DVOA Analysis

Buffalo, Green Bay, and Tampa Bay remain 1-2-3 in weighted DVOA, with Kansas City behind them. How do the Chiefs' playoff odds change if Chad Henne has to start next Sunday? What if we instead assume the Chiefs are actually as good as they were two years ago?

Buffalo remains on top of our weighted DVOA ratings, with Green Bay moving up to No. 2. Now updated through the wild-card round.

New Orleans finishes the year No. 1 in our DVOA ratings, but Buffalo is now the hottest team going into the postseason. Also leading the league in 2020: Green Bay on offense, Pittsburgh on defense, and New England on special teams.

Five of our top six teams score big wins this week, but it's the Buffalo Bills who might be the hottest team in the league with five straight games over 40%. Plus: are teams with better week-to-week consistency more likely to win in the postseason?

Nine years ago, a transcendent quarterback led a team that was considered inevitable despite other weaknesses ... until they lost in the playoffs. There are many similarities between the 2011 Packers and the 2020 Chiefs, starting with how Football Outsiders wrote about them.

The Saints fall significantly but keep the top spot in DVOA. Now they're getting ready for the Weighted DVOA Bowl against the most consistent team in the league and the Super Bowl favorites, the Kansas City Chiefs.

New Orleans stays at No. 1. Kansas City moves up to second in weighted DVOA. Buffalo and Washington are rising. Plus, the Chargers may have the worst special teams unit ever, while Baltimore has one of the best.

New Orleans and Pittsburgh are still 1-2, and Kansas City's stellar passing game still can't get them to the top of our DVOA ratings. But it's one of the best we've ever measured.

The switch to Taysom Hill can't stop the Saints from dominating this year's DVOA ratings. Plus, Las Vegas is the team most hurt this year by a combination of schedule and fumble luck. Which teams rise and fall after DVOA adjustments?

New Orleans remains No. 1 thanks in part to an excellent run defense, but how good is it compared to other run defenses of the last 20 years? Plus, Pittsburgh (barely) becomes our new Super Bowl favorite and Las Vegas makes a big move up the DVOA ranks.