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Injury Aftermath: Week 3
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Injury Aftermath: Week 3

Jimmy Garoppolo is the clear and obvious headline, but four teams also lost key defenders to major injuries in Week 3.

7 comments, Last at 30 Sep 2018, 2:23pm by LionInAZ
Next Gen Stats Introduction to Completion Probability

Next Gen Stats Introduction to Completion Probability

We've all seen the Next Gen Stats as part of NFL broadcasts -- player speed, distance traveled, etc. -- but this story on NFL.com is the first time I've seen anything really useful done with the data. For each pass thrown in the NFL, they've calculated the likelihood of a completion based on six factors:

  • Air distance, the actual distance between the passer and receiver, both horizontally and vertically.
  • Target separation, the distance between the receiver and the nearest defender in coverage.
7 comments, Last at 03 Oct 2018, 5:15pm by Dan
How Much Each QB Matters to the Spread

How Much Each QB Matters to the Spread

Interesting article where ESPN Chalk asked the Westgate how much each starting quarterback would be worth to the line if he were injured. Aaron Rodgers is the most, at 10 points. Some of the interesting results: I'm surprised how low the Saints are here, as much as I love Teddy Bridgewater. I just figure Drew Brees is worth more than just 2 points. I also wonder what they would have said about the difference between Ryan Fitzpatrick and Jameis Winston if they had been asked two weeks ago instead of right now.

1 comment, Last at 22 Sep 2018, 7:11am by Raiderfan
Injury Aftermath: Week 2
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Injury Aftermath: Week 2

Our weekly update on injuries around the league, as the Jaguars and Giants lose key linemen for the year and the Eagles take yet another blow to their receiving corps. Also featuring way more kickers than usual.

5 comments, Last at 19 Sep 2018, 10:57am by Noah Arkadia
Browns Trade Josh Gordon to Patriots

Browns Trade Josh Gordon to Patriots

Well, did not see this coming. The Cleveland Browns have announced they will release Josh Gordon, the uber-talented, uber-troubled wide receiver. (UPDATE: Actually, they traded him to New England for a fifth-round pick.)

32 comments, Last at 23 Sep 2018, 1:31am by Theo
Injury Aftermath: Week 1
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

Injury Aftermath: Week 1

Green Bay's high-profile quarterback appears to have avoided major injury, but two of the league's most prolific veteran tight ends are set to miss extended time.

UPDATE: Deion Jones to IR.

7 comments, Last at 15 Sep 2018, 10:18am by TomC
Monday Morning Digest: The Steelers and Le'Veon Bell are Risking It All

Monday Morning Digest: The Steelers and Le'Veon Bell are Risking It All

More Le'Veon Bell and Odell Beckham than you can shake a stick at, plus Nathan Peterman's career quarterback rating, which is barely old enough to buy a beer.

11 comments, Last at 15 Sep 2018, 2:10am by MC2
Scott Kacsmar's Full 2018 NFL Predictions

Scott Kacsmar's Full 2018 NFL Predictions

Scott Kacsmar shares his full predictions for the 2018 NFL season.

2 comments, Last at 10 Sep 2018, 2:27pm by barf
For a Passing League, the NFL Still Doesn't Pass Enough

For a Passing League, the NFL Still Doesn't Pass Enough

For a lot of Football Outsiders, this won't come as a big surprise, but NFL coaches tend to run way too often, even in long-yardage situations where passing would seem to be a much better strategy. Josh Hermsmeyer at FiveThirtyEight shows all the data and finds only one team that passed more than it ran on second-and-long: your reigning Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles.

7 comments, Last at 07 Sep 2018, 8:40pm by Pat
SITE NEWS: Football Outsiders Returns to Madden NFL 19

SITE NEWS: Football Outsiders Returns to Madden NFL 19

It's time to share the details on our involvement with Madden NFL 19 Ultimate Team and Madden NFL Overdrive for mobile devices during this upcoming season. (Click to read more.)