Football Outsiders' preseason projections had eight of the top 12 teams coming out of the NFC. Yet six of those teams are now 3-2-1 or worse. What are their chances for rebounding and getting into the postseason? You may be surprised by the relative odds for Green Bay and Minnesota in particular.
This week's ESPN+ Upset Watch looks at how the Chiefs can beat the Patriots: Patrick Mahomes needs to perform under pressure and the Chiefs have to figure out how to improve their run defense. Cover Watch looks at Arizona at Minnesota.
Here's a look at the six teams with the biggest year-over-year improvement on offensive DVOA so far, led by the Los Angeles Rams and Denver Broncos. Wait, the Denver Broncos? Actually, yes, powered by a league-best running game.
Here's a closer look at the FO playoff odds on ESPN+, with notes on how they've shifted and why certain teams have defied expectations. Included: How the Rams are running away with things, just what 3-1 and an easy schedule can do for teams such as Miami and Chicago, and why Houston is the 1-3 team most likely to climb back into the playoff race.
This week's ESPN Upset Watch looks at how the Cardinals can get their first win against San Francisco. Josh Rosen needs to play well, look left, and use David Johnson in the passing game. Plus, Cover Watch has Washington in New Orleans.
1 comment, Last at 04 Oct 2018, 1:27pm by justanothersteve
Today's ESPN feature column looks at the Miami Dolphins. What's going right, and how has that led them to rank No. 2 in DVOA through three weeks? What parts of their performance are sustainable, and what parts are not?
2 comments, Last at 01 Oct 2018, 4:07am by RobotBoy
This week's ESPN+ Upset Watch looks at how the Cincinnati Bengals can go into Atlanta and take down the Falcons. It probably involves using a lot of Giovani Bernard against the injured parts of the Falcons defense. Plus, in Cover Watch, can Miami continue to play better than New England?
1 comment, Last at 27 Sep 2018, 1:34pm by DrunkenOne
One of the little secrets of the NFL the last couple years: Washington is not a bad team, just a mediocre one. And with better red zone performance, mediocrity might be enough to upset the Green Bay Packers at home.
2 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2018, 2:58pm by Aaron Schatz