DVOA Analysis

Football Outsiders' revolutionary metrics that break down every single play of the NFL season

DVOA Ratings

Week 6 DVOA Ratings
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Week 6 DVOA Ratings

In close games, DVOA doesn't look at wins and losses, which is how the Chiefs can take over the No. 1 spot from the Rams despite a close loss. The secret: strength of schedule and special teams. Plus, more of a look at the incredibly bad Buffalo offense and the surprisingly good Buffalo defense.

57 comments, Last at 19 Oct 2018, 1:56pm by Eddo
Week 5 DVOA Ratings
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Week 5 DVOA Ratings

The New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Chargers leap up the DVOA rankings, but they're still behind the current big three of the Rams, Bears, and Chiefs. Plus, more on just how high-powered this year's offensive environment has been, and further exploration of why our Miami Dolphins ratings are so confusing.

80 comments, Last at 15 Oct 2018, 3:59pm by Richie
Week 4 DVOA Ratings
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Week 4 DVOA Ratings

The Los Angeles Rams are still No. 1 in our DVOA ratings, dominating the league with one of the best offenses we've ever measured. Week 4 introduces opponent adjustments into DVOA, so we look at how schedules have impacted team and player performance so far. Learn why Eli Manning had a very different September than Saquon Barkley.

50 comments, Last at 06 Oct 2018, 11:14pm by usernaim250
Week 3 DVOA Ratings
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Week 3 DVOA Ratings

The Los Angeles Rams are still on top of our DVOA ratings, followed by the other two undefeated teams, Miami and Kansas City. We look closer at how the Chiefs rank among the best offensive starts ever, and just how much a two-game lead means for Miami in the playoff odds.

54 comments, Last at 28 Sep 2018, 1:35pm by Aaron Schatz
Week 2 DVOA Ratings
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Week 2 DVOA Ratings

The Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City Chiefs are 1-2 in the latest DVOA ratings, but the most surprising unit early in the season is the Miami Dolphins defense.

58 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2018, 4:03pm by alan frankel
Week 1 DVOA Ratings
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Week 1 DVOA Ratings

J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets! Yes, Gang Green has a rare spot on top of the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings after a huge Week 1 win over Detroit. You should also learn to spell "Ravens," because Baltimore is right behind them.

72 comments, Last at 14 Sep 2018, 10:00pm by morgzord
2018 DVOA Projections
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2018 DVOA Projections

Updated preseason DVOA projections are here. It's a very unbalanced NFL, with seven of our top nine teams coming from the NFC. Pittsburgh and New England are the two AFC holdouts, and they're on top of our ratings and our Super Bowl odds, though our Super Bowl favorite has flipped since we published Football Outsiders Almanac 2018.

50 comments, Last at 11 Sep 2018, 4:36pm by panthersnbraves
Super Bowl LII DVOA/Quick Reads
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Super Bowl LII DVOA/Quick Reads

Here are all our advanced numbers from Super Bowl LII. As you can imagine, the offensive numbers are pretty high. The Patriots end up with the higher DVOA, but that's not how games get decided.

39 comments, Last at 22 Feb 2018, 7:31pm by eagle97a
Conference Championship Quick Reads/DVOA Ratings
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Conference Championship Quick Reads/DVOA Ratings

The Patriots stay No. 1 in weighted DVOA but the Eagles move up to No. 2 thanks to the best single game of the last two seasons.

19 comments, Last at 02 Feb 2018, 4:56pm by Hoodie_Sleeves

Week 19 DVOA Ratings

Weighted DVOA ratings after the divisional round show that No. 1 New England and No. 2 Minnesota have been trending up while Philadelphia and Jacksonville have been trending down.

34 comments, Last at 18 Jan 2018, 11:14am by Alec B