Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Aaron Schatz's blog

Frank Reich to Be Indianapolis Head Coach

The Colts have quickly found a new head coach after the Josh McDaniels debacle, agreeing to terms with Philadelphia offensive coordinator Frank Reich. What I find interesting here is that Eagles QB coach John DeFilippo agreed to leave to become offensive coordinator in Minnesota just two days ago, even though he knew Reich was interviewing in Indianapolis. I wonder why he didn't wait a couple days to see if the Eagles' OC position might be opening up.

42 comments, Last at 23 Feb 2018, 8:28pm by LionInAZ

49ers Make Garoppolo Highest-Paid Player

The 49ers and Jimmy Garoppolo have agreed to a five-year, $137.5 million contract, source says. The biggest deal in NFL history on a average-per-year basis, until Kirk Cousins signs his next contract. In case you were wondering why Handsome Jimmy G. did not want to stay in New England as Tom Brady's backup for the $17-$18 million they allegedly offered him in a contract extension, this is why.

161 comments, Last at 23 Feb 2018, 10:19pm by Broncos2015 ---- formerly Ninjalectual

ESPN: Projecting Top 10 Picks in 2019 NFL Draft

Is this way too early and a little ridiculous? Yes! Did I do it anyway when the ESPN editors asked? Yes! On average, two playoff teams will decline enough to pick in the top 10 of the following draft, and I think you can guess which two playoff teams got into the article.

3 comments, Last at 24 Feb 2018, 4:51am by Stech

McDaniels Turns Down Colts, Stays with Pats

Sources tell ESPN's Adam Schefter that McDaniels will not accept the Colts' head coaching job, and will instead remain with New England. Huge, if true. This is the very definition of breaking, so we'll see what happens.

253 comments, Last at 13 Feb 2018, 1:12pm by ssereb

Open Super Bowl LII Discussion

Here's your thread for open discussion of Super Bowl LII, Philadelphia vs. New England, leading up to the game on February 4, then during and after the game.

190 comments, Last at 13 Feb 2018, 6:22am by JohnAdams
Super Bowl LII Preview
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Super Bowl LII Preview

The Patriots will look to speed things up while the Eagles look to slow things down in a Super Bowl that presents a closer matchup than a Brady-Foles quarterback duel might otherwise suggest.

30 comments, Last at 21 Feb 2018, 9:31pm by Obat Pembesar Penis

Off The Charts Podcast: Super Bowl LII Edition

Here we go with a MONSTER preview of Super Bowl LII that hits on all kinds of stats including: which receivers each defense is vulnerable against, which type of coverage each quarterback excels against, and how pass pressure has changed for the Eagles offense with Nick Foles replacing Carson Wentz. (Click for audio link.)

Aggressiveness Index 2017

Yes, Doug Pederson went for it on fourth-and-1 more often than any other head coach in the NFL this year. That was partly because he was aggressive, and partly because no head coach had anywhere near as many opportunities.

22 comments, Last at 21 Feb 2018, 9:12pm by Obat Pembesar Penis

ESPN: Ranking the 16 Brady-Belichick Teams

For ESPN, I've ranked all 16 of the Brady-Belichick teams going back to 2001. Which one comes out on top, and which one on the bottom? We've emphasized postseason success by giving double credit for postseason DVOA and extra credit for winning the Super Bowl... but still, three of the top five teams are teams that did not go all the way to a championship. This is free, not Insider.

47 comments, Last at 01 Feb 2018, 9:06am by Anon Ymous

This Is The XFL, Version 2.0

In this Sports Business Journal article, Vince McMahon suggests that he's more interested in a serious football league this time around, not the crazy half-wrestling/half-football hybrid he attempted with the original XFL. The plan is to spend two years putting it together instead of just one, starting play in the spring of 2020 with 8 teams and a 10-week season. McMahon is hoping for faster games and more simplified rules when it comes to stuff like "what is a catch." He's planning to sign players who just missed NFL rosters, not to compete with the NFL for players. "It’s an opportunity to really re-imagine football -- not reinvent it," he says.

34 comments, Last at 01 Feb 2018, 10:00am by Theo