Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Zach Binney's blog

Untangling the NFL Injury Web
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Untangling the NFL Injury Web

Is it possible to use player, coach, and stadium data to perfectly predict player injuries in the NFL? No -- but analyzing all three at once can show some surprising trends, including that the Eagles (Carson Wentz aside) seem to be ahead of the curve in keeping their players healthy.

21 comments, Last at 10 Oct 2018, 1:04pm by Zach Binney
Questionable Behavior
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Questionable Behavior

What does a player's status on the injury report really mean? To a large extent, that depends on which team he plays for, and what he does in practice during the week.

3 comments, Last at 27 Jun 2018, 1:11pm by jtr
Fewer Practices Does Not Mean More Injuries
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Fewer Practices Does Not Mean More Injuries

Bill Belichick says that players are getting hurt more because they are practicing less, but the numbers don't support that theory.

40 comments, Last at 11 May 2018, 10:05am by nat
Weight and Injuries
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Weight and Injuries

NFL football is a violent game, and traumatic injuries are unfortunate but unavoidable. But are bigger players more likely to be hurt than their smaller peers?

16 comments, Last at 21 Mar 2018, 12:03pm by justanothersteve
What Does 'Injury-Prone' Mean in the NFL?
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What Does 'Injury-Prone' Mean in the NFL?

Once a player misses time due to injury, what are the odds that injury will haunt him in years to come?

40 comments, Last at 10 May 2018, 3:14am by Adrian---
Do Thursday Games Cause More Injuries?
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Do Thursday Games Cause More Injuries?

Richard Sherman's torn Achilles was just one of a long list of injuries to both teams in Thursday night's Seahawks-Cardinals game. Was this an anomaly, or are Thursday games more dangerous and likely to cause injuries?

14 comments, Last at 14 Feb 2018, 4:13pm by jdkiskamp
The Truth Behind Rising Injury Rates
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The Truth Behind Rising Injury Rates

Zachary O. Binney tries to explain the rise in NFL injury rates over the past decade. Are players getting hurt more often? Or are teams doing a better job of diagnosing and reporting injuries?

9 comments, Last at 24 Oct 2017, 8:05am by jtr
Turf Type and NFL Injuries: Part II
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Turf Type and NFL Injuries: Part II

In our second look at turf and injuries, we look at specific stadiums, with some surprising results. It turns out the turf in Washington isn't nearly as dangerous as you may have been led to believe.

9 comments, Last at 15 Oct 2018, 2:52am by famitofu
Turf Type and NFL Injuries: Part I
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Turf Type and NFL Injuries: Part I

Is natural grass really the safest surface for NFL players? And are certain artificial turfs safer than others?

18 comments, Last at 18 Sep 2017, 5:40pm by qawrsdrfytgujhok
Fact Check: QB Injury Numbers
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Fact Check: QB Injury Numbers

Some media outlets are reporting that quarterback injuries were way down in 2016. Our numbers say that just isn't the case.

14 comments, Last at 07 Apr 2017, 6:01pm by Tomlin_Is_Infallible