Film Room
Analysis beyond the numbers

Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

Film Room: Aaron Rodgers
Photo: USA Today Sports Images

by Cian Fahey

There is one legitimate criticism of Aaron Rodgers.

Rodgers came under fire this week from Fox Sports' Colin Cowherd. Cowherd wants us to criticize Rodgers more because Pro Football Focus said that the Packers have the second-best roster in the NFL. Cowherd saw this ranking, accepted it as gospel, then went into a diatribe where he criticized Rodgers for not winning more than seven playoff games over the course of his career. The foundation of Cowherd's argument is that Rodgers has had everything he has needed to win multiple Super Bowls. His only specific criticisms of Rodgers the individual are “he holds the ball too long,” “he's not the greatest leader,” and “he can be moody and cocky.” Save for holding the ball too long, none of those criticisms can be explored in on-field analysis.

When a great quarterback is consistently great but doesn't win multiple Super Bowls, we go in search of fabricated reasons why. It can never simply be that football is a team game and the quarterback has limited control over the outcome of results; it must always be an inherent flaw in that individual's make-up if his team underachieves. Leadership, personality, and ability in the clutch are the pillows into which these analysts fall back. This was emphatically highlighted with how analysts (including Cowherd specifically) spoke about Cam Newton last year. Newton's Panthers were winning, so he suddenly became a good leader and his confidence was no longer an issue. It couldn't have been that Newton was always a leader or that his confidence was never an issue, or that the team around him (along with his own play) improved to the point that they became one of the best teams in the league. That's too outlandish a scenario.

Rodgers is really only under the microscope right now because of the season the Packers just had.

After throwing away a 16-0 lead in the 2014 NFC Championship Game thanks to a special teams blunder and defensive collapse, the Packers entered the 2015 season with high hopes. Those hopes were quickly dashed when Jordy Nelson tore his ACL during the preseason. Nelson wouldn't play a snap all year, and the Packers offense was suddenly lacking in talent. Rodgers makes every player around him better, and he does so more than any other player in the league, but no quarterback can turn an offense with incompetent receivers at every position into an effective passing game. Rodgers worked miracles to maintain a 35-9 touchdown-to-interception ratio while dragging the Packers passing game to 16th overall in DVOA. As a passer, Rodgers consistently elevated his incompetent weapons by throwing receivers open with anticipation and precision. In the pocket, he elevated his pass protection with his balance, athleticism, and awareness to constantly move into the best possible position to give his blockers leverage against their assignments.

What Rodgers couldn't do was catch the ball for his receivers.

Catching the ball has been an issue for Packers receivers over the past two seasons. Even when Jordy Nelson and Randall Cobb were fully healthy in 2014, Rodgers' receivers combined for 48 failed receptions (defined here as accurate passes that fell incomplete or were intercepted because of a wide receiver's mistake), losing at least 445 yards and five touchdowns. Those numbers would have ranked 10th, 15th, and ninth in 2015. Without Nelson in 2015, Rodgers lost more receptions to his receivers than any other quarterback. He had 64 failed receptions (one more than Cam Newton and Ryan Tannehill and one of only five quarterbacks with at least 60) for at least 635 yards (only two quarterbacks lost more) and 10 touchdowns (no other quarterback lost more than seven). Rodgers was losing completions on accurate throws more than ever before, so it was no surprise that his completion rate hit a career-low 60.7 percent after not falling as far as 63.6 percent since his first season as a full-time starter, while his 6.7 yards per attempt was his lowest since the same year, when he finished with 7.5 yards per attempt.

The plays that Rodgers was losing to his receivers could have been offset by big plays, but without Nelson on the field the Packers didn't have a reliable deep threat. Rodgers had only six 40-plus-yard plays in 2015 after throwing 15 40-plus-yard plays in 2014. Nelson accounted for eight of those 40-plus-yard plays in 2014, two more than everyone on the roster had in 2015. It wasn't Rodgers' accuracy that fell off; he was still putting the ball in the right spots to every level of the field with great consistency.

This chart tracks all of Rodgers' throws from the 2015 season. Rodgers was accurate on 79.2 percent of his throws last year, according to the Pre-Snap Reads Quarterback Catalogue. Twelve quarterbacks had a higher accuracy rate than Rodgers, but six of those were within 0.5 percent. While this chart offers a visual representation of exactly where Rodgers threw each of his passes, it can be difficult to discern exactly how accurate he was to each area of the field. To better highlight Rodgers' accuracy, here are two more charts that track the accuracy of Rodgers' passes from the 2015 season. Both have been created from the same data, but the first chart is broken down by Football Outsiders' ranges, and the second is broken down by Pre-Snap Reads' ranges.

Aaron Rodgers Accuracy Rate, 2015 (Football Outsiders Ranges)

(Within 5 Yds of LOS)
(6-15 Yds)
(16-25 Yds)
(26-plus Yds)
Outside Numbers Left 85.7% 41 70.5% 44 60.9% 23 31.8% 22
Outside Hashes Left 94.9% 78 84.8% 33 60.0% 5 60.0% 5
Between Hashes 95.8% 24 94.7% 19 100.0% 7 50.0% 4
Outside Hashes Right 93.1% 72 87.9% 33 100.0% 2 100.0% 2
Outside Numbers Right 87.5% 72 69.2% 52 52.6% 19 50.0% 10
Aaron Rodgers Accuracy Rate, 2015 (Pre-Snap Reads Ranges)

Less than 2 2-10 11-20 21-plus
Outside Numbers Left 95.8% 24 68.9% 45 78.0% 41 38.7% 31
Outside Hashes Left 94.9% 59 85.3% 34 91.3% 23 50.0% 6
Between Hashes 94.1% 17 100.0% 15 94.1% 17 60.0% 5
Outside Hashes Right 96.6% 58 82.9% 35 93.3% 15 100.0% 2
Outside Numbers Right 88.4% 43 78.0% 59 63.6% 33 52.9% 17

Having both charts allows us to get a clearer idea of where Rodgers excelled throwing the ball and where he struggled. When you are accurate on 79.2 percent of your passes, you are going to have spikes in your accuracy to certain levels of the field. From a physical point of view, Rodgers can make every throw, and he can do so repeatedly. He can deliver precise passes downfield while moving outside the pocket or delivering under pressure from inside the pocket. If he has to force the ball into a tight window over one defender and past another, he can manipulate the trajectory of his passes to do that. Rodgers, like Andrew Luck, struggled most significantly when trying to throw deep down the left sideline. This could be a trend with right-handed quarterbacks, but one we currently haven't fully compiled the data to confirm.

Rodgers' other struggles with his accuracy stem from the one legitimate criticism you can make of his performances over the course of his career. Rodgers purposely chooses not to set his feet on short throws. He relies solely on arm strength so he can get rid of the ball more quickly. Sacrificing his mechanics for speed is a bad approach, as it causes Rodgers to misplace too many passes that should be automatic for him. This is highlighted better in Football Outsiders' ranges than in Pre-Snap Reads' ranges, but Pre-Snap Reads' ranges give us a better idea of Rodgers' accuracy on intermediate vs. deep throws.

Failure at the catch point plagued the Packers offense in 2015 and artificially depreciated Rodgers' production. Without the big plays that Nelson provided, the Packers couldn't overcome these heightened drop issues. Furthermore, Rodgers lost hidden production in drives that were killed on third and fourth downs. All told, 21 of Rodgers' 64 failed receptions in 2015 killed drives. Five quarterbacks who threw at least 223 passes had 21 or fewer failed receptions in 2015, including Andy Dalton, who had only 18 on 386 pass attempts for the whole season. Rodgers only threw 166 passes on third and fourth downs.

Those are the plays that really crippled Rodgers.

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This is a third-and-5 from the first drive of the Packers' Week 3 matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs. The above GIF only shows the pre-snap portion of the play. This allows us to assess Rodgers' acumen in diagnosing the defense's play call. Rodgers comes to the line early, giving him plenty of time to test the defense's resolve. Bob Sutton typically likes to blitz or disguise his four-man rushes creatively, so pre-snap diagnosis is vital for success against his defense. The first thing Rodgers does is motion Randall Cobb from the left slot to the right. The Chiefs defenders don't communicate at all, and the defender across from Cobb follows him across the field. This suggests that the defense is in man coverage across the board. From there, Rodgers uses a hard count to try and get the defense to show its hand. The movement is slight, but it's enough for Rodgers to figure it out. The deep safety had moved forward and infield, so Rodgers knows that he's not going to drop back towards the boundary side of the field, where Rodgers has one receiver.

After moving Eddie Lacy so he is in position to pick up any potential blitz that Sutton had disguised from the left side, Rodgers now knows that he is going to his man-beating route to the near side of the field (Rodgers' left side).

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The Chiefs are playing Cover-1, and Rodgers knows it. As soon as the ball is snapped, he is manipulating the deep safety with his eyes, holding him in the middle of the field long enough for Davante Adams to run his route at the top of the screen. Rodgers turns and releases the ball just before pressure arrives (his right tackle was beaten one-on-one) and times the throw so Adams can catch the ball almost as soon as he comes out of his break. This is the point of Adams' route when his separation is most likely at its widest. Rodgers even led his receiver towards space upfield, away from the underneath defender, but Adams couldn't make a relatively simple adjustment to catch the ball in front of his face.

This perfect play from the quarterback, a play that came with a very high degree of difficulty, resulted in a punt on the following down.

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Criticizing Rodgers for holding onto the ball is a short-sighted, surface-level criticism. Rodgers doesn't hold the ball because he enjoys holding the ball, he holds the ball because he is reading the defense correctly. Rodgers had by far and away the best rate of attempts per interceptable pass in both 2014 and 2015. The main reason he is able to avoid turnovers is because of how comfortable and aware he is holding the ball, and how consistent he is with his decision making. If Rodgers had better receivers or played in a different type of offense, the ball would come out much quicker than it does. Furthermore, criticizing him for holding the ball is ignoring the ratio of big plays to mistakes that he makes -- a ratio that falls heavily in his favor -- when he does.

In the above GIF, Rodgers faces a third-and-1 where the defense brilliantly masks its intentions. It's even possible that the Chargers defense changed this play at the very last moment, lucking into perfect timing in their feigned blitz. Because of the game situation and the all-out blitz look with which the Chargers came out, Rodgers had quick throws set up on both sides of the field. When the defense adjusted at the last second, he saw that none of his options were there anymore, but he didn't panic. He held the ball, first using a step outside to create leverage for his initial blocker, then establishing again inside before evading a penetrating defender. All the while, he remained in position to release the ball downfield.

When Rodgers did release the ball, he placed a perfect pass to Richard Rodgers. Rodgers is a very slow receiving tight end who lacks fluidity and ball skills. On this play, Aaron had to lead Richard outside to direct him away from the safety. Aaron did not lead him over the sideline, but Richard still couldn't keep his feet on the ground or get a knee down. This third-down play forced the Packers to punt, costing them 36 yards in the process.

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There isn't a quarterback in the league who is better at converting third-and-longs than Rodgers. There are few things anyone is better at than Rodgers, but this aspect of his game stands out more than most because of the degree of difficulty it typically takes from the quarterback to give his receiver a chance to make a play on the ball downfield like this. The above play was Rodgers' most unbelievable of the season, though it was far from an aberration. On a third-and-13 during the first quarter of the team's playoff game against the Arizona Cardinals, Rodgers made a throw that most quarterbacks wouldn't attempt in seven-on-seven on a Thursday. As he so often did on critical downs last year, Davante Adams failed to complete the catch.

While the throw demands your attention on that play, Rodgers' ability in the pocket should stand out just as much. The Cardinals had a perfectly executed stunt on the right side of their defensive line. They had one defender coming free off the edge and another penetrating through the middle of the pocket. Rodgers not only has the athleticism to comfortably escape from this penetration, he anticipates it while reading the coverage downfield. He moves away and up, constantly moving his blockers into better positions to protect him. This is the kind of subtle action that can be missed in criteria-based grading of individual performances. Even this example is more of an extreme one considering the general help that Rodgers gives to his offensive line.

Rushing Rodgers on dropbacks is like trying to catch Bo Jackson in Tecmo Bowl. Have you seen Tecmo Bowl Bo? If not, you should get on that right now. Tecmo Bowl Bo simply couldn't be caught because he moved faster than everyone else on the field. Rodgers' athleticism should be discussed more, but with Cam Newton in the league it's easy to understand why it would be overlooked. That athleticism combined with his level of awareness and pre-snap acumen is extremely rare to find.

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It's easy to find examples of Rodgers elevating his offensive line; it's something he does on 90-plus percent of his dropbacks. Rodgers' threat as a scrambler is an afterthought, but his ability to extend plays is at the forefront of most defensive coordinator's minds. Rodgers is the type of athlete and talent that should demand a contained rush, slowing down opposing defensive linemen to ease the pressure on the Packers' offensive linemen before the play even begins. Both of the above examples come from the fourth quarter of the Packers' loss to the Carolina Panthers, a quarter and game which featured a plethora of phenomenal plays from the quarterback to drag a beaten team back into contention at the very end.

Of course, those plays were forgotten for one final error that Rodgers made at the very end, a bad error, but not one that should have completely discounted the rest of the game -- especially considering that no other quarterback would have pushed the Packers to that point for him to make that mistake.

Criticizing Aaron Rodgers more doesn't make any sense. Sometimes a player truly is great and he just happens to be on a team that isn't as good as others with which it competes. Any added criticism for the franchise in Green Bay should be pointed at the general manager. Ted Thompson is the one who built this roster, and despite Pro Football Focus' declaration that it is the second most talented roster in the league, it's a team that is far too reliant on its freakishly talented quarterback to carry them. This offseason, Thompson's big addition to his collection of skill position players that have shown off limitations and inconsistency over the past two seasons was Jared Cook, a founding member of the limitations and inconsistency club.

Let's criticize Rodgers more. Let's also point out how unrealistic Shawshank Redemption was while we're at it. The Harry Potter books? Some of those were pretty childish. The Golden State Warriors lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves when they won 73 games this year, and Muhammad Ali lost a fight or two during his time.


30 comments, Last at 21 Jul 2016, 6:33am

1 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

Some of those plays are unbelievable. For all the Brady-Manning endless debates, Rodgers may be the true GOAT.

2 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

Pff does say Rodgers has a good offensive line, so it feels a bit hyperbolic to say he dragged the packers passing offense by himself. I do think the Nelson injury showed how important good receivers are even with an all time great qb. It also raises the question of how good randall cobb is in a vacuum.

As an aside, i found the cowherd rant humorous.

14 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

I'm guessing you read the part where Cian talked about Aaron elevating the play of his line with his subtle shifts. Did you see in all those gif's where Aaron basically puts his blockers in position because they aren't actually squaring to their assignment properly? They basically have lazy feet. If I had feet that lazy on my latin dance team I'd be kicked off the team.

I'm a Patriots fan, and they have a great coach in Scar, but it's easy for their line to look good when Brady gets rid of the ball in 2.3 seconds. That's Brady making the line look better (PFF typically says the Pat's have one of the best lines, which is only kinda true). Aaron does the same thing with his manipulation of space in the pocket and I think only a few are his equal (Luck, Newton, Brady is learning this, Roethlisberger (but he more so shrugs off tackles))

Aaron makes his receivers look better and he makes his line look better. It's not hyperbole to see that he did in fact drag the Packers passing offense by himself.

15 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

I guess this will come off as a defense of pff when its not meant to be, but they have had seasons where qbs have ranked highly but the offense lines ranked poorly - so its not a strict capture of correlation equaling causation. Yes, qb and o line play are linked. Doing research on pressure made me realize there isn't a single statistic we have out there that can fairly separate qb play from o line play. That said, I don't like just blindly giving the qbs all the credit, despite 5 gifs being used as a representative sample for thousands of other plays. In some sense, line play is probably the most accurate grade pff gives, since its really just recording one on one affairs, rather than say the secondary with lots of complex assigments.

In any event, I'm not here to overall debate Rodgers' greatness. Hes the best qb in football clearly. Just that, I disagreed that Rodgers dragged a bad offense to 16th. It feels entirely like revisionist history to call it a bad supporting cast after the fact. Absolutely no one, including the most cynical packer fan, thought the offense was average sans Jordy Nelson. The line play features several good players and people loved Cobb and Lacey prior to this season.

As for Brady, I think you are right in terms of pass protection, but outside of a few seasons, NE has routinely ranked very highly in run efficiency - a run that has never happened in DVOA and practically no one ever mentions this in their plaudits for NE. Since passing dvoa doesn't correlate with rush dvoa, this phenomenon is a true testament to the pats offensive line staff imo.

16 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

You can be a good QB without helping your OL, so not every good QB will bring up the OL play. "line play is probably the most accurate grade pff gives" General consensus from those who enjoy/respect PFF has generally been the exact opposite. As for representative sample, I went through every play from last season three times and every play from 2014 twice, five gifs is a lot considering if I put 25+ you'd still have the same complaint and you probably wouldn't read the article because it'd be too long.

And by the way, there was at least one person who didn't think this supporting cast was good before last season

17 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

The gifs might be few, but they fit in with what I've seen of Rodgers when I watch the Packers. He's got amazing pocket awareness and movement. It's got to be hard for PFF to grade linemen in those plays: Did they make the blocks? Yeah. Would they have made the blocks if not put in a perfect position by the QB? No. End grade? ...???

18 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

Cian I admire and respect your work so the gif comment wasn't meant to be a direct shot at you. I didn't read in the article where you explicitly said that Rodgers' o line was poor. A qb can elevate the o line without the o line necessarily being bad was the general point I was trying to make.

As for pff and o line grades - at the very least, they do a good job of saying - did player x manage to shield the defender away from the qb. Of course there are confounding variables, but at least they are objectively measuring the right idea. Conversely, whereas seeing a receiver wide open in a zone where a defender they think should be requires insight into the coverage scheme(not too mention the interaction of the linebackers and pass rushers).

Anyways, I have no doubt Aaron Rodgers makes his offense line look better. I have no doubt he makes everything look better. Since you've watched the packers a lot, do you think the o line is bad?

Plus - kudos for being one of the few who could have foreseen this result. I certainly did not.

19 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

One of the issues with PFF is (and they do note this themselves) that their grades can't quite capture why something happened. That is, an offensive lineman could have used bad technique to execute a block, but if he kept on his man, he could get a +. It is hard to know how much of their grades were helped by the scheme or player.

Example, the 2013 Denver Broncos offensive line graded very well, but were helped greatly by Peyton Manning recognizing blitzes, changing protections, and having a quick release. When they faced the Seahawks in the Super Bowl, pretty much all of the flaws in the line were exposed.

As far as not being able to separate performance between QBs and OL, their grades actually do pretty well. Regression analysis between the aspects of grading (passing, receiving, rushing, pass blocking, run blocking, pass rush, run defense, and coverage) show no strong correlation between any two elements EXCEPT for passing and receiving grades. That is, there is no link between pass blocking performance and passing performance; however, there is a reasonable degree of correlation between passing performance and receiving performance.

3 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

The Packers certainly do not have the 2nd best roster. They may not even have the 2nd best roster in the NFC North, Rodgers aside. Looking at the FO stats for last season on offense, they had no qualifying receivers, tight ends or rushers who were above average, and they were not above average in any of the offensive line categories. They ranked higher than average (11th) in DVOA almost solely because of Rodgers' proficiency as a rusher and his ability to avoid turnovers.

The plays referenced in the article are illustrative rather than representative, but they do show how thoroughly the Packers were overwhelmed by certain blitzes in 2015. This was largely blamed on playcalling – McCarthy/Clements resisted using extra blockers for much of the season – but yoy yoy look at what an atrocious job James Starks (#44) and Richard Rodgers (the tight end) do on that last play. You can also see the center Corey Linsley flailing about or blocking an empty space in a couple of the gifs, which is not an aberration.

But regarding the point of the catch, one thing I noticed last season was that the Packers' receivers frequently seemed to be asked to make more difficult or contested catches than the opposing receivers. Cian's binary system of recording passes as accurate or inaccurate may be a little blunt here. The first two gifs, for instance, require difficult if not impossible catches. In the second one, PFF might well mark Rodgers down for throwing a tricky ball to Adams when he has his #1 receiver, Randall Cobb, wide open over the middle. Some Packers fans thought Rodgers had gotten greedy, that he was throwing deep more often than he needed to, even when it was clear that his receivers were not good enough to adjust to those kinds of passes regularly. It may well be that this was a problem of the receivers not being able to gain separation – iirc Cian's film study of Davante Adams made that assertion – but even so, the Packers didn't seem to have a plan b.

When looking at Rodgers' raw numbers it's also worth underlining that he had the second highest upward adjustment from the defenses he played in 2015 (only Derek Carr faced a more difficult set), and the Packers only played four games against the bottom 14 defenses by adjusted sack rate.

4 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

I think the packers roster will look a lot better one year from now. By pff, their secondary(filled mostly with inexperienced players) all performed admirably and are off high draft pedigree. It would not be unreasonable to expect them to get better. With Jordy nelson returning and lacy being in better shape, the roster on the whole looks really good.

One can debate where they fall overall, but I don't think its clear they are lagging behind too many teams.

11 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

Yeah, biased Packer fan here, but GB's offense will look much better this year.

Jordy coming back is the biggest thing, but far from the only thing. He should not only produce on his own, but force defenses away from the type of tight man coverage they moved to last year, which should open things up underneath for Cobb and the TEs.

Injuries were also a huge factor last year, even beyond Jordy. One week after Jordy tears his ACL, Cobb sprained his shoulder. It was probably mostly healed before too long into the season, but may have had some nagging effects.

Davante Adams missed some time with a sprained ankle, which may have had some nagging effects as well. While I think his problems were more mental and role related, it can't have helped.

The one WR who showed really good hands last year was rookie Ty Montgomery. He mostly caught underneath stuff, but had reliable hands despite his inexperience. It was after he was lost for the season with his own ankle injury around week 6. The GB's offense started to really decline. If he had stayed healthy he most likely would have taken snaps from Adams.

Down the depth chart, Jared Abbrederis showed himself to be a good route runner with ok hands. He was starting to get some playing time when Montgomery was lost, but broke some ribs soon after. He didn't miss to much time, and played pretty well in the playoffs.

Jeff Janis couldn't get on the field because his raw D-II background made it hard for him to pick up the nuances of the offense. His playoff performance and ability to stretch the field showed that it was probably a mistake not giving him some more time, at elast in place of the better route running but extremely inconsistent Adams.

Jared Cook isn't reliable, but will provide the speed and athleticism that Richard Rodgers lacks. Rodgers is probably still the main red zone target, but Cook should help stretch the D in the middle parts of the field.

Eddie Lacy isn't fat anymore.

The O-line, which will start the same set of players for the 3rd year in a row, has a chance to look like the top-5 2014 unit rather than the constantly nicked up even though players rarely missed full games 2015 unit.

Defense will have some changes, but look to have about the same overall talent as last year.

5 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

That Cowherd would blame Rodgers pretty much encapsulates what he is as a sports media personality.

He builds a square peg out of a simplistic theory, and then uses the hammer of his high profile to beat it into the round hole of reality.

Anybody who thinks Rodgers is what's wrong with the Packers simply knows nothing.

6 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

Does anyone know why Thompson is so averse to paying for free agents, save for ring chasing vets on their last legs? I feel like even marginal changes could make a big difference, to say nothing about paying for big time free agents.

One reason I'm happy the Broncos won is because it validated a very reasonable strategy - if you have a veteran team on the precipice, its sometimes ok to break the bank for that championship. The broncos simply would not have won the sb if they did not bring in ware, sanders, talib and ward

7 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

Psst. The charts claim to show Rodgers' accuracy rates from 2016. Unless you got those from Biff Tannen, you might want to edit them. (Though, come to think of it, even Biff Tannen's almanac was bought in 2015...)

8 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

This was a nice analysis of Rodgers play of late.

Good QBs can often compensate for a lot of flaws on a team, but only up to a point.

Who is next in this QB film room stuff?

So far we have two QBs who dropped off last year. Is Rivers next? If you want some nice clips of OL ineptitude you'll find some comically bad blocking by Trevor Robinson last year for the chargers. And you'll find plenty of plays with not a single WR open. There is a drastic dropp off in play as the season goes on as the OL falls apart, receivers get injured, and Rivers starts getting jumpy because he doesn't trust his blocking.

9 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

Let's not even mention that the Golden State Warriors had their undefeated season end against the mighty Milwaukee Bucks.

The debacle in Seattle prevented Rodgers from getting more credit. When you think about it, the Packers ended the Cardinals playoff game without their top four receivers from the beginning of the year (Nelson, Cobb, Adams, and someone else I am forgetting). It's amazing they were hanging around.

The current guess is that they will carry six (6) receivers. Let's see if that helps this year.

Rodgers isn't perfect and sometimes has big ears, but we'll take the bad with the good on him.

12 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

I think Ted Thompson is good at his job. I also think Aaron Rodgers has helped him look better than he is.

I think my dog could beat Colin Cowherd in a game of gin. I'll grant that Colin would have to shuffle and deal.

13 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

I'm biased as a Packers fan, but i find this analysis spot on, some of the stuff Rodgers makes look easy is truly unbelievable. Probably not many of the people here will care but mr. Cowherd style of analysis is scaringly similar to the ones you see in soccer, calling a player like Messi a bad leader because he does not lead Argentina to win every single match, instead of focusing in what actually happens on the pitch.

20 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

That sort of analysis dominates everywhere, in all sports. You could look at some of the flack LeBron James is getting today (and has regularly received for this whole career) for another example. The ability to differentiate at all between team success and an individual's level of play is apparently far, far beyond the capacity of most fans and members of the sports media.

22 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

his in-play read/decision on that chiefs gif is terrible given the situation.

The standard is the standard!

24 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

On that first play Cobb was open over the middle for an easy first down

I don't care what Rodgers did on them throw he made

That's a bad decision and bad play on Rodgers part, not getting the first down there was on Rodgers

25 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

It's almost as if someone in here already made that observation right above your post....


The standard is the standard!

28 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

it's a perfect example of confirmation bias by the author.

in 1/10th the time it took to write that up, overlay graphics on the animation, etc.....

nowhere was down/distance/time of game considered nor other receivers in the route tree and whether they had higher % options.

The standard is the standard!

30 Re: Film Room: Aaron Rodgers

An alternate opinion with regard to Rodgers and his interception rate is he is overly conservative.

This has been noted by others in the industry.

It is well documented that Rodgers doesn't trust some of his WRs. Janis being the latest victim.

Rodgers will avoid throwing a "risky" pass to a certain WR, even if the situation dictates that he should.

This looks great on his personal stat sheet, but can be a detriment in the real world outcome.

Of course you won't hear any of this in the article above, because Cian essentially said Rodgers is too good to be criticized.

Every single one of these film room articles is overflowing with confirmation bias.