Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Brian Fremeau's blog

FEI Week 12
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 12

TCU has played much better in the second half of games this year. What other schools have seen dramatic shifts of play after halftime?

2 comments, Last at 27 Nov 2015, 5:11pm by Brian Fremeau

ESPN: Crazy College Football Upsets of the Year

We ran the numbers based on our drive-based FEI ratings and count down the top 10 hard-to-believe college football upsets of the season to date.

FEI Week 11: Turnover-Neutral Fantasyland
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 11: Turnover-Neutral Fantasyland

What impact have turnovers had on the college football season? And what if they all went away?

ESPN: 15 Undefeated or 1-Loss Teams Left

Counting down the likelihood that the five remaining undefeated teams and the 10 remaining 1-loss teams can win the rest of their games and stay in the playoff picture.

ESPN: College Football's Best Wins Of The Year

How well did a given team play on its best day, and which teams have had the best opponent-adjusted victories of the season? Our countdown of the best wins of the season to date in college football feature a number of teams getting a boost from the playoff selection committee.

FEI Week 10: Sparty No
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 10: Sparty No

Michigan State's controversial loss to Nebraska was unusual not only in the controversial nature of the Cornhuskers' winning score, but in that the Spartans were ever in danger of losing at all.

4 comments, Last at 12 Nov 2015, 12:13pm by 3cardmonty

ESPN: Six Undefeated Teams Left

This week's rundown not only includes the likelihood each team will win the rest of its regular-season games, but also the likelihood the relevant contenders would win a conference championship game after running the table. Clemson is on cruise control, but everyone else has work to do.

FEI Week 9: 90th Percentile Update
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 9: 90th Percentile Update

Notre Dame has played some of the best football of any team this year -- even in their loss to Clemson.

ESPN: 11 Undefeated Teams Left

A total of 11 teams remain undefeated through eight weeks of the college football season, and six come from either the Big 12 or the Big Ten.

FEI Week 8: The First First Down
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

FEI Week 8: The First First Down

The Clemson Tigers scored a touchdown on every meaningful possession against Miami, except for one three-and-out. Is that kind of boom-and-bust production typical?