DVOA Analysis

Football Outsiders' revolutionary metrics that break down every single play of the NFL season

DVOA Week 1: NFC West is Best

The New Orleans Saints are No. 1 in our DVOA ratings after Week 1, but what's really impressive is seeing all four NFC West teams in the top six. Plus, DAVE ratings are back for 2021, and we introduce our new NFL formula for Post-Game Win Expectancy. Which three games this week were won by the "wrong" team?

Sep 14, 2021

Week 19 DVOA Ratings

Buffalo, Green Bay, and Tampa Bay remain 1-2-3 in weighted DVOA, with Kansas City behind them. How do the Chiefs' playoff odds change if Chad Henne has to start next Sunday? What if we instead assume the Chiefs are actually as good as they were two years ago?

Jan 18, 2021