Founder of Football Outsiders
Creator of DVOA and DYAR
Compared to Bill James by The New York Times Magazine, and attributed as a “founding father of football analytics” by The Ringer, AARON SCHATZis the creator and Editor-in-Chief of Football Outsiders. Aaron is also the creator of most of the original statistical methods (DVOA, DYAR) used in NFL analysis on this website, as well as Lead Writer, Editor, and Statistician on the book series Football Outsiders Almanac (published since 2009). He also writes for ESPN.com and ESPN+, and appears weekly during the NFL season on the Off The Charts podcast. During the 2011 season, he was a regular panelist on the ESPN2 show Numbers Never Lie. Before Football Outsiders, Aaron spent five years as a radio host at WBRU Providence and WKRO Daytona Beach, and three years as the writer and producer of the Lycos 50, the Internet's foremost authority on the people, places, and things that are searched online. He has written on sports, politics, and taxes for a number of publications including The New Republic, The New York Times, The Boston Globe, Slate, The American Prospect, and the Boston Phoenix. Aaron resides in Worcester, Massachusetts and yes, is a New England Patriots fan.
The new Off The Charts podcast puts the spotlight on women in football analytics, as we speak to both Sarah Bailey of the Los Angeles Rams and Emily Badis of the Atlanta Falcons. (Click for audio link.)
Today's Off The Charts podcast talks about surprises, both good and bad. Which of our worst-projected teams has the best chance to surprise us like last year's San Francisco 49ers? Which of our best-projected teams is most likely to collapse? Then we talk about team depth: which teams have it and which teams don't. (Click for audio link.)
Hey, more Football Outsiders Almanac 2020 promotional podcasting for you! I spent almost an hour with the guys from the CBS Pick Six podcast including ex-FO writer Ryan Wilson. We covered everything around the league from the impending breakout of Kyler Murray to that 2020 Lions prediction to the Cowboys vs. Eagles debate. We talked about the AFC too
This week's guest is Zachary Binney, and we're talking about what COVID-19 means for football season in the wake of the Big Ten and Pac-12 cancelling football this year. How can NFL teams keep their players safe? What can we expect from the upcoming season? And why is it important not to put fans in the stands? (Click for audio link.)
Another day, another big contract, this time setting a record for tight ends. George Kittle will get a $75 million extension over five years. No details yet, although reports say "more than half" is guaranteed.
It's time for our annual look at the most likely teams to go worst-to-first on ESPN+. This year, it's joined by a look at the most likely teams to go the other way, from first to worst. We also did a new simulation for this article that accounts for COVID opt-outs and the Jamal Adams trade.
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