Nathan Forster's Archive
Now up on ESPN+, here's our BackCAST running back projections for the 2021 draft. As expected, Travis Etienne and Najee Harris are 1-2, but the rest of our rankings are very different from conventional wisdom. A full list of running back prospects will run on Football Outsiders next week.
Our projections for wide receivers in this year's draft must deal with a difficult question: how to account for a team's passing statistics when they have multiple draftable wideouts, such as Alabama's Jaylen Waddle and DeVonta Smith?
Here's the ESPN+ version of this year's SackSEER projections, our system for projecting the top college edge rushers into the NFL, led by Jaelan Phillips of Miami and Jayson Oweh of Penn State. An expanded version of this will run later this week on Football Outsiders.
Here's the ESPN version of our Playmaker Score system for projecting wide receivers into the NFL. The short version: DeVonta Smith is a historically great prospect, but Ja'Marr Chase is pretty good too. An expanded version of this will run later this week here on Football Outsiders.
No surprise here: Ohio State's Chase Young is the top edge rusher prospect in this year's draft class. Are there any pass-rushers teams can target if they're not lucky enough to be drafting at the top of the first round? And who is the prospect teams should avoid?
Is the 2020 class of wide receivers stacked with talented prospects? Yes it is. Is it the best of all time? Not necessarily. In his latest version of Playmaker Score, guest columnist Nathan Forster breaks down the college stats and combine performances of wideouts such as Oklahoma's CeeDee Lamb and attempts to forecast their NFL success.