Football Outsiders
Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

ESPN: How Ole Miss Can Beat Auburn

In the latest F.O. piece on ESPN, Bill Connelly looks at which factors are usually key to top teams' downfalls, and how much it applies (or doesn't apply) to this week's Ole Miss-Auburn game. Will we see a fourth straight No. 1 team fall this week?

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Comments

3 comments, Last at 29 Oct 2010, 9:18pm

1 I REALLY wish

that line had been more like 10 points, b/c then I'd have been all over it. I just KNOW the public will be all over Auburn -7, and it feels like a minor sucker line to me, but to be honest... it's at least arguably reasonable. I can totally see an Ole Miss win here, and I just wish it was a tastier line to jump in on (actually, I'd probably even go for 7.5 if it popped up... sigh...)

2 Re: I REALLY wish

And even if it's an Auburn win, with the way Auburn games have gone this season there's still a decent chance it's within 7 points...

3 Re: I REALLY wish

Right. I'm thinking somethign like a 3-7 point Auburn win. I'd just feel MUCH more comfortable getting 7.5 than 7 here. In Auburn's very frequent close wins, 7 feels like a very important number to me.