Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Ruining QBs: The NFL's Recipe for Disaster

One way of looking at my views on quarterback development is that I’m out of touch with the realities of the NFL. Another is that, collectively speaking, the NFL’s behavior with management and development is rife with impatience and fear–and not just with quarterbacks.

Comments

2 comments, Last at 28 Apr 2015, 8:12am

1 Re: Ruining QBs: The NFL's Recipe for Disaster

by Parmenides // Apr 27, 2015 - 5:49pm

Great analysis on the contract situation and what is possible with the rookie wage scale. My understanding is that the NFL is incredibly hide bound in respect to who they left in the coaches club. People get second chances without any obvious reason sometimes. So group think seems endemic. Also, the genera human compulsion to never admit error. Are there owners willing to tell folks that its ok to suck if the pieces aren't there and that it will take time to get there depending on the current state of the team.

It would also be interesting to see a sort of inverse analysis that asks what you need to have a quarterback play immediately and succeed. Is it the quarterback? Is the team around them. Not every crappy team is crappy in the same way. So what was it about Cam Newton, Andrew Luck and the like that made them successful so quickly?

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2 Re: Ruining QBs: The NFL's Recipe for Disaster

by Bright Blue Shorts // Apr 28, 2015 - 8:12am

Good article.

I think much of the problem is reflected culturally outside of the NFL where everything has become win-now, immediate results.

Many of the new owners have come from the business world where it is very much about getting ahead of the competition to put them out of business. Correcting mistakes after the fact rather than planning and building. There is very little actual managing or coaching goes on to help employees perform better - if you can't do the job, just get someone else in and hope they're better. (And of course NFL free agency has facilitated the ability to turn rosters over quicker).

I also think there is an element of the Parcells - "if they want you to cook the meal, they at least ought to let you to buy the ingredients" mentality that headcoaches bring in as franchises look for quick turnarounds.

Rather than the owner/GM have a longterm view that they've picked up QB for the future who may need development and the coach HAS to work with him. Coaches now demand that they want "their guy" and "their coaching staffs" if they're to have any opportunity to win.

Josh McDaniels going to Denver was a classic example of all that can go wrong. He got rid of the franchise QB in Cutler to bring in Kyle Orton. When things went wrong, John Fox was left to pick up the pieces with Tim Tebow initially.

I watched something recently with Robert Kraft and he said that Bill Belichick had to prove himself over the years before he was given extra responsibility. And when it comes to well run franchises that seems like the model to follow.

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