Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Scott Kacsmar's blog

Pressure by Number of Pass-Rushers 2017
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Pressure by Number of Pass-Rushers 2017

Our conclusion to 2017's pressure study breaks down pass rushing by the number of rushers. Which defenses were the most blitz-happy or the most passive? We also found that one division loved the defensive back blitz more than any other.

8 comments, Last at 19 Jul 2018, 3:15am by bsminh63
Defense and Pass Pressure 2017
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Defense and Pass Pressure 2017

Florida was home to 2017's most impressive, most terrible, and most disappointing pass rush. And the best pass rush outside of Florida came from a surprising place: Washington D.C.

12 comments, Last at 12 Jul 2018, 9:16pm by The Ninjalectual
Quarterbacks and Pressure 2017
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Quarterbacks and Pressure 2017

2017 saw a massive improvement for Jared Goff, optimism for Jimmy Garoppolo and Deshaun Watson, and the first time two players had positive DVOA under pressure. Also: will Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson ever change their style the way Ben Roethlisberger has?

7 comments, Last at 05 Jul 2018, 1:04pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin
2017 YAC+
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2017 YAC+

YAC+ shows a lot of positives for the 2017 Rams, but will things continue after the trade for Brandin Cooks? Also: an underrated wide receiver leads for the second year in a row, an odd year for tight ends, and does YAC even matter for Mike Evans?

10 comments, Last at 15 Jun 2018, 5:14pm by bravehoptoad
2017 Receiving Plus-Minus
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2017 Receiving Plus-Minus

Which receiver did Drew Brees raise to career highs this time? Does Mike Evans really help Jameis Winston that much? Which running back duo had a terrible case of butterfingers? How bad were the rookie seasons for Evan Engram and Zay Jones?

19 comments, Last at 20 Jun 2018, 8:04pm by The Ninjalectual
2017 Passing Plus-Minus
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2017 Passing Plus-Minus

Drew Brees continued his dominance in passing plus-minus, but was he as good as in his previous seasons? Also: big post-Jeff Fisher leaps for Jared Goff and Case Keenum, talent may have trumped coaching in San Francisco, and two No. 1 overall picks disappoint.

7 comments, Last at 14 Jun 2018, 5:42pm by DezCaughtTheBall
Snap-Weighted Age: 2017 NFL Rosters
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Snap-Weighted Age: 2017 NFL Rosters

The Rams and Jaguars finally turned their young talent into playoff berths in 2017. Cleveland looks to be taking over the mantle for "team of the future." Also: Buffalo's wild turnover and the youngest secondary in eight years.

6 comments, Last at 23 May 2018, 4:30pm by Will Allen
Four Downs: NFC North
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Four Downs: NFC North

While most of the teams in this division could use better blockers and/or receivers, the Bears remain in dire need of playmakers in the defensive backfield.

17 comments, Last at 11 May 2018, 10:38am by justanothersteve

FiveThirtyEight: Barkley Isn't the Hero Your Team Needs

At FiveThirtyEight, we looked at the conundrum of drafting Penn State running back Saquon Barkley in the top five, especially if you're the Browns or Giants. While workhorse backs have been romanticized for decades of NFL history, the league has shifted away from them in favor of more passing and a by-committee approach to the position. We also have not seen first-round backs outperform those taken in later rounds. The rushing DVOA since 2002 is the second lowest in the first round, and there's essentially no difference in yards per carry among the seven rounds. Running backs truly can be found anywhere, and Super Bowl-winning teams this century have also proven that.

24 comments, Last at 03 May 2018, 9:55pm by The Ninjalectual
2017 Adjusted Games Lost: By Unit
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2017 Adjusted Games Lost: By Unit

Our breakdown of injuries by unit finds one team that has been hit hard at wide receiver and linebacker multiple times in recent years. Also: the Rams were very healthy across the board, and one hyped unit disappointed greatly despite great health.

6 comments, Last at 28 Mar 2018, 3:20pm by Scott Kacsmar