Founder of Football Outsiders
Creator of DVOA and DYAR
Compared to Bill James by The New York Times Magazine, and attributed as a “founding father of football analytics” by The Ringer, AARON SCHATZis the creator and Editor-in-Chief of Football Outsiders. Aaron is also the creator of most of the original statistical methods (DVOA, DYAR) used in NFL analysis on this website, as well as Lead Writer, Editor, and Statistician on the book series Football Outsiders Almanac (published since 2009). He also writes for ESPN.com and ESPN+, and appears weekly during the NFL season on the Off The Charts podcast. During the 2011 season, he was a regular panelist on the ESPN2 show Numbers Never Lie. Before Football Outsiders, Aaron spent five years as a radio host at WBRU Providence and WKRO Daytona Beach, and three years as the writer and producer of the Lycos 50, the Internet's foremost authority on the people, places, and things that are searched online. He has written on sports, politics, and taxes for a number of publications including The New Republic, The New York Times, The Boston Globe, Slate, The American Prospect, and the Boston Phoenix. Aaron resides in Worcester, Massachusetts and yes, is a New England Patriots fan.
The introduction of opponent adjustments scrambles our ratings a bit, with Tampa Bay emerging as a surprising, balanced No. 1 team. Kansas City, Baltimore, Indianapolis, and Green Bay round out the top five.
80 comments, Last at 09 Oct 2020, 03:57pm by theslothook
Patriots quarterback Cam Newton tested positive for COVID-19 and is out for this week's game with Kansas City. The league has postponed the game indefinitely. It is likely to be played Tuesday but additional positive tests would probably postpone it further.
Our latest ESPN+ feature looks at the Patriots offense. Early on, this year's Patriots are just as efficient as the recent Brady offenses, even more efficient than some years. But how they're getting there is very different thanks to the strengths and skills of Cam Newton.
Our Week 4 show starts with a little talk about the situation with the New York Jets, then it is on to Week 4 game previews: Buffalo at Las Vegas, New Orleans at Detroit, Philadelphia at San Francisco, and New England at Kansas City. (Click for audio link.)
Led by defense, Indianapolis is a surprise No. 1 in the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings. Pittsburgh and San Francisco follow them. Plus: the worst 3-0 teams in DVOA history, and yet another hot Buffalo start follows a decade filled with hot Buffalo starts.
We've got some great Week 3 games to preview this week. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs head to Baltimore to face Lamar Jackson and the Ravens. Green Bay goes to New Orleans on Sunday night. Seattle and Dallas will let Russ and Dak both cook. And the Rams go to Buffalo for the "Which Team is For Real" Bowl. (Click for audio link)
1 comment, Last at 27 Sep 2020, 11:22am by ligawnabaka
Seth Walder from ESPN asked 26 different NFL analytics staffers to give their opinions, anonymously, on which teams are furthest ahead on analytics. No surprise, the top two teams are the Baltimore Ravens and the Cleveland Browns. Some of the teams further down are interesting.
7 comments, Last at 30 Sep 2020, 12:13am by DisplacedPackerFan