DVOA Analysis

Football Outsiders' revolutionary metrics that break down every single play of the NFL season

DVOA Ratings

Week 11 DVOA Ratings
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Week 11 DVOA Ratings

Denver is still No. 1, but as the weakest first-place team in DVOA history. Tampa Bay is almost the strongest last-place team in DVOA history. And Arizona is still inexplicably No. 15 at 9-1. Ball of confusion: that's what DVOA is today. Hey hey.

185 comments, Last at 25 Nov 2014, 3:20am by ronnyo
Week 10 DVOA Ratings
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Week 10 DVOA Ratings

Now that we have ten weeks of data to work with, even big wins only lead to small moves in the DVOA rankings. Plus: Why schedule strength so far helps both Andrew Luck and Marshawn Lynch make their MVP cases.

208 comments, Last at 17 Nov 2014, 5:50pm by Pat
Week 9 DVOA Ratings
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Week 9 DVOA Ratings

Miami makes a big move up to No. 3 with the strongest single-game DVOA of the year, just one of many teams where FO stats and conventional wisdom disagree in 2014.

109 comments, Last at 08 Nov 2014, 2:38pm by The Hypno-Toad
Week 8 DVOA Ratings
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Week 8 DVOA Ratings

Five teams in the NFL are 6-1 or 6-2. One of those teams, Denver, ranks among the best teams we've ever tracked. None of the other four teams even rank in the DVOA top ten right now. Why not?

139 comments, Last at 04 Nov 2014, 10:39am by mitch
Week 7 DVOA Ratings
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Week 7 DVOA Ratings

Denver: great team, or the greatest team? Would you be satisfied with "one of the ten greatest teams?" Plus: hard times in the NFC South, where defense goes to die.

163 comments, Last at 28 Oct 2014, 12:23am by ziuziu
Week 6 DVOA Ratings
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Week 6 DVOA Ratings

Why is John Harbaugh so happy? His math-lovin' left guard just told him how much the numbers love the Ravens this year. But why aren't the numbers as excited as the public when it comes to the Dallas Cowboys?

124 comments, Last at 19 Oct 2014, 4:47pm by theslothook
Week 5 DVOA Ratings
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Week 5 DVOA Ratings

Sometimes it can be hard to tell who is good or bad in the NFL... except in our DVOA ratings, where the same two teams from 2012 and 2013 are back on top in 2014.

140 comments, Last at 10 Oct 2014, 8:19pm by intel_chris
Week 4 DVOA Ratings
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Week 4 DVOA Ratings

Five different teams from last year's DVOA top eight rank in the bottom half of the league through four weeks of 2014. What can we learn from other teams with similar starts in the past?

137 comments, Last at 03 Oct 2014, 11:54pm by Perfundle
Week 3 DVOA Ratings
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Week 3 DVOA Ratings

For only the second time in history, the Bengals are No. 1 in our ratings. But compared to other No. 1 teams after three weeks, there's a real lack of dominance.

105 comments, Last at 30 Sep 2014, 1:10pm by Mr Shush
Week 2 DVOA Ratings
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Week 2 DVOA Ratings

Stomping the Jags leaves Washington No. 2 behind only Denver. But what can we really learn from one big win early in the season, before we are applying opponent adjustments?

76 comments, Last at 14 Oct 2014, 11:14am by CharlieAdam14