DVOA Analysis

Football Outsiders' revolutionary metrics that break down every single play of the NFL season

DVOA Ratings

Week 10 DVOA Ratings
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Week 10 DVOA Ratings

Big wins mean big movement in our DVOA ratings, with Pittsburgh jumping up from 11th to fifth and big moves for Green Bay, Tennessee, and Buffalo as well. We also explore the history of the DVOA Bowl as No. 1 prepares to meet No. 2, and jump into the workings of DVOA to try to figure out why New Orleans doesn't rank higher in our metric.

58 comments, Last at 16 Nov 2018, 1:34am by MC2
Week 9 DVOA Ratings
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Week 9 DVOA Ratings

The Chiefs hit the DVOA sweet spot against Cleveland on Sunday, shooting their ratings up so they now rank among the best teams ever in both offensive and total team DVOA after nine weeks. The Patriots, Falcons, and 49ers also rise this week.

58 comments, Last at 14 Nov 2018, 3:38pm by Richie
Week 8 DVOA Ratings
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Week 8 DVOA Ratings

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams still are on top of our DVOA ratings, but this week the Chiefs pass the Rams as our new Super Bowl favorite. The reasons? Schedule strength, fumble recovery luck, and the presence of the best first-year starting quarterback in NFL history.

98 comments, Last at 03 Nov 2018, 3:50pm by mehllageman56
Week 7 DVOA Ratings
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Week 7 DVOA Ratings

The Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Rams remain on top of the DVOA ratings, far ahead of the rest of the league. But below these top teams, there's a lot of movement up and down. What on earth are the Denver Broncos doing at No. 5? We explain. Plus: Buffalo is now the worst offense in DVOA history.

45 comments, Last at 30 Oct 2018, 11:53am by tkinsman9
Week 6 DVOA Ratings
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Week 6 DVOA Ratings

In close games, DVOA doesn't look at wins and losses, which is how the Chiefs can take over the No. 1 spot from the Rams despite a close loss. The secret: strength of schedule and special teams. Plus, more of a look at the incredibly bad Buffalo offense and the surprisingly good Buffalo defense.

58 comments, Last at 23 Oct 2018, 7:21pm by Richie
Week 5 DVOA Ratings
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Week 5 DVOA Ratings

The New Orleans Saints and Los Angeles Chargers leap up the DVOA rankings, but they're still behind the current big three of the Rams, Bears, and Chiefs. Plus, more on just how high-powered this year's offensive environment has been, and further exploration of why our Miami Dolphins ratings are so confusing.

80 comments, Last at 15 Oct 2018, 3:59pm by Richie
Week 4 DVOA Ratings
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Week 4 DVOA Ratings

The Los Angeles Rams are still No. 1 in our DVOA ratings, dominating the league with one of the best offenses we've ever measured. Week 4 introduces opponent adjustments into DVOA, so we look at how schedules have impacted team and player performance so far. Learn why Eli Manning had a very different September than Saquon Barkley.

50 comments, Last at 06 Oct 2018, 11:14pm by usernaim250
Week 3 DVOA Ratings
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Week 3 DVOA Ratings

The Los Angeles Rams are still on top of our DVOA ratings, followed by the other two undefeated teams, Miami and Kansas City. We look closer at how the Chiefs rank among the best offensive starts ever, and just how much a two-game lead means for Miami in the playoff odds.

54 comments, Last at 28 Sep 2018, 1:35pm by Aaron Schatz
Week 2 DVOA Ratings
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Week 2 DVOA Ratings

The Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City Chiefs are 1-2 in the latest DVOA ratings, but the most surprising unit early in the season is the Miami Dolphins defense.

58 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2018, 4:03pm by alan frankel
Week 1 DVOA Ratings
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Week 1 DVOA Ratings

J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets! Yes, Gang Green has a rare spot on top of the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings after a huge Week 1 win over Detroit. You should also learn to spell "Ravens," because Baltimore is right behind them.

72 comments, Last at 14 Sep 2018, 10:00pm by morgzord