The 1981 Philadelphia Eagles squandered a strong regular season and the San Francisco 49ers took home their first Super Bowl while the Baltimore Colts had the worst defense in NFL history.
Go back 40 years with 1982 DVOA, to a weird season cut in half by a player strike. The Jets were great, the Chargers offense was great, and Washington won despite not being great.
If you took the best offense and defense in each franchise's history, who would win the Super Bowl? Top contenders include the Patriots, Eagles, and Rams.
Remember when Jason Garrett was going to turn the Giants around? Or when Arthur Smith was going to spark an offensive renaissance in Atlanta? Or when literally anyone was healthy for the Ravens?
Dan Quinn, defensive mastermind? Justin Herbert joins the ranks of the elite? Mac Jones, best rookie QB? Every year, a handful of teams outshine their DVOA projections. Here are 2021's brightest examples.
Dallas, Green Bay, and Buffalo lead our second year of "way too early" projections. And look out for the Baltimore Ravens and their easy 2022 schedule.
The Rams have a clear lead over the Bengals in our DVOA ratings, as Cincinnati is one of the lowest-rated teams to ever make it to the Super Bowl.
DVOA likes the Chiefs win over Buffalo even more than you think, making them the hottest team left. Plus: Green Bay and the worst playoff special teams games ever.
Last night's blowout win was very good for the Rams. Updated DVOA ratings plus a look at the Patriots and the worst playoff games ever.