Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Scott Kacsmar's blog

Clutch Encounters: Week 16
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Clutch Encounters: Week 16

Bah humbug. The Raiders and Eagles played arguably the worst game of the season to end Week 16. Also: Cam delivers, the first game-winning drive of the Jared Goff era, and another team bites the dust after trying an ill-advised field goal in New England.

6 comments, Last at 21 May 2018, 8:52am by singhum

FiveThirtyEight: The Five-Year Rule to Winning a Championship

For FiveThirtyEight, I looked at The Five-Year Rule, which I first talked about in FOA 2017 in regards to the Chiefs this year. No team has ever started the same quarterback under the same head coach for more than five years and seen that duo win its first championship. Alex Smith and Andy Reid are currently in their fifth year together, and sure enough it could be the last if the Chiefs don't come through with a ring.

20 comments, Last at 28 Dec 2017, 1:31pm by PatsFan

ESPN: Week 16 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 16 DFS matchups include Blake Bortles, Alex Collins, Martavis Bryant, and Eric Ebron.

Clutch Encounters: Week 15
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Clutch Encounters: Week 15

The Game of the Year is actually the Game of the Year -- but what can the NFL do about the Calvin Johnson Catch Rule and end-zone fumbles? Also: another handsome game-winning drive for the 49ers, Aaron Rodgers' shaky return, and the week of the onside kick.

35 comments, Last at 21 Dec 2017, 2:54pm by Eddo

ESPN: Week 15 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 15 DFS matchups include Drew Brees, Carlos Hyde, Josh Gordon, and Jason Witten. We're also going heavy on the big names in Patriots-Steelers.

Clutch Encounters: Week 14
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Clutch Encounters: Week 14

The Steelers and Ravens played another classic to decide the AFC North. Also: Joe Webb and Nick Foles get game-winning drives, heavy snow in Buffalo, a handsome quarterback in Houston, and Case Keenum blows his chance to be MVP in Carolina.

4 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2017, 2:22pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

FiveThirtyEight: How Aggressive Is Your QB?

At FiveThirtyEight, Scott Kacsmar looks at which quarterbacks are the most conservative and aggressive this season as measured by how often they throw short of a successful play.

7 comments, Last at 15 Dec 2017, 9:08am by Mr Shush
Clutch Encounters: NO-ATL
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Clutch Encounters: NO-ATL

If you enjoy an excessive amount of injuries, penalties, and bad interceptions thrown by veteran quarterbacks, then Saints-Falcons was right up your alley. We look at the big early swings that went against New Orleans, Matt Ryan's pick parade, and a most regrettable throw by Drew Brees.

11 comments, Last at 25 Feb 2018, 3:54am by CarRepairing

ESPN: Week 14 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 14 DFS matchups include Alex Smith, Rex Burkhead, Davante Adams, and Cameron Brate. We're also walking on the wild side with Blaine Gabbert against the Titans.

Clutch Encounters: Week 13
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Clutch Encounters: Week 13

Pittsburgh and Cincinnati clash for a bit of the old ultra-violence. Also: the Kansas City spiral, Jimmy Garoppolo impresses, an AFC South rerun, Derrick Henry's irrelevant long touchdowns, and the effects of modified overtime.

16 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2017, 2:34pm by LordChozo