DVOA Analysis

Football Outsiders' revolutionary metrics that break down every single play of the NFL season

DVOA Ratings

Week 14 DVOA Ratings
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Week 14 DVOA Ratings

Chicago's big win over the Rams moves the Bears into position as a historically dominant defense while also moving the Chargers up in DVOA to set up DVOA Bowl XIX this Thursday night. Plus, in-depth on the Rams' record-setting offensive line season, and why DVOA isn't as high as conventional wisdom on the Dallas Cowboys.

53 comments, Last at 14 Dec 2018, 5:05pm by Sportszilla
Week 13 DVOA Ratings
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Week 13 DVOA Ratings

The Chargers and Broncos rise to give us three AFC West teams in our top five. Plus, a further look at Baltimore's three-game winning streak and playoff odds in the NFC East with a huge game between Philadelphia and Dallas this coming Sunday.

58 comments, Last at 07 Dec 2018, 8:36pm by Richie
Week 12 DVOA Ratings
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Week 12 DVOA Ratings

This week, we look at offenses and defenses that have improved over the last few weeks, including Minnesota and the No. 1 defense in the league since Week 6. Plus, what would our Super Bowl odds look like if DVOA didn't have Kansas City rated so much better than other advanced metrics?

95 comments, Last at 03 Dec 2018, 9:39pm by PTORaven
Week 11 DVOA Ratings
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Week 11 DVOA Ratings

Close loss or not, DVOA is ready to ride or die with the Kansas City Chiefs. In fact, Chiefs-Rams was one of a number of games this week where the losing team ended up with a higher rating than the winning team.

42 comments, Last at 22 Nov 2018, 7:08pm by t.d.
Week 10 DVOA Ratings
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Week 10 DVOA Ratings

Big wins mean big movement in our DVOA ratings, with Pittsburgh jumping up from 11th to fifth and big moves for Green Bay, Tennessee, and Buffalo as well. We also explore the history of the DVOA Bowl as No. 1 prepares to meet No. 2, and jump into the workings of DVOA to try to figure out why New Orleans doesn't rank higher in our metric.

58 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2018, 1:34am by MC2
Week 9 DVOA Ratings
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Week 9 DVOA Ratings

The Chiefs hit the DVOA sweet spot against Cleveland on Sunday, shooting their ratings up so they now rank among the best teams ever in both offensive and total team DVOA after nine weeks. The Patriots, Falcons, and 49ers also rise this week.

58 comments, Last at 14 Nov 2018, 3:38pm by Richie
Week 8 DVOA Ratings
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Week 8 DVOA Ratings

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams still are on top of our DVOA ratings, but this week the Chiefs pass the Rams as our new Super Bowl favorite. The reasons? Schedule strength, fumble recovery luck, and the presence of the best first-year starting quarterback in NFL history.

98 comments, Last at 03 Nov 2018, 3:50pm by mehllageman56
Week 7 DVOA Ratings
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Week 7 DVOA Ratings

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams remain on top of the DVOA ratings, far ahead of the rest of the league. But below these top teams, there's a lot of movement up and down. What on earth are the Denver Broncos doing at No. 5? We explain. Plus: Buffalo is now the worst offense in DVOA history.

45 comments, Last at 30 Oct 2018, 11:53am by tkinsman9
Week 6 DVOA Ratings
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Week 6 DVOA Ratings

In close games, DVOA doesn't look at wins and losses, which is how the Chiefs can take over the No. 1 spot from the Rams despite a close loss. The secret: strength of schedule and special teams. Plus, more of a look at the incredibly bad Buffalo offense and the surprisingly good Buffalo defense.

58 comments, Last at 23 Oct 2018, 7:21pm by Richie
Week 5 DVOA Ratings
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Week 5 DVOA Ratings

The New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Chargers leap up the DVOA rankings, but they're still behind the current big three of the Rams, Bears, and Chiefs. Plus, more on just how high-powered this year's offensive environment has been, and further exploration of why our Miami Dolphins ratings are so confusing.

80 comments, Last at 15 Oct 2018, 3:59pm by Richie