Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Scott Kacsmar's blog

ESPN: Bill Belichick Makes It Okay To Take the Wind

From Manning-Brady XIV we learned Bill Belichick thinks it's okay to take the wind, Peyton Manning had his first "off day" in the cold in years and the Patriots showed their remarkable competitiveness.

31 comments, Last at 28 Nov 2013, 6:31am by Guest789

ESPN: New "Big Four" on Diverging Paths of Development

Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III, Russell Wilson and Colin Kaepernick formed a new "big four" of athletic quarterbacks last season. With expectations so high for 2013, it's been a struggle just to maintain 2012's pace.

10 comments, Last at 14 Jan 2014, 12:36pm by

ESPN: Week 12 Fantasy Matchups

We update the easiest and toughest remaining schedules for Weeks 12-16, offer a real-life replacement for Aaron Rodgers in the fantasy world and pick which Denver skill player may have the best game in New England.

Clutch Encounters: Week 11
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Clutch Encounters: Week 11

Patriots fail to catch a call in Carolina. Also: Mike Tomlin's "do what we do" strategy works, the worst overtime coin-toss decision yet and how Drew Brees' height saved the Saints.

73 comments, Last at 21 Nov 2013, 4:21pm by Ryan D.

ESPN: Broncos Are Chiefs' Biggest Hurdle to Super Bowl

Are the undefeated Chiefs a legit Super Bowl contender, or is this a paper tiger headed for heartbreak of a Lin Elliott (1995) or Elvis Grbac (1997) nature from past top-seeded Kansas City teams? The Broncos are a nightmare matchup, but at least the Chiefs are catching them at the right time and match up well with the rest of the AFC.

11 comments, Last at 17 Nov 2013, 2:21am by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Week 11 Fantasy Matchups

How close are Nick Foles and Case Keenum to "elite" status in fantasy football? Plus we detail the Chiefs-Broncos matchup.

2 comments, Last at 14 Nov 2013, 12:24pm by bundamentals
Clutch Encounters: Week 10
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Clutch Encounters: Week 10

The Ravens show us the real "Fail Mary." Also: Denver's historic streak ends and Florida's winless teams finally get it right.

32 comments, Last at 15 Nov 2013, 6:12pm by tuluse

ESPN: Jaguars Are Least Competitive Team Since 1970

Based on DVOA and other factors, we can say with conviction we are experiencing the best 0-8 team (Tampa Bay) and the least competitive team (Jacksonville) since the merger. But the 2008 Lions may want to keep the Faygo in the fridge if they think one of these teams will join them in celebration at 0-16.

10 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2013, 6:22pm by Scott Kacsmar

ESPN: Week 10 Fantasy Matchups

For Week 10 we're looking at Aaron Rodgers backup plans and compiling the "All-Injury Fantasy Team." It's depressing, but there's no crying in football.

Clutch Encounters: Week 9
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Clutch Encounters: Week 9

The Colts stunned Houston with another big rally. Also: modified overtime strategy, Dallas' Tony Romo soap opera, walk-off safeties and NFC powers fall.

13 comments, Last at 08 Nov 2013, 1:14pm by formido