Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Aaron Schatz's blog

Aaron Schatz on Sports-Casters Podcast

Aaron Schatz on Sports-Casters Podcast

More podcasts to promote Football Outsiders Almanac 2018! Here we talk about the dominance of the NFC in the current NFL, the Eagles' run to the Super Bowl, and our projections for the rookie quarterbacks.

AAF Different From Leagues That Have Come Before

AAF Different From Leagues That Have Come Before

I've got to be honest, this AAF thing sounds like the best plan for a spring league yet. They really are trying to hit the sweet spot of real football as a developmental league, working with the NFL rather than challenging it. They've got real coaches involved, including Brad Childress, Mike Martz, and Rick Neuheisel. The teams are in medium-sized southern cities without NFL clubs (well, Salt Lake City isn't exactly southern) plus Phoenix and Atlanta. They've got a TV contract with CBS Sports Network.

4 comments, Last at 14 Aug 2018, 12:21am by jamie_k74
Aaron Schatz on Power Rank Podcast
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Aaron Schatz on Power Rank Podcast

It's another podcast appearance promoting Football Outsiders Almanac 2018! Here I am with Ed Feng on the Football Analytics Show from his website We discuss the basics of DVOA, how to deal with small sample size with Jimmy Garoppolo and Deshaun Watson, and why our Indianapolis projection is higher than our Jacksonville projection for 2018.

SITE NEWS: Design Refresh

We’re excited to unveil our new website design with the goal of improving your user experience. Here's what you can expect...

101 comments, Last at 22 Aug 2018, 3:29pm by Richie

Aaron Schatz on Pick Six Podcast

I went on the CBS Sports Pick Six podcast with Will Brinson to talk about Football Outsiders Almanac 2018 and preview the upcoming season. We get into the surprisingly mediocre Jaguars forecast, talk about why the Browns could be a playoff contender, and ask if the Bears can be the new Rams.

Ohio State Puts Urban Meyer on Administrative Leave

Huge news from college football, as the Ohio State Buckeyes are putting Urban Meyer on "paid administrative leave." They are investigating claims in a story from college football reporter Brett McMurphy that Meyer was aware of allegations against a former Ohio State assistant coach and did nothing about it. This could be the end for one of college football's premiere coaches at his dream job. Offensive coordinator Ryan Day will be the acting head coach during the investigation.

36 comments, Last at 07 Aug 2018, 1:00am by Subrata Sircar

SITE NEWS: FOA 2018 Errata Sheet

Information about correcting a handful of errors in the print version of Football Outsiders Almanac 2018. (Click to read more.)

SITE NEWS: Regarding Kindle Version of FO Almanac 2018

We regretfully announce that there will be no Kindle version of Football Outsiders Almanac 2018. (Click for more details.)

2 comments, Last at 01 Aug 2018, 4:20am by Eddo

FMIA: Philly's Hunger for Another Super Bowl Run

Peter King has some tidbits from Football Outsiders Almanac 2018 in today's Football Morning in America column.

1 comment, Last at 01 Aug 2018, 6:21pm by Mountain Time ---- formerly Ninjalectual

Rams, Gurley Agree to Record Deal

If reports are correct, Todd Gurley has completely reset the market for running backs. Gurley and the Rams have apparently agreed on a four-year extension which will be tacked on to the two years he has remaining on his rookie deal. The deal will be worth $60 million including $45 million in guarantees. This will give him the highest annual contact value of any running back except for Le'Veon Bell on the franchise tag. By a LOT.

23 comments, Last at 29 Jul 2018, 3:04pm by LionInAZ