Compared to Bill James by The New York Times Magazine, and attributed as a “founding father of football analytics” by The Ringer, AARON SCHATZ is the creator and Editor-in-Chief of Football Outsiders. Aaron is also the creator of most of the original statistical methods (DVOA, DYAR) used in NFL analysis on this website, as well as Lead Writer, Editor, and Statistician on the book series Football Outsiders Almanac (published since 2009). He also writes for ESPN.com and ESPN+, and appears weekly during the NFL season on the Off The Charts podcast. During the 2011 season, he was a regular panelist on the ESPN2 show Numbers Never Lie. Before Football Outsiders, Aaron spent five years as a radio host at WBRU Providence and WKRO Daytona Beach, and three years as the writer and producer of the Lycos 50, the Internet's foremost authority on the people, places, and things that are searched online. He has written on sports, politics, and taxes for a number of publications including The New Republic, The New York Times, The Boston Globe, Slate, The American Prospect, and the Boston Phoenix. Aaron resides in Worcester, Massachusetts and yes, is a New England Patriots fan.
Following recent articles in the Wall Street Journal and New York Times detailing the use of racist, homophobic and misogynistic terms by Jon Gruden in emails reportedly dating back to 2010, Gruden has informed the staff of the Las Vegas Raiders that he is resigning as Raiders h
No reason for this one to wait for our injury roundup on Monday afternoon. Sources say that Russell Wilson will miss at least a month, possibly 6-8 weeks with a middle-finger tendon ruptured in last night's loss to the Los Angeles Rams.
New at ESPN+: Is Tom Brady playing the best football of his entire career? One way to figure that out is to compare his supporting cast on offense to the players he shared the field with in great past seasons.
The Buffalo Bills move into the top spot in both DVOA and DAVE thanks to the best defensive performance in DVOA history. Plus, Arizona and Cleveland vs. other historical teams that greatly outperformed preseason forecasts in the first month of the season.
Applying opponent adjustments a little earlier than usual leaves the Carolina Panthers on top of our DVOA ratings, followed by the Browns, Rams, and Cardinals. But the schedule is about to get a lot harder for Arizona, along with other teams like the Steelers and Giants. Plus: Why DVOA thinks the Seahawks have been better than the Chargers so far.
Beginning with 2021, the new 14-team playoffs will extend to Monday Night Football. Instead of three games on Saturday, there will now be two games Saturday, three games on Sunday, and then one game Monday night.
The surprising Carolina Panthers are No. 1 in DVOA for the first time in history! Let's look at some similar teams to see how likely it is that they will be able to keep up their early success, especially on defense. Plus, why the Raiders may not be as good as the other 2-0 teams, and can the Chiefs survive despite awful defense?
The New Orleans Saints are No. 1 in our DVOA ratings after Week 1, but what's really impressive is seeing all four NFC West teams in the top six. Plus, DAVE ratings are back for 2021, and we introduce our new NFL formula for Post-Game Win Expectancy. Which three games this week were won by the "wrong" team?
Updated DVOA projections have the Kansas City Chiefs higher than the projection from Football Outsiders Almanac 2021, predicting a Tampa Bay-Kansas City rematch in Super Bowl LVI. Green Bay and Denver are also up; New Orleans, Indianapolis, and Baltimore have all declined since the book.
Football Outsiders would like to announce our new staff writers: Cale Clinton, JP Acosta, and Preston Pack.
