Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Aaron Schatz's blog

Week 8 DVOA Ratings
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Week 8 DVOA Ratings

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams still are on top of our DVOA ratings, but this week the Chiefs pass the Rams as our new Super Bowl favorite. The reasons? Schedule strength, fumble recovery luck, and the presence of the best first-year starting quarterback in NFL history.

98 comments, Last at 03 Nov 2018, 3:50pm by mehllageman56
NFL Trade Deadline Thread
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

NFL Trade Deadline Thread

Hey, it's the NFL trade deadline today. And some big trades are getting made. We'll catalog them here and let the readers discuss.

68 comments, Last at 31 Oct 2018, 6:47pm by Bright Blue Shorts
Off The Charts Podcast: October 25
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Off The Charts Podcast: October 25

This week's Off The Charts podcast discusses the Giants' decision to go for 2 down 8, and their decision to start liquidating the roster. Does a midseason dump mean it's time to move on from Eli Manning? Plus, previews of Seahawks-Lions, Vikings-Saints, and Chiefs-Broncos. (Click for audio link.)

1 comment, Last at 31 Oct 2018, 10:45am by nzfir
ESPN Upset Watch: Seahawks-Lions
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN Upset Watch: Seahawks-Lions

In this week's Upset Watch: Pass pressure will be key to Seattle's chances against Detroit. You can also expect to see a lot of rushing yardage, from both sides. Cover Watch looks at Miami, where Brock Osweiler has not been the problem.

1 comment, Last at 27 Oct 2018, 7:58pm by LionInAZ
ESPN: Worst Offense Ever?
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN: Worst Offense Ever?

A look at the 2018 Buffalo Bills and the ten worst offenses ever by DVOA. The Bills are on pace to pass them all.

Week 7 DVOA Ratings
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Week 7 DVOA Ratings

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams remain on top of the DVOA ratings, far ahead of the rest of the league. But below these top teams, there's a lot of movement up and down. What on earth are the Denver Broncos doing at No. 5? We explain. Plus: Buffalo is now the worst offense in DVOA history.

45 comments, Last at 30 Oct 2018, 11:53am by tkinsman9
Raiders Trade Amari Cooper to Cowboys

Raiders Trade Amari Cooper to Cowboys

Well, the Cowboys finally got the receiver they needed, but boy did they pay a lot for him. Dallas will send a first-round pick to Oakland for a year and a half of Amari Cooper. Cooper was a Pro Bowl wide receiver his first two years, but his numbers have fallen to 70 catches for 960 yards and eight touchdowns in the last season and a half (20 games). That's still pretty good, and he'll be the best receiver on the Cowboys, but he's getting out of a bad situation and into... another bad situation, at least as far as offensive scheme?

42 comments, Last at 10 Nov 2018, 12:28am by GwillyGecko
Browns Trade Carlos Hyde to Jaguars

Browns Trade Carlos Hyde to Jaguars

Well, that's one way to get more carries for Nick Chubb and his (very limited sample size) 10.8 yards per carry. Carlos Hyde is apparently going to Jacksonville for a fifth-round pick. This also would suggest Leonard Fournette's hamstring injury is more of a long-term problem and he's not coming back anytime soon.

1 comment, Last at 20 Oct 2018, 11:16am by Lebo
Cardinals Fire OC Mike McCoy

Cardinals Fire OC Mike McCoy

Could the days of constantly running David Johnson straight into a pile of defenders be over? The Cardinals fired offensive coordinator Mike McCoy this morning, replacing him with Byron Leftwich. It's the second straight season that McCoy has been fired in the middle of a season; the Broncos fired him halfway through last year. Leftwich is a Bruce Arians disciple, so the hope here is that we'll get a more exciting Cardinals offense that a) uses Johnson smarter and b) throws downfield more often.

9 comments, Last at 20 Oct 2018, 9:53am by jtr
Off The Charts Podcast: October 18
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Off The Charts Podcast: October 18

We start this week's podcast by playing "Real or Fake" about the Chargers, Bears, Seahawks, Eagles, and Panthers. Then game previews of Week 7's most important games: Texans-Jaguars, Cowboys-Redskins, and Chiefs-Bengals. (Click for audio link.)