Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Scott Kacsmar's blog

2018 Hall of Fame Finalists Announced

The Hall of Fame announces its 15 modern-era finalists for the class of 2018.

98 comments, Last at 07 Jan 2018, 7:08pm by amin purshottam
Clutch Encounters: Week 17/Season Review
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Clutch Encounters: Week 17/Season Review

The Bengals stun Baltimore and delight Buffalo fans everywhere. Also: a farewell to Bruce Arians and his magic beans, a comparison of 0-16 seasons, and how every team fared in close games in 2017.

7 comments, Last at 03 Jan 2018, 2:07pm by Bryan Knowles

ESPN: Week 17 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, a tricky Week 17 of DFS action awaits with several teams resting starters for the playoffs. Some of our favorite matchups include Matthew Stafford, Melvin Gordon, Doug Baldwin, and Jesse James.

Clutch Encounters: Week 16
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Clutch Encounters: Week 16

Bah humbug. The Raiders and Eagles played arguably the worst game of the season to end Week 16. Also: Cam delivers, the first game-winning drive of the Jared Goff era, and another team bites the dust after trying an ill-advised field goal in New England.

6 comments, Last at 21 May 2018, 8:52am by singhum

FiveThirtyEight: The Five-Year Rule to Winning a Championship

For FiveThirtyEight, I looked at The Five-Year Rule, which I first talked about in FOA 2017 in regards to the Chiefs this year. No team has ever started the same quarterback under the same head coach for more than five years and seen that duo win its first championship. Alex Smith and Andy Reid are currently in their fifth year together, and sure enough it could be the last if the Chiefs don't come through with a ring.

20 comments, Last at 28 Dec 2017, 1:31pm by PatsFan

ESPN: Week 16 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 16 DFS matchups include Blake Bortles, Alex Collins, Martavis Bryant, and Eric Ebron.

Clutch Encounters: Week 15
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Clutch Encounters: Week 15

The Game of the Year is actually the Game of the Year -- but what can the NFL do about the Calvin Johnson Catch Rule and end-zone fumbles? Also: another handsome game-winning drive for the 49ers, Aaron Rodgers' shaky return, and the week of the onside kick.

35 comments, Last at 21 Dec 2017, 2:54pm by Eddo

ESPN: Week 15 DFS Matchups

At ESPN Insider, some of our favorite Week 15 DFS matchups include Drew Brees, Carlos Hyde, Josh Gordon, and Jason Witten. We're also going heavy on the big names in Patriots-Steelers.

Clutch Encounters: Week 14
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Clutch Encounters: Week 14

The Steelers and Ravens played another classic to decide the AFC North. Also: Joe Webb and Nick Foles get game-winning drives, heavy snow in Buffalo, a handsome quarterback in Houston, and Case Keenum blows his chance to be MVP in Carolina.

4 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2017, 2:22pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin

FiveThirtyEight: How Aggressive Is Your QB?

At FiveThirtyEight, Scott Kacsmar looks at which quarterbacks are the most conservative and aggressive this season as measured by how often they throw short of a successful play.

7 comments, Last at 15 Dec 2017, 9:08am by Mr Shush