Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Brian Fremeau's blog

ESPN: NCAA Most Elite Teams

Will the best four teams ultimately play for the championship, or will the College Football Playoff selection committee favor the teams with the best résumés? What will matter most in the end?

1 comment, Last at 21 Nov 2016, 10:28am by Tomlin_Is_Infallible
FEI Week 11: Upsets That Didn't Upset
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 11: Upsets That Didn't Upset

What effect did last week's upsets have on the FEI rankings? Not much at all -- especially not at the very top.

7 comments, Last at 17 Nov 2016, 4:52pm by Eddo

ESPN: NCAA Odds to Win Out After Week 11

Three of the top four teams in the country suffered their first losses of the season this weekend, and that shook up the playoff picture and opened the door for several one-loss teams to make a run into the postseason. Our countdown of the undefeated and one-loss teams with the best chances to win out was shaken up as well, except for the very top of the list.

FEI Week 10, FEI at 10
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 10, FEI at 10

Ten years ago, Michigan and Ohio State were on a collision course for a regular season finale with massive postseason implications, and the FEI ratings were published here for the first time.

ESPN: NCAA Most Likely to Win Out After Week 10

Five undefeated teams and six teams with one loss will be jockeying for College Football Playoff selection committee favor down the stretch.

FEI Week 9

FEI's picks for the College Football Playoff would be Alabama, Clemson, Washington, and whoever wins the battle of Michigan and Ohio State.

ESPN: NCAA Five Undefeated Teams Left

Seven undefeated teams went on the road this weekend and four failed to come away with a win, narrowing the list of the teams most likely to run the table to five.

8 comments, Last at 03 Nov 2016, 1:59pm by ekshi
FEI Week 8: Possession Success Rate
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 8: Possession Success Rate

Does momentum exist in college football? It sure seems that way for the Louisville Cardinals.

3 comments, Last at 27 Oct 2016, 11:57am by Chappy

ESPN: NCAA Nine Undefeated Teams Left

Five undefeated teams have separated themselves from the pack in our countdown of the teams most likely to finish the season with an undefeated record.

FEI Week 7: Game Ratings
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 7: Game Ratings

Championship-caliber teams usually have a track record of blowouts, such as Michigan's 63-3 domination of Hawaii in Week 1. Plus: Washington State and W. Michigan exceed expectations in 2016.

2 comments, Last at 20 Oct 2016, 9:49am by Brian Fremeau