DVOA Analysis

Baltimore is dominating the DVOA ratings after two weeks, followed by Seattle and Pittsburgh. Plus: Are the Saints better than they looked on Monday night, and are the Eagles completely screwed?

Baltimore starts the year at No. 1 again, which is not a surprise. But some of the lower ratings after Week 1 are a surprise. What is Minnesota doing ahead of Green Bay, and why is Kansas City only 16th after what looked like a dominating Opening Night performance?

Our updated DVOA projections for 2020 still have New Orleans and Kansas City, and then Baltimore, far ahead of the rest of the league. COVID-19 opt outs help contribute to a good amount of movement since the book, especially with a couple of larger drops by teams in the AFC East.

Introducing a new upgraded version of our main DVOA metric that will count scrambles as pass plays instead of runs while also fixing some errors that underrated dome defenses in our past ratings.

DVOA can tell us how each team performed compared to an average squad, but guest columnist Matt Bittle breaks down the standard deviation of each year to see who really stood out from the pack.

Six years ago, we ran an article estimating DVOA all the way back to 1950 based on standard stats. Let's update those tables now that we have real play-by-play breakdown for 1985-1988 and six additional seasons since 2014. The 2018 Chiefs and 2019 Ravens are among the teams now appearing on these best-ever tables.

Were the Chicago Bears the best team in NFL history? It depends on how much you value the postseason. Plus: A big year in big markets, Ron Brown and one of the best special teams units ever, and the greatest team to ever get outscored. Travel back to 1985 with us as we unveil full DVOA ratings for the year of the Super Bowl Shuffle.

How does our analysis of running games and passing games change when we consider scrambles as pass plays rather than running plays? Come see where Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes add even more value to their offenses, and see why some running games (Seattle, Kansas City) aren't as good as they look at first glance.

Kansas City and San Francisco enter Super Bowl LIV with similar total DVOA ratings for the season, but Kansas City is the favorite according to weighted DVOA.

The final four teams in order by weighted DVOA go Kansas City, Tennessee, San Francisco, and then after a big gap, Green Bay.