DVOA Analysis

Football Outsiders' revolutionary metrics that break down every single play of the NFL season

DVOA Ratings

Week 8 DVOA Ratings
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Week 8 DVOA Ratings

Denver shoots up our rankings with a big win over Green Bay, part of an AFC West surge that gives Kansas City an outside shot at the playoffs and gives Oakland its highest DVOA rank since Football Outsiders was founded in 2003.

86 comments, Last at 29 Apr 2016, 9:38pm by kimkom
Week 7 DVOA Ratings
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Week 7 DVOA Ratings

The Patriots return to the No. 1 spot, in a tight battle with Arizona and Green Bay atop the DVOA ratings. Plus: Denver and the worst 6-0 teams ever, and why is Teddy Bridgewater's DVOA rating so much lower than his QBR?

104 comments, Last at 30 Oct 2015, 9:35pm by DezBailey
Week 6 DVOA Ratings
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Week 6 DVOA Ratings

A very strange week for the DVOA ratings gives us a number of games with topsy-turvy results and the Arizona Cardinals somehow regaining the No. 1 spot despite a loss to Pittsburgh.

159 comments, Last at 06 Mar 2018, 9:16am by JeffreyKew
Week 5 DVOA Ratings
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Week 5 DVOA Ratings

Surprisingly strong defense so far is helping the Patriots dominate the league in 2015. But the equally well-rounded Arizona Cardinals are right behind them on the list of the ten best teams in DVOA history through Week 5.

100 comments, Last at 20 Oct 2015, 10:05pm by Tomlin_Is_Infallible
Week 4 DVOA Ratings
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Week 4 DVOA Ratings

New England takes over the top spot in DVOA, one of six undefeated teams that give us an almost 1-in-10 chance of a team going 16-0 in 2015. Cincinnati and Atlanta battling in the first all-undefeated Super Bowl? It could happen.

53 comments, Last at 08 Oct 2015, 9:34pm by Karl Cuba
Week 3 DVOA Ratings
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Week 3 DVOA Ratings

The Arizona Cardinals are still on top of the DVOA ratings, but how much does it matter that they've crushed three of the worst teams in the league?

364 comments, Last at 06 Oct 2015, 4:42am by RobotBoy
Week 2 DVOA Ratings
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Week 2 DVOA Ratings

The Arizona Cardinals have dominated the NFL through two weeks. But if we don't know how good (or, more likely, bad) their opponents are, how much does that mean in the long run?

85 comments, Last at 25 Sep 2015, 5:19pm by LyleNM
Week 1 DVOA Ratings
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Week 1 DVOA Ratings

Using just one week of stats, all the winning teams rate as better than all the losing teams, which is stranger than you think. Tennessee and Buffalo had the best Week 1, but a longer-term view still favors New England and Green Bay.

99 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2015, 5:21pm by WeaponX
2015 DVOA Projections
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2015 DVOA Projections

Our annual DVOA projections have some surprising teams as Super Bowl contenders, including St. Louis and Atlanta. Not surprising: Seattle is the favorite to win Super Bowl 50.

115 comments, Last at 13 Sep 2015, 10:22pm by LionInAZ

Week 20 DVOA Ratings

After the Patriots have one of the top five single-game performances of the season, our weighted DVOA ratings score Super Bowl XLIX as perhaps the biggest toss-up in SB history.

78 comments, Last at 30 Jan 2015, 7:04pm by normgambles