Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Scott Kacsmar's blog

SITE NEWS: FO Seeks Interns for Injury Database

SITE NEWS: FO Seeks Interns for Injury Database

We are looking to hire two interns to work on the injury database for the 2018 NFL season.

2017 DVOA by Routes: Defense
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2017 DVOA by Routes: Defense

On which route did Jalen Ramsey make quarterbacks look trashiest? How good were the Super Bowl champion Eagles? Also: major déjà vu for New England, and a look at the trade-off between touchdowns and interceptions for each route.

5 comments, Last at 28 Aug 2018, 1:38pm by Zach Jackson
2017 DVOA by Routes: Quarterbacks
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2017 DVOA by Routes: Quarterbacks

Why isn't there more route variation for Aaron Rodgers in Green Bay? Was Eli Manning still washed up on the most common routes in 2017? And we offer solutions for Jameis Winston's vertical woes and the right kind of fade for Derek Carr.

3 comments, Last at 04 Sep 2018, 9:13pm by greybeard
ESPN: The Best and Worst QBs at Everything
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ESPN: The Best and Worst QBs at Everything

OK, not quite everything, but we've got six lists here that go over how quarterbacks did in different metrics in 2017. Included: the best and worst quarterbacks by EPA added compared to the rest of their team -- with Alex Smith surprisingly high -- the most and least accurate quarterbacks based on pass distances, and the most and least aggressive quarterbacks on third downs.

2017 DVOA by Routes: Receivers
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2017 DVOA by Routes: Receivers

Our intro to DVOA by routes focuses on receivers. Which wideout was the best at the game's two most common routes? Also: an argument in favor of the fade, how the Dolphins should replace Jarvis Landry's screens, and T.Y. Hilton's wacky 2017.

4 comments, Last at 19 Aug 2018, 4:09am by Theo
Scott Kacsmar on The Athletic Bears Podcast

Scott Kacsmar on The Athletic Bears Podcast

Kevin Fishbain from The Athletic Chicago talks to Scott Kacsmar about Mitchell Trubisky, Matt Nagy, and the Chicago Bears chapter in Football Outsiders Almanac 2018.

2017 Slot vs. Wide: Defense
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2017 Slot vs. Wide: Defense

The Jaguars went from last to first in DVOA on wide targets after adding A.J. Bouye. How will other teams fare in 2018 after the movements of Richard Sherman, Patrick Robinson, and Tyrann Mathieu?

ESPN: Ranking Under-25 Talent of All 32 NFL Teams
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ESPN: Ranking Under-25 Talent of All 32 NFL Teams

It's time for our annual ESPN Insider look at the under-25 talent on all 32 NFL teams, ranked from the most talent (Rams at No. 1) to the least (Patriots at No. 32). The under-25 talent is a focus on the building blocks teams are putting in place that should help define the next four to eight seasons, if not longer -- if the teams are fortunate.

Predicting the 2019 Hall of Fame Class
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Predicting the 2019 Hall of Fame Class

Our 2019 Pro Football Hall of Fame predictions find three first-ballot locks. Is Tony Gonzalez the greatest tight end of all time? Also: Ed Reed's brilliance, a crazy trade for a running back, and what do we do about London Fletcher and Asante Samuel?

40 comments, Last at 09 Aug 2018, 1:29pm by Steve B
2017 Slot vs. Wide: RBs and TEs
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

2017 Slot vs. Wide: RBs and TEs

Can Saquon Barkley diversify the New York offense? Is Le'Veon Bell really that unique of an offensive weapon? Just how great was Rob Gronkowski again, and how badly did Dallas misuse Jason Witten?

5 comments, Last at 02 Aug 2018, 8:59pm by LionInAZ