Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Scott Kacsmar's blog

2017 DVOA by Routes: Receivers
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2017 DVOA by Routes: Receivers

Our intro to DVOA by routes focuses on receivers. Which wideout was the best at the game's two most common routes? Also: an argument in favor of the fade, how the Dolphins should replace Jarvis Landry's screens, and T.Y. Hilton's wacky 2017.

3 comments, Last at 17 Aug 2018, 12:35pm by Scott Kacsmar
Scott Kacsmar on The Athletic Bears Podcast

Scott Kacsmar on The Athletic Bears Podcast

Kevin Fishbain from The Athletic Chicago talks to Scott Kacsmar about Mitchell Trubisky, Matt Nagy, and the Chicago Bears chapter in Football Outsiders Almanac 2018.

2017 Slot vs. Wide: Defense
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2017 Slot vs. Wide: Defense

The Jaguars went from last to first in DVOA on wide targets after adding A.J. Bouye. How will other teams fare in 2018 after the movements of Richard Sherman, Patrick Robinson, and Tyrann Mathieu?

ESPN: Ranking Under-25 Talent of All 32 NFL Teams
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ESPN: Ranking Under-25 Talent of All 32 NFL Teams

It's time for our annual ESPN Insider look at the under-25 talent on all 32 NFL teams, ranked from the most talent (Rams at No. 1) to the least (Patriots at No. 32). The under-25 talent is a focus on the building blocks teams are putting in place that should help define the next four to eight seasons, if not longer -- if the teams are fortunate.

Predicting the 2019 Hall of Fame Class
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Predicting the 2019 Hall of Fame Class

Our 2019 Pro Football Hall of Fame predictions find three first-ballot locks. Is Tony Gonzalez the greatest tight end of all time? Also: Ed Reed's brilliance, a crazy trade for a running back, and what do we do about London Fletcher and Asante Samuel?

40 comments, Last at 09 Aug 2018, 1:29pm by Steve B
2017 Slot vs. Wide: RBs and TEs
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2017 Slot vs. Wide: RBs and TEs

Can Saquon Barkley diversify the New York offense? Is Le'Veon Bell really that unique of an offensive weapon? Just how great was Rob Gronkowski again, and how badly did Dallas misuse Jason Witten?

5 comments, Last at 02 Aug 2018, 8:59pm by LionInAZ
2017 Slot vs. Wide: Quarterbacks
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2017 Slot vs. Wide: Quarterbacks

Part II of our look at slot vs. wide focuses on quarterbacks. Who did most of his work throwing to the boundaries, and who was more prone to work the middle of the field? Includes obligatory mentions of Deshaun Watson, Jared Goff, and Jimmy Garoppolo.

3 comments, Last at 29 Jul 2018, 3:58pm by Vincent Verhei
2017 Slot vs. Wide: Wide Receivers
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2017 Slot vs. Wide: Wide Receivers

Part I of our look at slot vs. wide focuses on wide receivers. What dilemma faces the Minnesota offense? And what kind of impact will Jarvis Landry have in Cleveland?

2 comments, Last at 25 Jul 2018, 2:13pm by Aaron Brooks Good Twin
Pressure by Number of Pass-Rushers 2017
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Pressure by Number of Pass-Rushers 2017

Our conclusion to 2017's pressure study breaks down pass rushing by the number of rushers. Which defenses were the most blitz-happy or the most passive? We also found that one division loved the defensive back blitz more than any other.

8 comments, Last at 19 Jul 2018, 3:15am by bsminh63
Defense and Pass Pressure 2017
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Defense and Pass Pressure 2017

Florida was home to 2017's most impressive, most terrible, and most disappointing pass rush. And the best pass rush outside of Florida came from a surprising place: Washington D.C.

12 comments, Last at 12 Jul 2018, 9:16pm by The Ninjalectual