Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Rivers McCown's blog

ESPN: NFL's Most Unbalanced Teams
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ESPN: NFL's Most Unbalanced Teams

Some teams can light up the scoreboards. Others can shut down the opposition. Here's our look at the most unbalanced teams this season, combining our preseason projections with what we've seen in Weeks 1-2.

Any Given Sunday: Chiefs over Steelers
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Any Given Sunday: Chiefs over Steelers

It appears the Chiefs knew what they were doing when they traded Alex Smith away. Pittsburgh's defense becomes the latest victim of the Patrick Mahomes buzzsaw.

8 comments, Last at 19 Sep 2018, 3:12pm by mrh
Any Given Sunday: Buccaneers over Saints
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Any Given Sunday: Buccaneers over Saints

Most of us can agree that the Bucs allowing 40 points to the Saints wasn't much of a surprise. The Saints allowing 48 to the Bucs, though...

ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts for All 32 Teams
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ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts for All 32 Teams

Which players are providing the most value as compared to their salary this season, not including rookie contracts? Rivers McCown identifies the best on every roster, including Alex Collins, Chris Hogan, Akiem Hicks, and Cameron Jordan.

ESPN: FO's Top 25 Prospects 2018
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ESPN: FO's Top 25 Prospects 2018

Time for the annual FO Top 25 Prospects list, as also seen in Football Outsiders Almanac 2018. This is our list of lower-drafted and undrafted prospects who are still developing in their second, third, and fourth seasons. The 2018 list is heavy on wide receivers, but the top spot belongs to an edge rusher: Carl Lawson of the Bengals.

Four Downs: AFC East
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Four Downs: AFC East

Biggest post-draft holes all reside on offense in the AFC East, except for the Pats who could still use a real edge rusher.

76 comments, Last at 01 Jun 2018, 3:33pm by SandyRiver

ESPN: The Two Teams That Must Sign Kirk Cousins

The Minnesota Vikings may be the favorites to sign Kirk Cousins, but Arizona and Denver could use him even more.

10 comments, Last at 13 Mar 2018, 9:07pm by BravoSix

ESPN: Five Best Second-Contract Sleepers

There's a reason why teams give up on players after the conclusion of their rookie deals. However, many have enough talent to become difference-makers if they land in the right situation on their second contract. Here are five for 2018.

Four Downs: AFC East
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Four Downs: AFC East

This division needs to go shopping for meat and potatoes -- except for the Jets, who need a quarterback and have the money to go get one.

15 comments, Last at 03 Mar 2018, 3:20am by Theo

ESPN: Top Prospects for Super Bowl LII

Taking a look at four players who qualify for our annual Top Prospects list of under-the-radar lower-drafted players and could play an important role in Super Bowl LII.