The introduction of opponent adjustments scrambles our ratings a bit, with Tampa Bay emerging as a surprising, balanced No. 1 team. Kansas City, Baltimore, Indianapolis, and Green Bay round out the top five.
80 comments, Last at 09 Oct 2020, 03:57pm by theslothook
Led by defense, Indianapolis is a surprise No. 1 in the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings. Pittsburgh and San Francisco follow them. Plus: the worst 3-0 teams in DVOA history, and yet another hot Buffalo start follows a decade filled with hot Buffalo starts.
Baltimore starts the year at No. 1 again, which is not a surprise. But some of the lower ratings after Week 1 are a surprise. What is Minnesota doing ahead of Green Bay, and why is Kansas City only 16th after what looked like a dominating Opening Night performance?
Our updated DVOA projections for 2020 still have New Orleans and Kansas City, and then Baltimore, far ahead of the rest of the league. COVID-19 opt outs help contribute to a good amount of movement since the book, especially with a couple of larger drops by teams in the AFC East.
61 comments, Last at 13 Sep 2020, 12:21pm by RevBackjoy
Six years ago, we ran an article estimating DVOA all the way back to 1950 based on standard stats. Let's update those tables now that we have real play-by-play breakdown for 1985-1988 and six additional seasons since 2014. The 2018 Chiefs and 2019 Ravens are among the teams now appearing on these best-ever tables.