Football Outsiders

Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis

Smarter Stats: The Curse of 370, Part 2

Tuesday's Washington Post piece on running back workload got quite a bit of commentary, so here are answers to reader questions and a few more thoughts on Clinton Portis' season.

3 comments, Last at 26 Oct 2008, 3:10am by Staubach12

Smarter Stats: The Curse of 370

The subject of this week's Smarter Stats column for the Washington Post won't come as news to faithful FO readers, but with Clinton Portis on pace to enter Full Curse Territory and former victim Shaun Alexander now on the Redskins' roster, it's time to bring it up again. Will they never learn?

8 comments, Last at 30 Oct 2008, 7:36pm by bravehoptoad

Inside the Numbers: Seahawks at Buccaneers

Bit of a late upload on this one, due to technical difficulties. After finding six positive things to say about the Seahawks from the FO Premium Database, I tried to find a legitimate way in which Seattle could travel to Tampa and actually beat the Bucs. That would be a Farrar Fail, as every sign points to a slaughter. Ahoy!

1 comment, Last at 20 Oct 2008, 7:22am by BucNasty

Five Downs With DMN: Week 7

This week's five questions with the Dallas Morning News are...

6 comments, Last at 22 Oct 2008, 6:26pm by Sensitive Artist

Smarter Stats: The Value of Rushing Titles

This week's "Smarter Stats" column asks the question: Do NFL rushing champions rely on heavy doses of creampuff defenses? I went back through 10 years of rushing titles and applied basic success points based on opposing defensive DVOA. You might be surprised at the swing between the most and least difficult running back seasons, not to mention the names on both sides.

17 comments, Last at 15 Oct 2008, 6:03pm by Grafac

Inside the Numbers: Packers at Seahawks

This week's Seahawks preview for the Seattle Times sets up some key matchups in a game that neither team can afford to lose.

3 comments, Last at 13 Oct 2008, 6:12pm by Jacob Stevens

Dallas Morning News Week 6 Questions

This week's Five Downs with the Dallas Morning News answers...

5 comments, Last at 10 Oct 2008, 4:11pm by Anonymous

Why Scouts Need Stats

This week's "Smarter Stats" column for the Washington Post tries to bridge the gap between old school and new, and gives three reasons why those coaches who dismiss "stats guys" out of hand are missing the boat. Also: What Chris Chambers, Daryl Turner, and Weegie Thompson might have in common at season's end.

6 comments, Last at 08 Oct 2008, 10:45am by Tom Gower

DVOA Matchup: Redskins at Eagles

Here's the first Redskins game preview for the Washington Post. We'll be doing this every week through the season.

Inside the Numbers: Seahawks at Giants

This week's Seattle Times game preview details a Seahawks team getting its receivers back, and a Giants squad looking to follow the example of the Panthers by using a power running game to transcend the team-mandated suspension of its primary receiver.

1 comment, Last at 03 Oct 2008, 2:05pm by Jacob Stevens