Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Brian Fremeau's blog

ESPN: NCAA Top Power Conference Pairs

In several Power 5 conferences, the chase to the College Football Playoff is a two-horse division race. We rank each conference by the strength of its top two teams.

ESPN: NCAA Odds to Go Undefeated After Week 7

No upsets of previously undefeated teams, but big road victories by Alabama and Ohio State pushed those two teams up our list of the most likely to run the table through the regular season.

FEI Week 6: Game Splits
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FEI Week 6: Game Splits

Brian Fremeau explains why Virginia Tech's 34-3 hammering of North Carolina was the best defensive game any team has played so far this year.

6 comments, Last at 17 Oct 2016, 9:46am by Brian Fremeau

ESPN: NCAA Odds to Go Undefeated After Week 6

Michigan and Washington dominated over the weekend and their respective likelihoods to run the table through the regular season jumped up as a result.

1 comment, Last at 10 Oct 2016, 2:13pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin
FEI Week 5: College Kickers
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 5: College Kickers

Just how unusual was Nick Weiler's 54-yarder at the gun to beat Florida State? It was the kind of kick you see just a few times in a decade.

3 comments, Last at 06 Oct 2016, 1:11pm by Brian Fremeau

ESPN: NCAA Odds to Go Undefeated After Week 5

The winners of this past weekend's highest profile games between top 10 opponents -- Clemson, Michigan, and Washington -- all passed one of their biggest tests of the season.

FEI Week 4: Ratings Check
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FEI Week 4: Ratings Check

With Alabama holding serve as the nation's top team, Brian Fremeau explains how good play-by-play teams can still struggle drive-by-drive -- and vice versa.

3 comments, Last at 01 Oct 2016, 1:29am by peepshowmopguy

ESPN: NCAA Odds to Go Undefeated After Week 4

Our weekly countdown of the 10 teams most likely to remain undefeated remained pretty stable at the top, and there are now six teams with at least a 30 percent chance of running the table through the regular season.

LSU Fires Les Miles

The Les Miles era is over after 12 seasons in Baton Rouge. Miles survived an attempted coup late in 2015 but an underwhelming 2-2 start this year for a team with legitimate preseason playoff aspirations was enough evidence for LSU to pull the plug.

4 comments, Last at 14 Mar 2018, 4:17am by Somillow
FEI Week 3: Turnover Margins
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 3: Turnover Margins

Loose balls and turnovers doomed Texas against California, and it wasn't the first time the Longhorns have been undone by a failure to hang on to the football.

8 comments, Last at 22 Sep 2016, 10:05pm by hoegher