Compared to Bill James by The New York Times Magazine, and attributed as a “founding father of football analytics” by The Ringer, AARON SCHATZ is the creator and Editor-in-Chief of Football Outsiders. Aaron is also the creator of most of the original statistical methods (DVOA, DYAR) used in NFL analysis on this website, as well as Lead Writer, Editor, and Statistician on the book series Football Outsiders Almanac (published since 2009). He also writes for ESPN.com and ESPN+, and appears weekly during the NFL season on the Off The Charts podcast. During the 2011 season, he was a regular panelist on the ESPN2 show Numbers Never Lie. Before Football Outsiders, Aaron spent five years as a radio host at WBRU Providence and WKRO Daytona Beach, and three years as the writer and producer of the Lycos 50, the Internet's foremost authority on the people, places, and things that are searched online. He has written on sports, politics, and taxes for a number of publications including The New Republic, The New York Times, The Boston Globe, Slate, The American Prospect, and the Boston Phoenix. Aaron resides in Worcester, Massachusetts and yes, is a New England Patriots fan.
Here's a big Super Bowl LV video preview from Football Outsiders and EdjSports. We discuss the big game from a number of angles, with DVOA stats, coaching analysis, and some prop bet picks from Scott Spratt. Why Bruce Arians needs to go for it more than usual, why we might not see a lot of Gronk, and more.
The Detroit Lions are dealing Matthew Stafford to the Los Angeles Rams for a package that includes Jared Goff, a third-round pick this year, and first-round picks in 2022 and 2023.
This week's guest is Trey Wingo! We talk about last week's conference championship games and next week's Super Bowl matchups, plus a bit about Super Bowl history and quarterbacks on the move this offseason. (Click for audio link.)
Tampa Bay is No. 1 in our weighted DVOA ratings, but Kansas City's exceptional performance gives credence to the "flip the switch" theory.
The Bills have improved on defense since they kept the Chiefs somewhat contained with a very conservative strategy back in Week 6. But if they want to make it to Super Bowl LV, their offense has to play well enough to outscore the powerful Kansas City attack.
It's time to preview the NFL conference championships, featuring the four best offenses of 2020 all making it to the final four. We break down all kinds of stats, from DVOA splits to charting data, on this week's Off The Charts podcast. (Click for audio link.)
The Eagles are hiring Indianapolis offensive coordinator Nick Sirianni as their next head coach. The 39-year-old Sirianni has worked under ex-Eagles OC Frank Reich in Indianapolis for three seasons, although he was not the play-caller on offense.
Football Outsiders and our partners at EdjSports have put together this video preview of the conference championships, previewing both games with advanced stats and coaching breakdowns. (Click for video.)
SIX years? That seems like an awful long contract for Campbell's first head coaching gig. He spent the last five seasons as assistant head coach for the Saints. Saints defensive backs coach Aaron Glenn will come with him from New Orleans as defensive coordinator.
Buffalo, Green Bay, and Tampa Bay remain 1-2-3 in weighted DVOA, with Kansas City behind them. How do the Chiefs' playoff odds change if Chad Henne has to start next Sunday? What if we instead assume the Chiefs are actually as good as they were two years ago?
