Our new article on ESPN+ gives a sneak peak at projections from Football Outsiders Almanac 2021, with a look at our forecast for the top 10 picks in the 2022 NFL draft. We have the Jets at No. 1, the Texans at No. 2, and a surprising team at No. 9.
FO on ESPN
Now up on ESPN+, here's our BackCAST running back projections for the 2021 draft. As expected, Travis Etienne and Najee Harris are 1-2, but the rest of our rankings are very different from conventional wisdom. A full list of running back prospects will run on Football Outsiders next week.
Here's the ESPN+ version of this year's SackSEER projections, our system for projecting the top college edge rushers into the NFL, led by Jaelan Phillips of Miami and Jayson Oweh of Penn State. An expanded version of this will run later this week on Football Outsiders.
Here's the ESPN version of our Playmaker Score system for projecting wide receivers into the NFL. The short version: DeVonta Smith is a historically great prospect, but Ja'Marr Chase is pretty good too. An expanded version of this will run later this week here on Football Outsiders.
It's time for our annual "Bold Move" series for ESPN. We've got suggestions for moves for all 32 NFL teams, including new homes for Cam Newton and J.J. Watt. We did set a "no Deshaun Watson trades" rule so we didn't suggest that half the teams in the league just trade for Deshaun Watson!
Today's ESPN+ feature looks at players who have improved over the course of the season, including Derrick Henry, T.Y. Hilton, and Kirk Cousins, and players who have declined over the course of the year, including Russell Wilson, A.J. Brown, and the Steelers running backs.
New ESPN+ article today ranks the top 10 rookie wide receiver seasons since 1985 by DYAR. Justin Jefferson is on pace to finish with the top season; who else makes our top 10? I snuck in rushing value too so that I could write about Ernest Givins and his 9 carries for 148 yards.
Today at ESPN+, looking at the undefeated 10-0 Pittsburgh Steelers. How good are they, and where are their weaknesses? Where do they stand compared to the other 13 teams to go 10-0 since DVOA started in 1985, in both quality and schedule strength?