DVOA Analysis

Football Outsiders' revolutionary metrics that break down every single play of the NFL season

DVOA Ratings

Super Bowl LII DVOA/Quick Reads
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Super Bowl LII DVOA/Quick Reads

Here are all our advanced numbers from Super Bowl LII. As you can imagine, the offensive numbers are pretty high. The Patriots end up with the higher DVOA, but that's not how games get decided.

39 comments, Last at 22 Feb 2018, 7:31pm by eagle97a
Conference Championship Quick Reads/DVOA Ratings
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Conference Championship Quick Reads/DVOA Ratings

The Patriots stay No. 1 in weighted DVOA but the Eagles move up to No. 2 thanks to the best single game of the last two seasons.

19 comments, Last at 02 Feb 2018, 4:56pm by Hoodie_Sleeves

Week 19 DVOA Ratings

Weighted DVOA ratings after the divisional round show that No. 1 New England and No. 2 Minnesota have been trending up while Philadelphia and Jacksonville have been trending down.

34 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2018, 11:14am by Alec B

Week 18 DVOA Ratings

Our first playoff DVOA ratings don't show much difference from the final regular-season ratings, with the Patriots and Saints leading in weighted DVOA and a surprisingly large gap between Philadelphia and Atlanta.

43 comments, Last at 13 Jan 2018, 8:52pm by hardynickerson56
Final 2017 DVOA Ratings
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Final 2017 DVOA Ratings

The Rams tumble after sitting all their starters, making room for the New Orleans Saints to finish the year at No. 1 for the first time ever. Plus, a closer look at the weird 2016-2017 dynamic where special teams were far more consistent and offenses far less consistent.

101 comments, Last at 07 Jan 2018, 11:44am by andrew
Week 16 DVOA Ratings
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Week 16 DVOA Ratings

The Rams fall slightly but stay No. 1 this week. Pittsburgh and New England rise with their best games of the year. Baltimore and Philadelphia fall, as does Jacksonville, and we look at what it means for the Jaguars to be the most inconsistent team in the NFL in 2017.

34 comments, Last at 29 Dec 2017, 10:54am by BJR
Week 15 DVOA Ratings
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Week 15 DVOA Ratings

On one end, the No. 1 Rams are enjoying the greatest turnaround season in DVOA history. On the other end, last-place teams that really aren't that bad historically, including the No. 32 Browns and the "best worst defense ever" in Oakland.

87 comments, Last at 26 Dec 2017, 4:54pm by DezBailey
Week 14 DVOA Ratings
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Week 14 DVOA Ratings

The Rams lose the DVOA Bowl but keep the top spot, achieving something historically rare: ranking in the top five for all three phases of the game. Meanwhile, four great defenses take a tumble when Seattle, Jacksonville, Pittsburgh, and Baltimore all score way more points than expected.

90 comments, Last at 15 Dec 2017, 7:29pm by CHIP72
Week 13 DVOA Ratings
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Week 13 DVOA Ratings

After vanquishing the New Orleans Saints, the Los Angeles Rams must now face the Philadelphia Eagles in the third annual DVOA Bowl. Come revisit the history of No. 1 vs. No. 2 DVOA matchups and learn why this matchup is more like No. 1 vs. No. 1. Plus: deep drive on the Minnesota Vikings.

92 comments, Last at 10 Dec 2017, 9:06pm by vrao81
Week 12 DVOA Ratings
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Week 12 DVOA Ratings

The Rams rise again, with Los Angeles and Philadelphia now 1-2 in DVOA and 2-1 in Weighted DVOA. Plus: the big Arizona upset doesn't change the fact that the Jaguars are challenging an all-time DVOA high while the Cardinals challenge an all-time DVOA low... and Miami challenges TWO all-time DVOA lows!

100 comments, Last at 02 Dec 2017, 11:13am by sandbun