Which players face easier or harder fantasy schedules this year? Do schedule changes year to year affect fantasy value more than real value, or vice versa?
Founder of Football Outsiders
Creator of DVOA and DYAR
Aaron Schatz's Archive
In baseball, the Pythgorean Theorem says runs scored and allowed can predict a team's record. Does it work for football too? You bet, and it says some interesting things about teams that don't match their predictions. Pay attention, Chiefs fans.
It has always been the conventional wisdom of pro football: establish the run. Winning teams run early. Let's see how conventional wisdom stacks up against our master statistician...
If you learned that a running back with fewer than 100 carries ranked as one of the NFL's top offensive players of 2002, you would probably want to know who he is...
Beginning our division-by-division look at what our new statistics say about each NFL team. How good is Travis Henry? What is New England's biggest weakness?