Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Guest's blog

Paul, Vince, and Me
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Paul, Vince, and Me

In this selection from his memoir, veteran sportswriter Edward Hershey tells of his time spent with coaching legends Paul Brown and Vince Lombardi in the summer of 1968, as Brown was saying hello to Cincinnati and Lombardi was saying goodbye to Green Bay.

5 comments, Last at 13 Aug 2018, 10:54am by barf
2017 Quarterbacks and Salary
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2017 Quarterbacks and Salary

The Eagles' path to the Super Bowl was paved by a home-field advantage earned in part because they got an MVP-caliber season from a quarterback on his rookie contract. In Baltimore, meanwhile, Joe Flacco got paid a lot of money for little production.

16 comments, Last at 11 Jul 2018, 6:37pm by kckolbe
Film Room: Deshaun Watson
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Film Room: Deshaun Watson

Guest columnist Karan Gill shows how the Houston quarterback's deep ball improved throughout his rookie season, and how Bill O'Brien put him in a position to succeed.

Long Drives and the Running Game
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Long Drives and the Running Game

When an offense is simply looking to maintain possession for as long as possible, is there an inherent advantage in running the ball as opposed to passing?

22 comments, Last at 22 May 2018, 10:29pm by gomer_rs
The Deep Ball Project
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The Deep Ball Project

Guest columnist John Kinsley breaks down the tape of every deep pass in the NFL in 2017 and comes away with a shocking conclusion: even without Andrew Luck, the Colts had the best long-ball quarterback in the league.

25 comments, Last at 27 Jul 2018, 8:17pm by lightsout85
Futures: Sam Darnold
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Futures: Sam Darnold

He's not a finished product and he has some clear flaws, but the USC quarterback might be the most tantalizing prospect in this year's draft class. Guest columnist Seth Galina explains.

13 comments, Last at 09 Apr 2018, 11:51am by Aaron Brooks Good Twin
Beating the NFL at Drafting QBs
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Beating the NFL at Drafting QBs

An alternative to QBASE: What if we told you that functional mobility was all you needed to predict the success of the top quarterback prospects? And that by one measure of that mobility, the top prospect in the class was USC's Sam Darnold?

25 comments, Last at 13 May 2018, 1:47pm by BigBlue6790
Defense and Rest Time
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Defense and Rest Time

Do defenses really wear out over the course of a game? Do defenses benefit from long drives that give them more time to rest on the sideline? Guest columnist Ben Baldwin investigates.

30 comments, Last at 23 Mar 2018, 3:23pm by Pat
Situational Play-Action Passing in the NFL
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Situational Play-Action Passing in the NFL

What down and distance make the most sense for play-action passes? And does it matter whether the quarterback is under center or in the shotgun? Guest columnist Ben Baldwin explores.

10 comments, Last at 15 Mar 2018, 1:31pm by ChrisS
2017 Adjusted Pythagorean Wins
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2017 Adjusted Pythagorean Wins

Blake Bortles made his name as the king of garbage time -- so it's ironic that if you take garbage time away, the Jacksonville Jaguars (and divisional rival Houston Texans) come out as two teams most likely to improve in 2018.

13 comments, Last at 06 Jul 2018, 10:47am by redsoxu571