Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Bill Barnwell's blog

FO on BSMW: The Selection of Laurence Maroney

This week's Football Outsiders feature on the Boston Sports Media Watch site takes a look at the selection of Laurence Maroney: how it represents a sea change from previous Belichick drafts, why it may have been a necessary risk, and its potential for success. Sadly, Ken Walter's streak of appearances in FO on BSMW columns ends this week at ... 2.

54 comments, Last at 31 Aug 2006, 3:46pm by Bill Barnwell

Vikings Release Koren Robinson

Only months after signing him to a multi-year contract extension, the Vikings waived Koren Robinson on Saturday. While this might be the best move for the Vikings, it's hard to imagine that it's the best thing for Koren Robinson, the person.

20 comments, Last at 28 Aug 2006, 6:12pm by zlionsfan

FO on BSMW: The Case For -- And Against -- Adam Vinatieri

How good is Adam Vinatieri, and did the Patriots make a mistake letting him go? Bill Barnwell investigates in a two-part article on Boston Sports Media Watch's Patriots Game Day page. FO readers won't be surprised to learn that kickers are inherently inconsistent, but it's still surprising to see just how small the correlation is between kicker salary and kicker performance. Link goes to Part II; click the link at the beginning of that article to read Part I as well.

48 comments, Last at 25 Aug 2006, 2:30pm by CA

FO on BSMW: Is Deion Branch Worth a Huge Contract?

More FO writing in a new place: Bill Barnwell will be writing a regular column analyzing the Patriots through the FO lens for Boston Sports Media Watch's "Patriots Game Day Rear View." (One of the interesting twists here is that while Bill lives in Boston, he's a Giants fan, not a Patriots fan.) The first column looks at Deion Branch and his historical comparables.

178 comments, Last at 21 Aug 2006, 11:31pm by Jason Mulgrew

Four Downs: NFC East

The Eagles and Giants subscribe to the Best Player Available philosophy. The Redskins, it seems, do not. And the Cowboys had a third philosophy in 2006, grabbing players with less upside but even less downside. Plus, LaVar Arrington gets Postonized. It's all in the latest edition of Four Downs.

276 comments, Last at 08 Aug 2006, 11:08am by BobL

2006 Report Card Report

Matt Leinart: Great draft pick, or the greatest draft pick? Haloti Ngata: secret to a Ray Lewis resurgence, or just another fat guy? And is it better to judge a draft based on the talent selected, or based on who returns your phone calls? Bill Barnwell sits in as we bring you the third edition of that FO tradition, our report card grading NFL draft report cards.

149 comments, Last at 15 May 2006, 11:15pm by Bjorn

Four Downs: AFC East

Buffalo throws money at a wide receiver nobody wanted, New England throws money at the best defensive end in football, and Miami throws passes to a wide receiver that may not be as good as people think. Meanwhile, the Jets are just trying to figure out who's going to be throwing, period. Welcome FO intern Bill Barnwell as he takes us around the AFC East in the final pre-draft Four Downs.

94 comments, Last at 14 May 2006, 3:45pm by al