The surprising Carolina Panthers are No. 1 in DVOA for the first time in history! Let's look at some similar teams to see how likely it is that they will be able to keep up their early success, especially on defense. Plus, why the Raiders may not be as good as the other 2-0 teams, and can the Chiefs survive despite awful defense?
The New Orleans Saints are No. 1 in our DVOA ratings after Week 1, but what's really impressive is seeing all four NFC West teams in the top six. Plus, DAVE ratings are back for 2021, and we introduce our new NFL formula for Post-Game Win Expectancy. Which three games this week were won by the "wrong" team?
Updated DVOA projections have the Kansas City Chiefs higher than the projection from Football Outsiders Almanac 2021, predicting a Tampa Bay-Kansas City rematch in Super Bowl LVI. Green Bay and Denver are also up; New Orleans, Indianapolis, and Baltimore have all declined since the book.
Washington dominated the 1983 NFL season... until they ran into the Los Angeles Raiders in the Super Bowl. Plus: another great San Francisco year, Dan Marino's outstanding rookie campaign, and perhaps the strangest year of field goal kicking in modern history.
Let's go back in time with another dominant 80s San Francisco squad and Dan Marino enjoying one of the greatest quarterback seasons in NFL history. Plus, the legend of the Chicago defense begins, Eric Dickerson sets the all-time rushing yardage record, and the Rams score three safeties in one quarter.
Buffalo, Green Bay, and Tampa Bay remain 1-2-3 in weighted DVOA, with Kansas City behind them. How do the Chiefs' playoff odds change if Chad Henne has to start next Sunday? What if we instead assume the Chiefs are actually as good as they were two years ago?