Guest

Well, not quite Three True Outcomes, but the closest thing we've got in football. Guest columnist Matt Weston explains why the touchdown, the interception, and the sack are the Three True Outcomes of football, and puts Jameis Winston's historic season into perspective.

Guest columnist Ajit Kirpekar looks at the Saints' pressure rate with Drew Brees and Teddy Bridgewater, the effects of the Laremy Tunsil trade on Miami and Houston, and the opponent adjustments for the New England defense that might not be as strong as you'd expect.

Guest columnist Benjamin Ellinger breaks down every draft pick in the past 10 years. Did Cleveland's tanking policy pay off? Which teams had the best results in the draft, and which wasted their picks? And is there anything meaningful in this data, or is there really some skill involved? The answer to that question might surprise you.

No, your eyes were not deceiving you: even as a rookie, Kyler Murray was the league's most accurate passer on deep balls. Guest columnist John Kinsley pores through the splits to examine deep balls by direction, out of shotgun, under pressure, and in other situations.

In many ways, NFL coaches are more aggressive than they used to be. Going into halftime, though, they still frequently run out the clock when they should be trying to score -- unless, of course, the backup quarterback is in the game.

What makes a good run a good run? Guest columnist Caio Brighenti uses visualized data to show that more often than not, it has more to do with the blocking at the point of attack than with who is carrying the ball.

We all know the Bengals are taking LSU quarterback Joe Burrow with the first pick in the draft this week. However, nobody is sure who will be taking Utah State passer Jordan Love. Guest columnist Benjamin Robinson looks at where Love could be found in the draft, as well as what could happen with the other 31 selections in the first round.

When the Cleveland Browns took quarterback Baker Mayfield first overall in 2018, they surprised the vast majority of mock drafters. What does that say about the Browns, and what does it say about the value of mock drafts? Guest columnist Benjamin Robinson breaks down the differences between mock drafts and reality.

Guest columnists Jeremy Rosen and Alexandre Olbrecht are back with another look at rushing numbers for collegiate quarterbacks and what they can tell us about NFL success. They have good news for Tua Tagovailoa and Jordan Love, worse news for Jake Fromm and Jacob Eason.

What do play-action numbers tell us about how often teams should be running or passing? Guest columnist Lau Sze Yui shows why teams such as the Rams, that use play-action frequently, will see different results than others.