Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

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Clutch Encounters: Week 13
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Clutch Encounters: Week 13

Pittsburgh and Cincinnati clash for a bit of the old ultra-violence. Also: the Kansas City spiral, Jimmy Garoppolo impresses, an AFC South rerun, Derrick Henry's irrelevant long touchdowns, and the effects of modified overtime.

16 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2017, 2:34pm by LordChozo

ESPN: Week 13 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 13 DFS matchups include Drew Brees, Jordan Howard, Mike Evans, and Hunter Henry.

Clutch Encounters: Week 12
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Clutch Encounters: Week 12

Pittsburgh and Arizona remind us that you only need 20 seconds for a field goal. Also: a most predictable Titans-Colts ending, a tale of three seasons in 12 weeks for the Chiefs, and Joe Flacco shows us what a "Flacco" is on Monday night.

Clutch Encounters: Thanksgiving
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Clutch Encounters: Thanksgiving

The Lions and Giants lost close games on Thanksgiving. How have the four "clutch" teams from 2016, including Oakland and Miami, fared this season? Also: praise for Kirk Cousins and the new King of the North.

1 comment, Last at 24 Nov 2017, 8:41pm by BearDown103

ESPN: Week 12 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 12 DFS matchups include Ben Roethlisberger, Kareem Hunt, Doug Baldwin, and Vernon Davis. Expect a bounce-back week for the offenses in Kansas City and Dallas.

2018 Hall of Fame Semifinalists Announced

The Pro Football Hall of Fame has revealed the 27 semifinalists for the Class of 2018.

68 comments, Last at 04 Dec 2017, 10:21am by ZDNeal
Clutch Encounters: Week 11
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Clutch Encounters: Week 11

New Orleans pulls off the most improbable comeback of the season. Also: 7-2 showdown in NFC, the upset of the year, Atlanta and Seattle blunder their way to drama on Monday night, and what happened to all the exciting prime-time games this season?

2 comments, Last at 21 Nov 2017, 8:09pm by The Ninjalectual
2017 ALEX: Midseason Report
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2017 ALEX: Midseason Report

The latest ALEX update looks at the recent draft class that is struggling, the unusual Chicago strategy, and what's gotten into Alex Smith? We also looked at Tyrod Taylor's declining ALEX, but rising conversion rate that Buffalo just sent to the bench.

2 comments, Last at 20 Nov 2017, 12:12pm by Chip

FiveThirtyEight: Terrible Year for Quarterback Injuries

For FiveThirtyEight, I took a look at what has been a brutal season of quarterback injuries in the NFL. Beyond stars such as Aaron Rodgers and Andrew Luck, we've lost an extremely promising rookie (Deshaun Watson), a former No. 1 overall pick who may have been ready to peak (Sam Bradford), and a veteran on his last legs (Carson Palmer). We looked at adjusted games lost for quarterbacks since 2000 and adjusted the numbers by passing DVOA to get a sense of the quality of quarterbacks lost to injury. 2017 hasn't been the worst season on record, but it's sure getting there, and hopefully we won't have to add much to the injury database the rest of the year.

8 comments, Last at 19 Nov 2017, 3:37am by Alexander

ESPN: Week 11 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite DFS matchups include Alex Smith, Kenyan Drake, A.J. Green, and Jared Cook.