DVOA Analysis

Remember when Jason Garrett was going to turn the Giants around? Or when Arthur Smith was going to spark an offensive renaissance in Atlanta? Or when literally anyone was healthy for the Ravens?

Dan Quinn, defensive mastermind? Justin Herbert joins the ranks of the elite? Mac Jones, best rookie QB? Every year, a handful of teams outshine their DVOA projections. Here are 2021's brightest examples.

Dallas, Green Bay, and Buffalo lead our second year of "way too early" projections. And look out for the Baltimore Ravens and their easy 2022 schedule.

The Rams have a clear lead over the Bengals in our DVOA ratings, as Cincinnati is one of the lowest-rated teams to ever make it to the Super Bowl.

DVOA likes the Chiefs win over Buffalo even more than you think, making them the hottest team left. Plus: Green Bay and the worst playoff special teams games ever.

Last night's blowout win was very good for the Rams. Updated DVOA ratings plus a look at the Patriots and the worst playoff games ever.

Where did Saturday's Bills game rank among the best playoff games in DVOA history? Plus, updated weighted and total DVOA including the wild-card round.

The Dallas Cowboys are No. 1 in DVOA for 2021, followed by Buffalo and Tampa Bay. Jacksonville finishes last. Plus: We had a really good year for predicting things.

This week: A look at the Titans and the worst No. 1 seeds ever by DVOA, plus an in-depth dive into why DVOA thinks the Bengals aren't a top Super Bowl contender.

Dallas takes the top spot in both total and weighted DVOA, while Kansas City... goes down slightly? How on earth did that happen?