Founder of Football Outsiders
Creator of DVOA and DYAR
Aaron Schatz's Archive
Can anybody keep the Eagles out of the Super Bowl? Why are our preseason picks of Green Bay and Tampa Bay looking better now than they were a month ago? Aaron analyzes the first half of the season in the NFC through the Football Outsiders lens and predicts which teams will improve and decline with the brand new Midseason DVOA Projection System.
William Krasker's weekly rundown of strategy questions takes Ed Reed to task for running back his interception for a touchdown in the final minute against Cleveland, and analyzes Herm Edwards' decision to take the wind instead of the ball after the initial coin toss.
Our man Gregg Easterbrook channels both Joe Theismann and EMF this week, rightfully complains about the hideous Bengals uniforms, and prints an email from a fellow named Mark Schatzman who is not, in fact, related to me.
Here are the Football Outsiders team efficiency ratings after Week 9, along with Aaron's usual commentary for the math-o-phobic. Aaron explains why, despite consecutive victories over New England and Philadelphia, the Pittsburgh Steelers are still ranked third. He also has some thoughts on the Colts and Vikings from last night's Monday Night Football contest.
The latest from Peter King celebrates Pittsburgh. Now, the Steelers are very good, but I think they've passed from underrated to well-respected to a stage called "let's not get carried away here." They are not the 1985 Bears.
OK, that's not the actual title of the article. The actual title of the article is "At Midseason, Falcons' Vick is Clear MVP."
Wait, you mean he's not kidding?
Does it seem like every football writer that you read regularly penned an article about Drew Brees on Wednesday? Guess what, you're right, and that includes Football Outsiders. Now, in an expanded version of an article from Wednesday's New York Sun, Aaron says that it isn't a surprise that Brees has had a rebound season in 2004. Coming to that conclusion introduces the FO version of a classic baseball analysis tool: similarity scores.