FO on ESPN

Football Outsiders content published by ESPN

ESPN Upset Watch: Bengals-Falcons
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN Upset Watch: Bengals-Falcons

This week's ESPN+ Upset Watch looks at how the Cincinnati Bengals can go into Atlanta and take down the Falcons. It probably involves using a lot of Giovani Bernard against the injured parts of the Falcons defense. Plus, in Cover Watch, can Miami continue to play better than New England?

1 comment, Last at 27 Sep 2018, 1:34pm by DrunkenOne
ESPN Upset Watch: Redskins-Packers
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN Upset Watch: Redskins-Packers

One of the little secrets of the NFL the last couple years: Washington is not a bad team, just a mediocre one. And with better red zone performance, mediocrity might be enough to upset the Green Bay Packers at home.

2 comments, Last at 20 Sep 2018, 2:58pm by Aaron Schatz
ESPN: NFL's Most Unbalanced Teams
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN: NFL's Most Unbalanced Teams

Some teams can light up the scoreboards. Others can shut down the opposition. Here's our look at the most unbalanced teams this season, combining our preseason projections with what we've seen in Weeks 1-2.

ESPN Upset Watch: Seahawks-Bears
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN Upset Watch: Seahawks-Bears

New on ESPN+, a look at what the Seahawks have to do to upset the Bears on Monday night. Russell Wilson is going to get pressured; the good news is that he's one of the league's best quarterbacks under pressure, with surprising consistency. Plus, Cover Watch: Detroit at San Francisco.

3 comments, Last at 14 Sep 2018, 12:00pm by Cythammer
ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts for All 32 Teams
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN: Best Veteran Contracts for All 32 Teams

Which players are providing the most value as compared to their salary this season, not including rookie contracts? Rivers McCown identifies the best on every roster, including Alex Collins, Chris Hogan, Akiem Hicks, and Cameron Jordan.

ESPN Upset Watch: Giants-Jaguars
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN Upset Watch: Giants-Jaguars

Here's the return of a feature we did for ESPN a few years ago, the weekly Upset Watch. Each week we'll highlight a possible upset among games with a line of at least three points, detailing how and why it could happen. This week, more on our Jacksonville projection and what better health could mean for the New York Giants offense. Plus, a weekly cover watch, with a big line we think could be a cover. Or in this week's case, a small line, Dallas at Carolina.

ESPN: Ultimate NFL Betting Preview: Best Bets For All 32 Teams
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN: Ultimate NFL Betting Preview: Best Bets For All 32 Teams

Up now at ESPN+: We worked with noted NFL handicapper Warren Sharp to cover the best bets for every team in the league. Which teams will go over their Vegas projections, which will go under, and which should you avoid? And who are the best value picks to make the playoffs and win the Super Bowl?

ESPN: Ranking the NFL's Hardest Schedules 1-32
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN: Ranking the NFL's Hardest Schedules 1-32

In an annual piece for ESPN+ (formerly ESPN Insider), I take a look at all 32 NFL schedules, ranked from hardest to easiest. We look at weird quirks in the schedule and what each team's hardest stretch is, based on preseason projections.

1 comment, Last at 05 Sep 2018, 12:55pm by morganja
ESPN: Sneaky Strengths for All 32 NFL Teams
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN: Sneaky Strengths for All 32 NFL Teams

We went through the Football Outsiders stat databases to find one hidden split or metric where every NFL offense and defense was very good last year. Even Cleveland! Which of these will carry over and continue into 2018?

ESPN: QB Hope Index
Photo: USA TODAY Sports Images

ESPN: QB Hope Index

It's the return of the QB Hope Index, looking at the odds that each passer from the last three drafts will develop into a long-term NFL starter. It takes into account performance so far, QBASE projection, age, depth charts, and even what college conference the quarterback emerged from.

3 comments, Last at 23 Aug 2018, 8:25pm by serutan