Aaron Schatz

This week's Upset Watch looks at the Green Bay Packers, who are 10-3 despite getting outgained by opponents on the average play. Some interesting numbers in here regarding short/deep passes for Green Bay as well as man/zone coverage splits. Cover Watch has Cincinnati against New England.

A curious move today: the Arizona Cardinals cut veteran outside linebacker Terrell Suggs.

This week's Off The Charts podcast has some discussion about the state of NFL officiating, then we get into the biggest games of the week: Houston at Tennessee, Buffalo at Pittsburgh, and the Los Angeles Rams at Dallas. (Click for audio link.)

Baltimore is still No. 1, pulling away to an even bigger lead in weighted DVOA. Along with the new ratings, this week we look at offensive DVOA splits for teams that have gotten significant play from backup quarterbacks in 2019.

This week's ESPN Upset Watch looks at how the Jaguars can beat the disappointing Chargers at home. Cover Watch analyzes why Green Bay's DVOA doesn't match their 9-3 record.

I wrote this for ESPN+ about players who have improved and declined over the last few weeks, and what we can expect from them going forward. Includes a look at Josh Allen, Russell Wilson, Mohamed Sanu, and others.

This week's Off The Charts podcast is highlighted by a rematch of last year's AFC Championship Game between the Chiefs and Patriots, plus a possible NFC Championship preview between the 49ers and Saints. We also preview the Titans-Raiders matchup, the only game with heavy two-way playoff leverage this week. (Click for audio link.)

Baltimore finally ascends to the No. 1 spot in DVOA, with New England dropping to No. 2 overall and No. 3 in weighted DVOA. Plus, a closer look at why DVOA says Dallas and Philadelphia are better than their win-loss records, and announcing the Football Outsiders November stars for Madden Ultimate Team.

We've got some big games to preview for Thanksgiving week! Previews include Tennessee at Indianapolis, Cleveland at Pittsburgh, San Francisco at Baltimore, and Minnesota at Seattle. (Click for audio link.)

A week of big wins and losses means some big moves up and down the DVOA rankings, especially among the teams involved in the AFC wild-card race. Baltimore moves into No. 1 in weighted DVOA but New England remains No. 1 in total season DVOA. Both are among the best teams we've ever tracked.