Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Brian Fremeau's blog

FEI Week 6 Ratings and Game Splits
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FEI Week 6 Ratings and Game Splits

Turnovers -- like Dylan Haines' interception -- played a big part in Texas' dramatic win over Oklahoma last weekend. Brian Fremeau explains how he accounts for turnovers, and how that methodology has changed this year.

FEI Week 5 Ratings and Alabama's Unchallenged Dominance
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FEI Week 5 Ratings and Alabama's Unchallenged Dominance

Through five games, the Alabama Crimson Tide have been more dominant than any team on record -- so why do they keep dropping in the FEI rankings? Brian Fremeau explains why we won't really know how good the Tide are until November.

FEI Week 4 Ratings and Mean Wins Update
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FEI Week 4 Ratings and Mean Wins Update

Brian Fremeau updates his ratings through Week 4, and looks at which teams have moved up and down since the preseason. On the rise: LSU, North Texas, and Buffalo. Underperforming expectations: Florida State and Louisville.

FEI Week 3 Ratings and Kickoff Return Value
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FEI Week 3 Ratings and Kickoff Return Value

Terrence Horne had a pair of touchdowns on kickoff returns in South Florida's 49-38 win over Georgia Tech in Week 2. Brian Fremeau looks at the NCAA's new rules on kickoff returns and says that games like Horne's will be a lot less common in 2018.

1 comment, Last at 19 Sep 2018, 5:29pm by Joseph
FEI Week 2 Ratings and Fumble Recovery Value
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FEI Week 2 Ratings and Fumble Recovery Value

The biggest play in college football last weekend might have been when Clemson's K'von Wallace knocked the ball out of Texas A&M receiver Quartney Davis' hands. Brian Fremeau looks at points lost on fumbles and shows that Wallace's play could not have been more valuable.

3 comments, Last at 18 Sep 2018, 10:19pm by Brian Fremeau
FEI Week 1 Ratings and Drive-Ending Value
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FEI Week 1 Ratings and Drive-Ending Value

Washington-Auburn, one of the biggest games of Week 1, was largely defined by the scoring difficulties of both teams. Brian Fremeau explains why an offense can fail to score but still get positive value in his methodology.

FEI Preseason Projections
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FEI Preseason Projections

Coming off their fifth national championship in the last nine years, the Alabama Crimson Tide enter 2018 as the favorites to win it all again.

2 comments, Last at 28 Aug 2018, 1:52pm by Zach Jackson

NCAA Announces Kickoff Rule Changes

Fair catches on kickoffs received inside a team's own 25-yard line will result in a touchback beginning in 2018.

12 comments, Last at 21 Apr 2018, 2:52pm by Dan
FEI Final Ratings
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FEI Final Ratings

Another year, another Alabama championship. Is it a good thing for the sport of college football that one program is so dominant over its competition?

FEI Week 14 Ratings
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FEI Week 14 Ratings

The final numbers are in, and they say that Alabama was a better team than Ohio State this year -- but neither team should have been ranked ahead of Auburn.

14 comments, Last at 25 Feb 2018, 4:57am by CarRepairing