DVOA Analysis

Football Outsiders' revolutionary metrics that break down every single play of the NFL season
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DVOA Week 2: Panthers No. 1 for First Time Ever

The surprising Carolina Panthers are No. 1 in DVOA for the first time in history! Let's look at some similar teams to see how likely it is that they will be able to keep up their early success, especially on defense. Plus, why the Raiders may not be as good as the other 2-0 teams, and can the Chiefs survive despite awful defense?

Sep 21, 2021
75

DVOA Week 1: NFC West is Best

The New Orleans Saints are No. 1 in our DVOA ratings after Week 1, but what's really impressive is seeing all four NFC West teams in the top six. Plus, DAVE ratings are back for 2021, and we introduce our new NFL formula for Post-Game Win Expectancy. Which three games this week were won by the "wrong" team?

Sep 14, 2021
34

Week 19 DVOA Ratings

Buffalo, Green Bay, and Tampa Bay remain 1-2-3 in weighted DVOA, with Kansas City behind them. How do the Chiefs' playoff odds change if Chad Henne has to start next Sunday? What if we instead assume the Chiefs are actually as good as they were two years ago?

Jan 18, 2021