Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Aaron Schatz's blog

Off The Charts Podcast: April 25
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Off The Charts Podcast: April 25

A shortened podcast this week, with a small draft preview and some discussion of the Frank Clark trade. There will also be a bonus edition of Off The Charts on Friday morning covering the first round of the draft. (Click for audio link.)

Ranking Every No. 1 NFL Draft Pick

Ranking Every No. 1 NFL Draft Pick

A fun exercise here from Yahoo's Jay Busbee, and fun to discuss and debate. I was disappointed that Jay Berwanger was not in last place, but Jay only went back through the 52 years of the combined draft starting in 1967. Peyton Manning is No. 1. Last place goes not to the worst player, but to the player who provided the least amount of value to the team that drafted him: Bo Jackson.

11 comments, Last at 08 May 2019, 8:08am by t.d.
Off The Charts Podcast: April 18
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Off The Charts Podcast: April 18

This week, Matt Manocherian and Aaron Schatz welcome NFL Next Gen Stats researcher Keegan Abdoo. We talk about draft strategies, defensive research, the Josh Rosen situation, and Keegan's career trajectory. (Click for audio link.)

1 comment, Last at 19 Apr 2019, 2:51pm by theslothook
FO on "What Would Sashi Do?" Podcast
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FO on "What Would Sashi Do?" Podcast

FO's Aaron Schatz and Nathan Forster appeared on Kevin Cole's "What Would Sashi Do?" podcast to discuss the FO draft models and what they say about 2019's prospects. Come dive in-depth into QBASE, SackSEER, BackCAST, and Playmaker Score.

2019 NFL Schedule Released
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2019 NFL Schedule Released

Rejoice, for the 2019 NFL schedule has been released to the public! Come discuss it with us here.

20 comments, Last at 21 Apr 2019, 12:03pm by Theo
Off The Charts Podcast: April 11
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Off The Charts Podcast: April 11

It's another week off this week for Aaron Schatz, so Matt Manocherian welcomes John Todd and Nathan Cooper back to break down the offensive line, running back, tight end and linebacker position groups for the 2019 NFL draft based on the SIS Rookie Handbook rankings. (Click to read more.)

Off The Charts Podcast: April 4
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Off The Charts Podcast: April 4

On this week's Off The Charts podcast, Aaron Schatz and Matt Manocherian talk about some of the best and most interesting under-the-radar moves of free agency, including Steven Nelson, Matt Paradis, and Adrian Amos. Plus, Buffalo throws a bunch of spaghetti at the offensive line. (Click for audio link.)

AAF to Suspend Football Operations

AAF to Suspend Football Operations

Well, so much for that. Tom Dundon invested $250 million in funding into the league, but has apparently decided that the league doesn't have the $20 million it needs to get to the end of its first season. So yet another one of these spring leagues either a) doesn't have the patience to build over a period of multiple years and/or b) completely misread the research it did on financial viability. You're up next, XFL.

11 comments, Last at 05 Apr 2019, 10:11pm by Sixknots
QBASE 2019
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QBASE 2019

As you'd expect, Kyler Murray and Dwayne Haskins are statistically the most promising quarterback prospects in this year's draft ... but how do we account for their inexperience when the track record for one-year college starters is so poor?

21 comments, Last at 05 Apr 2019, 3:49am by Theo
Off The Charts Podcast: March 21
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Off The Charts Podcast: March 21

This week, Aaron Schatz and Matt Manocherian are joined by Mike Tanier to discuss Moneyball heresies. Was it right for the Sloan Analyics Conference to give an award to the Raiders for the Khalil Mack trade? Do we now have a problem where "analytics" has become synonymous in many circles with "tanking?" What really is the value of a draft pick compared to a veteran? (Click for audio link.)

4 comments, Last at 31 Mar 2019, 10:08am by Chip