Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008

12 Mar 2018

Bills Trading C.Glenn to Bengals

The Buffalo Bills are trading starting left tackle Cordy Glenn to the Cincinnati Bengals. The full terms of the deal:

BENGALS GET:

  • LT Cordy Glenn. Played in six games in 2017. Due a $2 million roster bonus this week, with a total 2018 cap hit of more than $11 million.
  • The 21st pick in this year's draft.
  • The 187th pick in this year's draft.

BILLS GET:

  • The 12th pick in this year's draft.
  • The 158th pick in this year's draft.

Most observers expect this is just Part I in the Bill's plan, and that they will make another trade sooner or later to take a quarterback at the top of the draft.

Posted by: Vincent Verhei on 12 Mar 2018

11 comments, Last at 20 Mar 2018, 3:08pm by commissionerleaf

Comments

1
by Mike B. In Va :: Mon, 03/12/2018 - 5:55pm

Agreed that the strategy is to get into the top four. #12, #21 and one of the second rounders probably gets them to #3.

2
by theslothook :: Mon, 03/12/2018 - 6:37pm

As a colts fan, I would probably agree to do this trade, though I would try to ask for a third first-rounder

9
by Lebo :: Tue, 03/13/2018 - 8:36am

+1

When I think about the ransoms paid for RG3, Goff, and Wentz, two firsts and a second (all in the same draft) doesn't feel like enough of a bounty for the Colts. (Would still take it, though!)

3
by jtr :: Mon, 03/12/2018 - 6:44pm

This vaults them ahead of the Cardinals but still leaves them behind the Browns, Broncos, Jets, Colts, and Giants. So they're looking at something like the two to five quarterbacks coming off the board, depending on how free agency shakes out and how confident the Giants and Colts are in their incumbents.

4
by MarkV :: Mon, 03/12/2018 - 7:18pm

Draft chart update (only assuming pick):
Bills can reasonably get #2 from Giants for #12, #22, #53, and #65.

For #3 they would be looking at #12,#22 and #65 - while getting back #131

For #5 they would be looking at #12, #22 - while getting back #71 and #142.

For #1 They would probably be looking at #12, #22, #53, #56, and next years first rounder.

IMO from the chart its not really a good deal for them to trade up to #1, though I suspect the browns would happily do it. (or for #4 they could do something like #12, #22, #121,#156, while also getting back #54).

To be honest, I don't see how Cleveland benefits from making a trade with Bills. Cleveland needs a QB, and has shown desire for best value, and liking FO-metric draft picks. If I was cleveland, I wouldn't trade to buffalo because I would specifically want to take my QB with #1, hope that buffalo trades into #2 for a QB, and then hope that indy takes Chubb so I can get Barkley at #4. If getting QB and best player available is Clevelands goal, trading seems a really bad way to do it and not trading seems a really good way to do it.

Looking at those values, I think taking #2 or #3 overall makes the most sense for the bills.

6
by commissionerleaf :: Mon, 03/12/2018 - 8:38pm

If Cleveland wants Barkley, they should just take him #1 and take whatever QB is left of Mayfield, Darnold, Allen and maybe Rosen at #4. I know they may have their opinions about which is better, but it is impossible for anyone outside the building to believe that the Browns can evaluate quarterbacks better than chance.

7
by MarkV :: Mon, 03/12/2018 - 8:39pm

thats true, although the logic of wanting a trade-up from the bills is gone if they plan on taking Barkley at #1

8
by Theo :: Tue, 03/13/2018 - 3:41am

If they want a qb high in the draft then they will have a preference for one and will be sure to take him first overall. They will not operate thinking they like 3 of them and will pick whatever is left at 4. But... this is still the Browns.

11
by commissionerleaf :: Tue, 03/20/2018 - 3:08pm

Yeah, but my point is that's stupid. If we know anything it is that no one - and certainly not the Browns front office - knows "better" which high first round QB prospect will work out. Use your high pick as the consensus suggests and get the consensus BPA (which is presumably Barkley) #1 overall.

You are guaranteed your pick of two of Rosen, Allen, Darnold and Mayfield. No one knows which of those four will work out (although I have a vague understanding that draftniks like Allen least?).

10
by The Ninjalectual :: Wed, 03/14/2018 - 6:02am

I was just thinking this too. Why not draft two of the top QBs if they can? Except they already have Tyrod so it's not really necessary anymore

5
by jtr :: Mon, 03/12/2018 - 7:42pm

This trade makes a lot of sense for the Bengals. They desperately need help at tackle and this is a bad draft class for the position. Andre Whitworth is a free agent, but the Bengals don't do big free agent signings, and the pickings are pretty slim after him. This is probably the best the Bengals were going to do to upgrade the position, and it only cost them 10 slots of draft position.