DVOA Analysis

Football Outsiders' revolutionary metrics that break down every single play of the NFL season

DVOA Ratings

Week 4 DVOA Ratings
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Week 4 DVOA Ratings

Opponent adjustments have arrived for the first time in 2017, but they can't hurt the Kansas City Chiefs: No. 1 again and undefeated despite playing one of the league's ten toughest schedules so far.

86 comments, Last at 10 Oct 2017, 10:38am by DezBailey
Week 3 DVOA Ratings
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Week 3 DVOA Ratings

Kansas City is No. 1 in DVOA after three big wins, but Atlanta is surprisingly not No. 2... or even close. Plus: What if we put in opponent adjustments a little earlier than normal? It helps the NFC East.

86 comments, Last at 03 Oct 2017, 5:11pm by junglejoe_lv
Week 2 DVOA Ratings
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Week 2 DVOA Ratings

The 2-0 teams are on top, led by No. 1 Baltimore and the best defensive DVOA ever measured through Week 2. The 0-2 teams are on bottom, except for the Los Angeles Chargers, who are cursed.

55 comments, Last at 26 Sep 2017, 10:41am by DezBailey
1986 DVOA Ratings and Commentary
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1986 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Great NFC defenses dominated the NFL in 1986, but while Richard Dent, Dan Hampton, and the Bears led the league in DVOA, it was the No. 3 Giants who took home the Super Bowl title. Plus: Crazy Chiefs, Patriots who couldn't run, and the Jets go Full Kotite.

130 comments, Last at 01 Mar 2018, 9:39am by CHIP72
Week 1 DVOA Ratings
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Week 1 DVOA Ratings

It's been a long time since we've been able to say this: The Los Angeles Rams are No. 1 in the DVOA ratings. Our ratings jump to conclusions a bit on the Rams, but not the Patriots, who still have high playoff and Super Bowl odds.

111 comments, Last at 21 Sep 2017, 7:22pm by Sleet
2017 DVOA Projections
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2017 DVOA Projections

DVOA projections updated with preseason changes still confirm what everyone is thinking about the 2017 NFL season: the Patriots are the team to beat, and the Jets and Browns are still very bad.

46 comments, Last at 11 Sep 2017, 9:25pm by RickD
1987 DVOA Ratings and Commentary
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1987 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

Let's go back in time 30 years, when a four-week player strike threw the entire league into turmoil. We've got advanced stats for both the regular players and the strikebreakers, plus a San Francisco 49ers team that led the league in both offense and defense but imploded in one of the greatest upsets in NFL postseason history.

109 comments, Last at 28 May 2017, 10:37pm by The Ninjalectual
Super Bowl LI DVOA/Quick Reads
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Super Bowl LI DVOA/Quick Reads

The Falcons offense achieves a balance of first-down mastery and third-down misery that may be unprecedented in DVOA history. Plus: James White and Julio Jones are your players of the game.

100 comments, Last at 09 Feb 2017, 2:51pm by ClavisRa
1988 DVOA Ratings and Commentary
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1988 DVOA Ratings and Commentary

An unstoppable offense led by the MVP. A dynasty seeking one more title. That's not just the recipe for Super Bowl LI. It was also the recipe for Super Bowl XXIII. Now the Bengals, 49ers, and all of 1988 have been fully analyzed for DVOA ratings.

113 comments, Last at 06 Feb 2017, 3:26pm by JoeyHarringtonsPiano
Conference Championship Quick Reads/DVOA Ratings
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Conference Championship Quick Reads/DVOA Ratings

Two more blowouts this weekend have us asking: has this been the worst set of playoff games we've ever seen? Plus, DVOA and DYAR ratings from Sunday.

57 comments, Last at 27 Jan 2017, 10:41am by SandyRiver