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FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I guess this isn't a mailbag, but a "tweetbag," as the question came from Twitter.

@DeanList: Please help settle debate. Rank Revis, Polamalu, Matthews. Anyone else we are missing in a list of top defensive players right this minute (not career).

I figured this would be a fun discussion thread, so rather than give my own list, I polled the FO staffers and came up with a comprehensive list. We did rank Revis, since we were thinking about how well guys play when healthy, which Revis hasn't been this season. The answer we came up with was Troy Polamalu. Look at the difference between last year's Steelers and this year's Steelers. However, our number-two guy wasn't even in the question. Defensive tackles just get no love, but the Ravens defense revolves around Haloti Ngata. Ben Muth's answer listed Ngata as the first, second, third, and fourth best player (Polamalu was fifth). This was our comprehensive list:

Troy Polamalu
Haloti Ngata
Darrelle Revis
Nnamdi Asomugha
Clay Matthews

We also had votes for Trent Cole, Ndamukong Suh, DeMarcus Ware, Dwight Freeney, Ray Lewis, and -- Bill Barnwell is always the contrarian -- Jonathan Babineaux. I'll add that while he has to do it for more than a half-season to be considered the toppermost of the poppermost, Jason Jones is kicking ass and taking names in Tennessee.

Feel free to discuss and argue in ye olde discussion thread.

Comments

109 comments, Last at 21 Jan 2011, 3:14pm

1 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Look at the difference between last year's Steelers and this year's Steelers.

It always surprises me what methods are used to rank players when there are no viable stats available. On defense, the most popular method is, "the unit looks great when X is healthy, not great when he isn't; ergo, X is the difference". This argument has been made for Albert Haynesworth, Bob Sanders and Shawn Merriman, among others, in recent years. None of those players, now, seems so herculean, but the Titans, Colts and Chargers have all emerged from their dips in form, and are again among the top defenses.

I think it's about as useful to compare DBs to DTs as it is to compare an RB with an OG.

Dick LeBeau is more valuable than any player.

2 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Has it been pointed out that it really isn't the 10 most *dangerous* things you can do in bed? That list would be a lot more esoteric.

23 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I don't think he's injured, it's more that there aren't any other players in the back seven that have stepped up to take some attention away from him (pretty disappointed about that) and the rather pathetic offense leads to the entire defense spending too much time on the field.

Also the niners scheme doesn't make any accommodation for strong-side or weak-side on defense. The middle linebackers are more like right-middle and left-middle and they think of their safties as left and right too. I can see the rationale behind it, you give fewer clues to the offense and adjustments are easier to different formations but I do wonder if they should be more willing to scheme around Willis, who is by far their best player. It can't help that the symmetry breaks down on the defensive line where Sopoaga and Smith have very different skill sets.

4 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I like Muth's answer.

Of course, I'm a Broncos fan. I don't know what a great defensive player looks like.

5 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

While Polamalu is an awesome player they also missed Aaron Smith last year (and from now on this year). We shall see if losing Smith again hurts them.

Whilst I think Clay Matthews is an excellent player and should be near the top of the list for 'players you would want to build a franchise around' (he is after all one fo the genetic mutants that are the Matthews family), I am not sure he is amongst the best defensive players in the league just yet.

Also Julius Peppers should be in the conversation, he is a monster pass rusher and plays the run better than just about any DE in football at the moment. He also plays both sides, drops into coverage well and makes extraordinarily athletic plays for a 300lb man.

8 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Troy Polamalu is ridiculously overrated. What kind of asinine logic is "look at the difference between last year's Steelers and this year's Steelers" ?

As if the Steelers have been living in a vacuum the last 2 years - with & without only Polamalu. I mean, is he this overrated because he's a Steeler? Or is it the commercials?

He isn't even the best player at his own position or on his team.

9 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

At the level he's playing right now, Justin Tuck has to be in the conversation. Maybe not #1 overall, but definitely top 5. I'd probably have him at #3 after Polamalu and Ngata.

This season Tuck has added elite run defense to his already strong pass-rushing skills. He continuosly stops RBs for little-no gain or negative yards. And that includes guys having great seasons like Arian Foster and Chris Johnson (before garbnage time). Having watched all 7 Giants games, I think there's no question that the two reasons they've gone from awful to #1 in DVOA is (1) improvement/health of Tuck and (2) subtraction of CC Brown.

16 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Is that a joke? I have to believe you're joking. There are a dozen reasons I can think of off the top of my head as to why our defense has improved, and Tuck's improved play is not one of them. He was our best defensive player last year too.

(1) Fewell coming in is important. Buffalo had a top 5 defense with him last year and are now dead last without him.

Healthy players! (2) Phillips (3) Boley (4) Canty and (5) Webster.

(6) Cofield and (7) TT have really stepped it up, (8) Osi is back to form, and (9) Goff is exceeding expectations.

Signed (10) Rolle.

If you want to include the absence of particular players as contributing factors, then (11) CC and (12) Pierce.

24 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Landry. Somebody earlier said Orakpo. 2 years ago, everyone would have said Haynesworth. #22 in DVOA with such players (including DeAngelo Hall, who really playing good for real, guys!) Oh, Washington: all of the "big names" and none of the production...

13 TOP100

given the recent NFL TOP 100 - I think it would be interesting to see FO's top 100 done the same way. Each FO writer getting a ballot and then sum the rankings.

The NFL Network top100 was what you expect - tendency to over rate players from the top teams.

Or a smaller list - say top 20.

78 Re: TOP100

In reply to by jmaron

I second this motion: I'd love to see that list.

109 Re: TOP100

In reply to by hbh_uk

Paul Lucas 3rd it

17 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Personally I've thought that Ngata has been a beast for a few years now, I think that nobody would be mentioning Ray-Ray without him.

Matthews over Ware already? Really?

Suh has been simply amazing so far, he might be the second best DT in the league already. I've never seen a player like him in twenty years.

37 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I also seem to recall a lot of people saying they'd never seen a DT like Suh in college, including Dorsey. I guess you'll usually hear both sides for any college player, but based on my memory, most people were way higher on Suh than they ever were on Dorsey.

26 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Justin Smith is the best 3-4 DE in the league, he puts Aaron Smith to shame.

N. Suh is perhaps the best 4-3 DT in the league--and the Lions defensive line is as good as Tennessee's IMO. Once the Lions get a couple linebackers and a safety this offseason, that's a playoff team next year.

DeMarcus Ware is having an off-season, if he's not on the downside of his career already. I was watching the Cowboys-Jaguars game on NFL Rewind the other day, and Ware was getting ABUSED by Jacksonville.

Trent Cole is also having an off-year, from what I've seen, though I haven't watched many Eagles games. The best 4-3 DE this season is Julius Peppers, and I don't think anyone else even comes close, not Justin Tuck, not even the guys in Indianapolis. The man has been ON FIRE this year.

28 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I'd be with you as far as Detroit in the playoffs in 2011, if only Stafford still didn't so freakin' iffy. I thin they've have a decent record next year, but if he doesn't improve, he's going to start costing them games and inching towards "bust that sinks a half-decent team."

Also, Cole is far from having an off year - he's basically the only thing keeping a very inconsistent defense together. And don't get me started on "those guys in Indy" and their crappy sack rate, completely invisibility against the run and being above average players on a mediocre defense.

40 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Next year he will be in his third season. He if doesn't get better (and plays at the level he has played this year) he will cost them games. Let me look up and see how many good QB's were still playing terribly in their 3rd year and costing their teams games on a regular basis... Gosh, you're right: Marino the only example of QB who was even average by their 3rd year in the league!

A year and a half in the league and Stafford is still playing terrible. This wouldn't be so conspicuous if his back-up, an unimpressive journeyman who couldn't steal the starting job from Alex Smith, hadn't played at an above average level. The excuses of "he's young" and "it's the team around him" will not fly much longer...

44 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Given that Stafford has played 5 quarters of football this year, how do you have enough information to have such a strong opinion of his 2nd year? terrible? He didn't play well in the first half last week, but he did pretty well in the second half. A little early to judge his 2nd season.

And Hill did not play as well as you seem to think. No better than league average.

51 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I;m going by FO's numbers: Stafford is a pretty ugly -7.0% DVOA. Hill is 10.5%. Hill's DVOA neighbors are Matt Cassel, Josh Freeman & Carson Palmer. Stafford's are Alex Smith & Jason Campbell.

I agree it is way too early to write Stafford off... but if he continues to play at the same level into next season, it's going to be an Alex Smith in SF situation, which I can't imagine any Lions fans would be thrilled to have happen... But there's plenty of time for him to keep developing and playing with a good team as it comes together is a great place for a young QB to be...

56 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Stafford hasn't played nearly enough this year to make any reasonably judgement about what level of performance he has achieved.

Claiming that a QB with less than 20 starts needs to improve his performance is not really interesting or insightful. You could claim the same thing about all but a handful of QBs in the entire history of the NFL.

59 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Fair enough. But isn't Stafford's development the main issues in terms of Detroit's future? And hasn't he been bad thus far?

Also: all but a handful of QB's? Please provide any evidence of what you are saying or at least clarify it? Do you mean Jamarcus Russell types or Kevin Kolb types? Do you mean that every Qb should be given more than 20 starts to determine if they are good enough to play at the NFL level? What's line you're drawing?

Listen, I know you don't like me and have a knee-jerk negative reaction to the things I write, but what are you even trying to say? That Stafford needs more time, case closed? Don't you think it's a lot more complicated than that? Or do you mean that his performance up to this point is irrelevant? Just curious what you think quaifies as deep and meaningful and I'll try to keep within your very advanced parameters for brilliant discourse.

73 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I don't dislike you at all. You're making some lazy criticisms, which I find fault with. Your claim that Stafford needs to improve is true for most QBs, especially young QBs.

If you want to provide meaningful commentary compare him to other QBs of similar age and experience. Just throwing out "he needs to improve" isn't all that useful. How much does he need to improve? Has he shown signs that he is improving? How far behind the curve is he (if any)?

As for your question about how many games it takes to decide, I think it's a function of how bad the QB is. If he's really terrible, you cut your losses sooner, if he shows signs he might be good, you stick with him longer. Stafford has been bad, but he hasn't been cover your eyes terrible.

107 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Stafford was at least as good as Sanchez last year, on a -much- worse team, playing behind one of the worst OL's in the league rather than the league's best offensive line (which NYJ was last year), overall, and admittedly IMO. In addition, Stafford has been in and out of the lineup with injuries, and has played a lot of time with a shoulder that was less than 100%.

I think he is likely to be at least as good an NFL QB as Sanchez going forward, and potentially a lot better. Sanchez' ceiling is pretty much Chad Pennington due to arm strength; Stafford's is higher. Does Stafford have room to, and need to, improve? Absolutely. But being able to produce without targeting Calvin Johnson more than four times (for 13 yards) is a big step forward. He kept Detroit in the game against a trendy (if idiotic) Super Bowl pick, the Jets. That's better than anyone could expect.

33 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

You're probably right. He was dominant against the Packers; I remember being very impressed with his playing the run as well as the pass, but then he was invisible against the Redskins (thank you, Trent Williams!) Those are the only Eagles games I've actually seen this year.

43 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Gah, that Redskins game was the low-point of the Eagles' season in about a hundred different ways, though. A load of crappy performances, top-to-bottom.

That all said, I'm not sure I would rank Cole as one of the top defenders in the league. I guess I have too many memories of watching a future Hall of Famer like Dawkins play to be quick to elevate "really, really great" players to "awesome, best in the business" status.

34 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Freeney and Mathis might not play the run like a 1970s defensive end but they're not supposed to. They do what their coaches ask them to do and do it very well, Jason Taylor played in a very similar manner but with better DTs clogging things up inside him.

54 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

My point is that I can remember an interview with Taylor when he was with the dolphins where he said that his job on run plays was just to get wide, stay wide and make sure that nobody got outside him, as long as he did that he had done his job by funneling the play back to the inside. I think that Freeney and Mathis are being asked to do the same thing. Basically there is only so much anyone can observe without knowing what the players are being asked to do. If the Colts were unhappy with the way they played the run they'd have probably corrected it by now.

58 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Actually, no Freeney and Mathis rarely keep contain. They just rush up the field, and if they run into a RB they'll tackle him. You'll notice there are often huge holes off tackle where the respective ends have vacated their gaps.

Your other point is important though, it's the clear the Colts don't care or actively encourage this behavior.

92 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

There are times they are told to contain and it's pretty obvious (partly because they're standing still, partly because the OT assumes he'll use their momentum and just nudge them out of the way--he's unprepared for them to pull back and stand still), but as you said, not only do they generally run upfield, they do it as instructed. If Freeney happens to spin inside and the RB is there, sweet. If he bull- or edge-rushes and the RB cuts up-field early, oops. At least he stopped a sweep.

91 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I think that's debatable. And it's not just stats--in fact it's hardly stats, but pocket pressure for Freeney. In the last four seasons, they lost playoff games simply because he was injured. Billy Volek subbing for Rivers picked them apart four years ago with Freeney on IR (and Mathis limping) and Brees was roughly 20 for 23 in the second half of the SB last year (compared to the first half when Freeney got pressure). He only had one sack, but his disruption profoundly changes the opposition's offense.

100 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

"Those guys in Indy" are Pro Bowlers, and probably the fastest defensive ends in football. They both have to be consistently doubled. There was a play during the Philly game yesterday where the Eagles had three guys on Freeney.

They're not run stoppers. They're not supposed to be. They stop the run on the way to the QB.

These guys are franchise leaders in sacks and forced fumbles.

Ask any Colts fan if they'd rather have Haynesworth, Cole, Peppers, Suh, or anyone else playing DE, and I'm pretty sure the answer would be "Nope".

57 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I don't mean it as a knock on Aaron; I live in Colorado and always try to cheer for hometown talent. There was a super bowl Steelers team where 3 out of the front 7 starters on defense went to College in state, so that was pretty cool. Maybe I'm discounting his past seasons too much, but I always come away from a game feeling way more impressed with Justin. Maybe he's just a "flashier" player, but I can't remember any 3-4 end who gets sacks like that.

76 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

The thing about Aaron is that he doesn't make a lot of plays, including sacks, but that he does a great job of controlling gaps and eating blocks so that the guys behind him can put up impressive stats. He's the kind of guy who Dr. Z would have loved to support for the Hall of Fame, but opposing lineman and coaches will have to rave about him to get him in.

None of this is meant as a knock on Justin.

82 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I can see your point on that. Didn't Justin come from a 4-3 in Cincy? I think it is clear that he is the more developed pass rusher. But the things that Aaron does to enable other players to make plays and in the run game he is almost unblockable. I agree with the poster below, a Dr. Z kind of guy. Justin is a good player as well. I would just prefer the non-injured version of Aaron to build my 3-4 D. Doesn't make me right...

30 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

On reflection I do still think the best pure pass rusher in the league is Dwight Freeney. His run defending isn't all that good but he is still an absolute terror going after the QB. He can whip really good LTs and that is rare.

41 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

If he's such a great pass rusher and doesn't play the run (and has a good pass rusher on the other side of his line), then every year he should have more notably more sacks than anyone else in the league. There's no excuse for him to be very good at rushing the passer and terrible at everything else because plenty of players are just about as good as him at rushing the passer and also very good at playing the run. Freeney is Derrick Thomas type who is insulting to bring up in "great player" conversations.

45 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

That's some fantastically shallow analysis you've got there. It's like you've never stopped to consider schemes, gameplanning or other personnel. I don't know that Freeney is one of the best defensive players in the league, but you certaintly haven't laid out a compelling case against him.

If that's what you're going to bring to the table, perhaps you should lay off Barnwell for a while.

52 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Listen, I've heard all of the "it's the scheme, it's what he's asked to do" arguments and they are completely unconvicning. The fact is this: there at least a half dozen players in the league who produce as many sacks and hurries as Freeney every year and, on top of it, those players have 3 or 4 the amount of run stops and defeats. Every year, there are at least six players who do as much as Freeny and then a lot more on top of it: sorry, they do more on the field, period. And there's even the circumstantial evidence that if asked to do as much as Tuck or Cole, Freeney would fail to produce at their level as far as sacks/hurries.

There are several DE's who produce as much as him on the field and several he does not do nearly as much as. It's simple.

Also, a post in which he calls Jonathan Babineaux the best defensive player in the league might not be the most opportune time to defend Barnwell.

63 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

"The fact is this: there at least a half dozen players in the league who produce as many sacks and hurries as Freeney every year and, on top of it, those players have 3 or 4 the amount of run stops and defeats."

I don't have handy numbers for hurries, stops, and defeats, but this claim is demonstrably untrue as to sacks. As a necessary exercise for SackSEER, I have the sack numbers through year five for every edge rusher drafted since 1999. Of those over 200 players, only two: DeMarcus Ware and Jared Allen had, or are on pace to have, more sacks than Freeney over this time period.

Freeney may be a one dimensional player, but that one dimension is so hella good that it has to be reasonable to at least include him in the conversation as one of the top defensive players in the league. Not to mention that there is a whole lot of economic evidence in the form of player contracts that the particular skillset that Freeney does have (terrorizing the quarterback) is more valuable by several factors than the one that he does not (holding the point).

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Yes, SackSEER has become self-aware.

65 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

So the main argument in Freeney's favor IS longevity? Also, I'm assuming 1999 is the year Freeney came into the league, which makes the comparison too convenient in his favor: how many top DE's started in 1999, ended their careers in around then, etc. - and how are you determing "on pace?" For instance, Cole didn't come on until his third year in the league. Of course, based on a 5 yeard sample containing only 3 good years, he's not "on pace." But anyway, my claim is not that as many people have sacks totals over their career comparable to Freeney, but that in any given year, he's part if a group of six or seven top rushers in terms of his numbers - he's not demonstravly better than everyone else in the league at rushing the passer and generating sacks. His career totals are higher, but his yearly average is not other-worldly - how often has he even led the league in sacks?

Agreed that rushing the passer is more valuable than holding the line - but my point is that it's very possible to do both. In fact, every year a bunch of players do it. Players who get as many sacks as Freeney, but also total higher numbers of stops and defeats and even plain old tackles. And glad you brought Allen he was main example last year against Freeney: his run-stop numbers are much ridiculously better than Freeney's that it was silly to compare the guys. Never looked at Ware's numbers, but if they're anything else most otehr pass rush specialists in the league, they blow away Freeney's number.

Freeney has done it for a long time. There's plenty to be said for that. That's valuable. But best defensive player in the league? He really should be able to make a claim to "best defensive player this year," which none of these numbers make. Or do you think Curtis Martin is the greatest RB of all time?

Here are thos numbers, past 3 years:
Freeney Sacks: 13.5, 10.5, 3.5 Defeats: 20, 14, 10 Stops: 25, 23, 17
Allen Sacks: 14.5, 14.5, 15.5 Defeats: 27, 25, 32 Stops: 43, 41, 62
Cole Sacks: 12.5, 9. 12.5 Defeats: 23, 29, 31 Stops: 49, 59, 56

Even comparing Freeney's best to the other's worst, he still doesn't produce. He's roughly as valuable as a pass rusher and half or a third as valuable in otehr capacities...

68 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

First, your assumption in your first paragraph is false: Freeney entered the league in 2002.

You also seem to misunderstand my post. The metric is sacks within the first five years of play. There have been several sets of players in that sample who have those full first five years. Unsurprisingly, several edge rushers have had careers that spanned more than five years, so Freeney is more than just a compiler.

Your argument that Freeney is somehow less valuable because he consistently registers double digit sack seasons rather than a few mediocre seasons paired with a few eye-popping ones seems silly to me. Comparing Freeney to Curtis Martin is a real stretch.

I'm not sure what your table at the end proves, other than that Freeney has comparable recent numbers to other top pass rushers in the league. Also, the question is not who "has been best over the last three years" but who is the "best now." Given Freeney's history as an excellent and consistent pass rusher, and the fact that he is having a strong season which puts him ahead of both Cole and Allen in sacks thus far (especially Allen, who is having an awful, awful season by his standards), I think it's reasonable to have Freeney in the conversation as one of the league's top defensive players at this moment.

For the record, I would put DeMarcus Ware ahead of Clay Matthews. His sack numbers for his career to-date are a crazy high outlier.

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Yes, SackSEER has become self-aware.

70 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

In any given year (not over the course of a career), there are several people who do everything he does AND MORE. It's simple.

I'm not saying his own value in terms of sacks is low: it is obviously amojng the best in the league regularly. But there are six or seven players every year who produce as many sacks while also providing far more run support. It's a fact.

Therefore, the only argument in Freeney's favor is longevity. But "best in the league?" How can you even argue that?

EDIT: I also just re-read your post and now I have now idea what the numbers you are citing mean. "Sacks within the first five years?" James Harrison and Lamar Woodley might have some complaints about the value of that measure...

Also, he's behind Cole in sacks this year. Guess that's not in the magic database yet.

80 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Reading your response, I still suspect that you may be confused about how I measured Freeney in my example. Re-read the SackSEER article. It's the exact same metric. Sacks in the first five years. If you're quibbling with the metric, Woodley scores quite well and James Harrison went undrafted, which is one of the reasons that it's tailored to judge high round picks.

I still find your compiler argument unconvincing. Find a player at any position who is consistently the statistical leader year in and year out. Jim Brown gets mad props for leading the league in rushing in several consecutive years because such year by year dominance is so rare. Of course Freeney won't meet that standard because it's nearly impossible.

I don't consider Asante Samuel the best cornerback in the league, but I would consider him one of the best and behind the very players that you list for precisely the reasons that you mention.

Nobody is arguing that Freeney is the "best in the league" but only that he is "one of the best in the league." Even then, FO put him on the honorable mention list along with Trent Cole, whose inclusion makes your whole point about mixing up Freeney's and Cole's 2010 sack totals in my "magic database" ring a bit hollow. I think that Freeney is right where he belongs on that list, and I'm not sure why you're objecting to his placement so strenuously.

As far as SackSEER, it's still very early, but its basic tenet about this draft class is true thus far: no Freeney's or Cole's. I agree that Graham's projection is pretty close. Its success has been dampened somewhat by the Colts' curious decision to put Hughes on the inactive list for most of the season. Time will tell if it's because the Colts are eccentric or Hughes is just not very good.

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Yes, SackSEER has become self-aware.

69 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Or let me put it another way: would you consider Asante Samuel the best CB in the league? Why not? He has a very specific skill set (getting interceptions) and over the past few years ranks among the best in the league in terms of that one particular skill, pure interception stats, he's one ot the top (he might even be the top, for all I know.) His team doesn't ask him to do run support, they just ask him to bait opposing CB's into throwing his way. Sometimes he gives up big plays as a result., but more frequently he does exactly what is asked of him in this extremely narrow capacity.

But of course you wouldn't call him the best CB in league. Because much more complete players like Charles Woodson, Darrelle Revis & Nnamdi Asomugha exist. They do everything Samuel does... and more. It's that simple. People would treat you like a lunatic if you insisted Samuel was the best in the league at his position (let alone best defensive player in the league.)

93 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Where's the forced fumbles line item?

Getting the ball back for your team is more valuable than a sack, and a bit more valuable than a pressure even if it leads to an INT (because of field position). Freeney already has a strip-sack lead to a teammate's TD this season--that's probably worth 3-4 regular sacks.

In Freeney's down sack years, he tends to have very high pressure numbers, and over the past 5-6 years, he's #2 in FFs behind his teammate, Mathis. I want the ball back in Manning's hands more than I want to force Phil Rivers into 3rd and 15.

Add in pressures and hits, and double and triple teams (opening up the field for teammates much the way a giant blocker-hogging NT is a great boon for LBs--see the Ngata/Lewis discussions above). Freeney's game is a LOT more complete than you are giving him credit for. Also add in false starts and holding penalties. (Okay the last one is a joke, since holdig is no longer a penalty in the NFL.) A holding call against the LT blocking Freeney negated a McNabb TD a couple weeks ago--that "hold" was worth four points, but doesn't show up in your stats above.

86 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Uh, number of sacks alone is useless.

Player A might have 10 sacks, but play against mostly 1-on-1's with a tackle and rarely play against double teams.

Player B might have 10 sacks and be schemed against with all sorts of frequent double-teams and extra protection.

The on the field production of the latter is MUCH higher than the former. The former is probably getting sacks because a better pass rusher is drawing the pass protection attention away from him.

Freeney consistently has offenses scheme against him in pass protection, and frequently has offenses scheme to run at him.

From a pass protection production standpoint, he not only has amazing per-year averages. But like others that are that good at pass rushing, he is schemed against all the time. I agree that the others near his pass rush prowess are all better run defenders. But few are also very good run defenders, most are average.

Talking about any one guy doing better in one year is an empty, worthless, analysis. So what? They probably weren't schemed against for half of such a breakout year, and without multiple years of success, it could be a statistical fluke.

55 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Those players aren't producing the fumbles that Freeney produces, they aren't in scheme where they line up in the exact same spot every play and never blitzes, they haven't been injured which lead to the end on the other side--who generally looks good--becoming a complete non-factor. Are they even the same players every year or is a few guys having one hit wonders?

I agree with Xoa, your analysis is lazy.

61 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

But I've heard all this before and the fact remains that there are several players in any given year who play DE who produce as much as Freeney in terms of sacks and hurries and far more in terms of run support. Excuse me if I don't buy the whole "but they WANT to have a mediocre defense, don't care in they rank in the bottom third of the league in sack rate and don;t care that their run defense is terrible." That's fine - but someone needs to start producing evidence of Freeney's greatest that isn't simply "he has a lot of sacks and forced fumbles"... because several players every year DO JUST AS MUCH AND MORE. You can blame his scheme for the holes in his game, but that doesn't make him a great multidimensiol player like, Tuck, Cole or Jared Allen (every year but this one.)

And comparing him to all-time greats like Strahan and Taylor is just... what would convince you they're better? It's not that they equal his pass rush stats and surpass him but a GIGANTIC amount in rush defense stats like stops and defeats. How about the simple logic of "a guy who pins his ears back and rushes on every play SHOULD have more sacks and hurries, so he need to REALLY dominate those categories to be impressive." Give me a made-up analysis that isn't "shallow." I'm curious what would convince you. Help me out: YOU make the argument that, say, Reggie White is better than Freeney and let me know what the deep, profound components of the argument are. (and I hope you have something up your sleeve less shallow than "Reggie White played longer.")

42 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

As a ravens fan, it's been obvious for several years that ngata is the most valuable player on that team after flacco. The weird thing about him is that he's playing in a scheme that doesn't flatter his talents with statistics. His play allows players around him to put up great numbers though because offenses are limited in their ability to run on the ravens. He's never struck me as THAT important on passing downs though. He's an acceptable pass rusher from the 3-4 right end position, but it's just not what he does. And in a league where passing offense is king, it makes his value harder to estimate. On the one hand, he's really not improving your pass defense that much from his ability to rush the passer. On the other hand, his ability against the run means that you can cheat other players against the pass with less concern for being caught by surprise by a running play. Similarly, I'm sure freeney's insane personal ability against the pass has a very large positive impact on the colts run defense because they don't need to worry about having to blitz, allowing them to dedicate their linebackers and safeties to staying alert and tracking down ball carriers.

64 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

With respect to Indy...what the hell are you trying to say? The Colts are EPICALLY terrible against the run, in large part because they abandon it in favor of the pass rush. If you're trying to claim that Freeny is a net strength on that run defense, you're basically saying that the rest of the team is playing at a junior varsity high school level.

66 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

my position is that the indy defense may be geared to stop the pass and not to be very good against the run, but I'm saying that their run defense would probably be a lot worst without freeney. i mean they've got craptacular defensive talent, tiny linebackers, tiny defensive tackles. it'd be a miracle if they weren't bad.

47 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

I'll reply later with my choices once there has been more discussion. I'm also doing this as an "at their position" list, because the best 3-4 MLB (which is Patrick Willis) is less valuable than the best 4-3 DE.

In no particular order, the contenders:

Troy Polamalu, Justin Tuck, Osi Umenyiora (sp?), Mario Williams, Nnamdi Asomugha, Shaun Phillips, DeMarcus Ware, Clay Matthews, Ndamukong Suh, Trent Cole, Lawrence Timmons.

98 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Seriously, no Julius Pepper¡ What does the man have to do to at least be considered alongside Tuck (whom I think he's outplaying). I know he can't play against the Bears' O-Line like Tuck did to pad his stats, so what else?

- Alvaro

50 Re: FO Mailbag: Best Defensive Players

Any other Steelers fans out there think Timmons, not Polamalu, is the best defender they are putting on the field right now?