL trade. As first announced by Adam Schefter on Twitter, the Patriots are dealing Brandin Cooks -- after only one year in New England -- plus a fourth-round pick to the Los Angeles Rams for the Rams' first-round pick (23rd overall) and a sixth-round pick. Cooks will fill the Sammy Watkins role in the Rams offense, opening up space underneath for Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. The Patriots essentially rented Cooks for one year and used that year to upgrade from the 32nd pick in 2017 to the 23rd pick in 2018.

85 comments, Last at 13 Apr 2018, 11:59pm by The Ninjalectual

TruMedia Seeks Graphic Designer

Our friends at TruMedia have asked us to post this job listing. Good way to take your first steps into the sports analytics business! (Click to read more.)

QBASE 2018
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

QBASE 2018

Our statistical evaluation of the draft's top quarterback prospects finds one name way out in front, a tight cluster of names in the middle, and one name falling way behind.

30 comments, Last at 12 Apr 2018, 4:28pm by Aaron Schatz

NFL Outlaws Lowering Head to Initiate Contact

Let's have some rule changes! The NFL is always tweaking the product, but we've got a couple of big ones this year. One of them announced today is this: "It is a foul if a player lowers his head to initiate and make contact with his helmet against an opponent. The player may be disqualified. Applies to any player anywhere on the field." That means this isn't just a headhunting rule... it also applies to ballcarriers lowering their heads to try to get tough yards.

37 comments, Last at 05 Apr 2018, 6:28pm by Joshua Northey

QBASE 2018 (ESPN version)

Here are our QBASE projections for the Class of 2018. Baker Mayfield ends up with one of the best QBASE projections of all-time, and Josh Allen has one of the worst projections ever for a first-round pick. Everyone else is grouped in the middle. This will also run here on FO late next week.

9 comments, Last at 28 Mar 2018, 2:11pm by mehllageman56

2018 Franchise Tag Discussion (Latest: Bell/Joyner)

Here's a running thread to discuss announcements on franchise tags. (Click to read more.)

94 comments, Last at 17 Mar 2018, 2:08am by Jerry