FO on ESPN

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FO on ESPN: Feature Columns

ESPN: Playoff Odds for Struggling NFC Contenders
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ESPN: Playoff Odds for Struggling NFC Contenders

Football Outsiders' preseason projections had eight of the top 12 teams coming out of the NFC. Yet six of those teams are now 3-2-1 or worse. What are their chances for rebounding and getting into the postseason? You may be surprised by the relative odds for Green Bay and Minnesota in particular.

ESPN: Ranking NFL's Most Improved Offenses
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ESPN: Ranking NFL's Most Improved Offenses

Here's a look at the six teams with the biggest year-over-year improvement on offensive DVOA so far, led by the Los Angeles Rams and Denver Broncos. Wait, the Denver Broncos? Actually, yes, powered by a league-best running game.

ESPN: Best Value Against Vegas Odds
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ESPN: Best Value Against Vegas Odds

At ESPN+ Chalk, here's a look at which teams are offering strong value when compared to Vegas odds, according to Football Outsiders' playoff odds simulations.

ESPN: Playoff Odds After Week 4
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ESPN: Playoff Odds After Week 4

Here's a closer look at the FO playoff odds on ESPN+, with notes on how they've shifted and why certain teams have defied expectations. Included: How the Rams are running away with things, just what 3-1 and an easy schedule can do for teams such as Miami and Chicago, and why Houston is the 1-3 team most likely to climb back into the playoff race.

ESPN: Are Dolphins For Real?
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ESPN: Are Dolphins For Real?

Today's ESPN feature column looks at the Miami Dolphins. What's going right, and how has that led them to rank No. 2 in DVOA through three weeks? What parts of their performance are sustainable, and what parts are not?

2 comments, Last at 01 Oct 2018, 4:07am by RobotBoy
ESPN: NFL's Most Unbalanced Teams
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ESPN: NFL's Most Unbalanced Teams

Some teams can light up the scoreboards. Others can shut down the opposition. Here's our look at the most unbalanced teams this season, combining our preseason projections with what we've seen in Weeks 1-2.

ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts for All 32 Teams
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ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts for All 32 Teams

Which players are providing the most value as compared to their salary this season, not including rookie contracts? Rivers McCown identifies the best on every roster, including Alex Collins, Chris Hogan, Akiem Hicks, and Cameron Jordan.

ESPN: Ranking the NFL's Hardest Schedules 1-32
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ESPN: Ranking the NFL's Hardest Schedules 1-32

In an annual piece for ESPN+ (formerly ESPN Insider), I take a look at all 32 NFL schedules, ranked from hardest to easiest. We look at weird quirks in the schedule and what each team's hardest stretch is, based on preseason projections.

1 comment, Last at 05 Sep 2018, 12:55pm by morganja
ESPN: Sneaky Strengths for All 32 NFL Teams
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ESPN: Sneaky Strengths for All 32 NFL Teams

We went through the Football Outsiders stat databases to find one hidden split or metric where every NFL offense and defense was very good last year. Even Cleveland! Which of these will carry over and continue into 2018?

ESPN: QB Hope Index
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ESPN: QB Hope Index

It's the return of the QB Hope Index, looking at the odds that each passer from the last three drafts will develop into a long-term NFL starter. It takes into account performance so far, QBASE projection, age, depth charts, and even what college conference the quarterback emerged from.

3 comments, Last at 23 Aug 2018, 8:25pm by serutan