Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Chad Peltier's blog

OFI: Clemson's Lopsided Championship
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OFI: Clemson's Lopsided Championship

Even though Alabama was more efficient on a per play basis, Clemson stalled Alabama's drives in the red zone, converted third downs, and made more explosive plays to create a game that looks lopsided on the scoreboard.

17 comments, Last at 14 Jan 2019, 1:00pm by meblackstone
OFI: Clemson-Alabama Nearly Inevitable
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OFI: Clemson-Alabama Nearly Inevitable

It seemed etched in stone that Alabama and Clemson, the preseason two top teams in the F/+ projections, would meet in the national title game following dominant wins over Oklahoma and Notre Dame in the semifinals. But there's still a lot to enjoy about that upcoming game (including Tigers receiver Justyn Ross), and the season as a whole.

OFI: Favored Teams March On
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OFI: Favored Teams March On

Georgia tried to bring a little chaos to the playoff race, but Jalen Hurts' comeback win ensured that all Power-5 conference favorites would win.

10 comments, Last at 06 Dec 2018, 5:18pm by Will Allen
OFI: More of the Same in One-Sided Rivalries
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OFI: More of the Same in One-Sided Rivalries

There were a lot of great games in this year's Rivalry Week, but few notable teams failed to break through one-sided feuds. And Texas A&M and LSU played the craziest game of the year.

6 comments, Last at 27 Nov 2018, 6:03pm by tsmonk
OFI: Oklahoma State Rattles Big 12
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OFI: Oklahoma State Rattles Big 12

With Oklahoma State's upset of West Virginia, the Big 12 race will stay exciting until the end.

OFI: A Static Top 10 in Week 11
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OFI: A Static Top 10 in Week 11

Everyone in the top ten won this week, with only LSU and Oklahoma winning close games. This season could use a shake-up or two at the top, as the preseason favorites have more or less stayed that way.

OFI: Nine Ranked Teams Lose, but Few Changes at the Top
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OFI: Nine Ranked Teams Lose, but Few Changes at the Top

A lot of mid- and lower-ranked teams lost this week, but the country's elite teams -- especially Quinnen Williams and Alabama -- continued their dominance

OFI: Georgia Rebounds in Win over Florida
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OFI: Georgia Rebounds in Win over Florida

Georgia bounced back from their LSU loss two weeks ago with a double-digit win over Florida, while Washington State held on to slim playoff hopes in a field goal-win over Stanford and Penn State squeaked by Iowa.

2 comments, Last at 30 Oct 2018, 9:02am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin
OFI: Purdue, Washington State Have Perfect Day
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OFI: Purdue, Washington State Have Perfect Day

Purdue blew out second-ranked Ohio State, and Washington State's long-awaited College Gameday experience lived up to expectations in an overwhelming win over Oregon.

1 comment, Last at 22 Oct 2018, 9:34pm by Todd S.
OFI: Chaos Reigns in the Top 25
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OFI: Chaos Reigns in the Top 25

We finally got a week full of upsets: eight top-25 teams lost, and nearly everyone looked vulnerable.

1 comment, Last at 15 Oct 2018, 10:27pm by techvet