Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

02 Oct 2017

Bears Bench Glennon For Trubisky

The Chicago Bears have announced that Mitchell Trubisky, the second overall pick in this year's draft, will be their starting quarterback in Week 5 when they host the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football.

Less than six months ago, the Bears signed free agent Mike Glennon to a three-year contract that included $18.5 million guaranteed. Not two months after that, they traded the third, 67th, and 111th pick in this year's draft along with a 2018 third-rounder, to San Francisco for the second overall selection, which they used to select Trubisky.

The Bears insisted Glennon would still be their starter, but they have given up on that experiment after just four games. Glennon currently ranks in the bottom eight amongst qualified passers in yards per pass, touchdown rate, interception rate, NFL passer rating, and net yards per passing play. Heading into Monday Night Football, he is also fourth from the bottom in both passing DYAR and DVOA.

Our QBASE projections were skeptical of Trubisky, mainly because he started only one season of college football, and the track record for quarterbacks with so little experience is poor. He will be asked to play with some very minimal talent at wide receiver. Backup running back Tarik Cohen leads the Bears with 29 passing targets, followed by the 20 of tight end Zach Miller.

Posted by: Vincent Verhei on 02 Oct 2017

11 comments, Last at 05 Oct 2017, 3:11am by Alexander


by Raiderjoe :: Mon, 10/02/2017 - 6:10pm

Glennon willl go to bench now. Wj ll end up as backup for a doffernet tema in 2018. Maybe will start again if starter of next year gets injured. Not gonna get a regulsr starting assignment again till 2019 at best one would figure

by TomC :: Mon, 10/02/2017 - 6:34pm

As a Bears fan, I'm glad that for the rest of the season (barring injury) they will be bad in a more interesting way than they are with Glennon. But I'm cynical about the move and worried long-term about the plan for Trubisky. The Bears looked sufficiently unprepared and disorganized in Thursday's game (across the board, not just Glennon) that management had to do something, and this was easier than firing a coach. But I don't think anyone thinks Fox will be back next year, and how do you change coaching staffs without severely impeding Trubisky's development? You're not going to get a top-level coaching candidate if you insist he keep the current OC and offensive staff. And I don't think anyone thinks Dowell Loggains is ready to be a head coach.

by theslothook :: Mon, 10/02/2017 - 6:58pm

A good analog would be the rams. You hire a qb based head coach and hope he turns around the qb.

I guess the Rams got the best case scenario so far.

by The Ninjalectual :: Mon, 10/02/2017 - 9:40pm

McVay didn't get to pick his QB in Washington, and he did pretty well there

by big10freak :: Mon, 10/02/2017 - 8:49pm

Fox had a pretty strong record of getting teams to play a certain way and having success

Then Chicago.

by Steve in WI :: Tue, 10/03/2017 - 1:48pm

I don't even think Dowell Loggains is ready to be an offensive coordinator.

You nailed it. I don't care what the win/loss record is this season and even if I did, Trubisky might win them more games than Glennon. I just hope that they are making this move because Trubisky is ready to start, and not because Glennon has looked bad. Comparisons between Glennon and Trubisky are totally irrelevant to me.

I didn't like the Trubisky pick from the beginning, but now that you have him, he is one of a handful of players on this team who actually matter. His development has to be the most important thing at this point.

I guess I would rather the Bears clean house after this year and get a whole new coaching staff then rather than do it in another year or two. Clearly Fox, Loggains, and company are not remotely who you want to develop your young QB.

by rpwong :: Wed, 10/04/2017 - 2:28pm

It's fascinating how many teams draft first-round QBs without having a solid supporting cast in place, then thrust them into the starting job. Almost every young QB who has developed into an above-average or top-tier player joined a team that didn't rely upon him to carry the load too early.

If you don't have reliable receivers, a respectable o-line, or a dominant rush offense, you'll likely end up with David Carr, Tim Couch, or...every Cleveland Browns rookie QB since Tim Couch.

by MilkmanDanimal :: Tue, 10/03/2017 - 9:29am

I look forward to a few weeks of "IT'S MITCHELL NOT MITCH" and "IT'S TRUBISKY NOT TRUBINSKY".

Kid's getting his debut in a national game against a good defense with a solid pass rush? Ugh.

by Raiderjoe :: Tue, 10/03/2017 - 10:52am

sometimes you just have to get n there. am sure Chicago will do everything possible to protect him

by TomC :: Wed, 10/04/2017 - 2:05pm

Well we don't have Kominsky Park anymore, so it's perfect timing.

Apparently "Mitch" and "Mitchell" are both fine. As is "Mr. Biscuit." (http://www.chicagotribune.com/sports/football/bears/ct-mitch-trubisky-na...)

by Alexander :: Thu, 10/05/2017 - 3:11am

Real talk, its Chicago, so they both prolly suck. This is a job saving effort.