Here's a big Super Bowl LV video preview from Football Outsiders and EdjSports. We discuss the big game from a number of angles, with DVOA stats, coaching analysis, and some prop bet picks from Scott Spratt. Why Bruce Arians needs to go for it more than usual, why we might not see a lot of Gronk, and more.
1 Home game for the Bucs
I wonder if after this game the NFL might name 2 sites for the game each year in case we have this same situation again. We have a team playing in their home stadium but their opponent has a better overall record in the Reg. Season. That goes completely against what teams are working for all year-hosting playoff games by overall record in the Reg. Season.
2 How about
How about if they use next year's site this year and then use this years site next year for example. Anything to avoid this years situation. Granted, it is not the home field advantage that it could have been, but still...don't reward the team that did not earn the advantage.
3 That's probably hard
especially if it's just a two week notice.
5 Imaginary Problem?
Are you guys trying to solve a problem that doesn't really exist? This happens every 50 years, and you want to create a rule to address a perceived problem? It's not like season ticket holders get to go to the game (OK, some might); I expect a 50/50 split of supporters in the crowd (such as it will be).
6 Super Bowl Home Field
What is the important advantage to playing at home, familiarity of surroundings or home crowd? If it's the latter, then the Super Bowl, especially this year, seems like it offers little fan assistance given how many tickets go to sponsors, league heads and the other 30 teams. If it's the former, I get what you're saying. However, as it's only happened once in 55 years, it seems like solution looking for a problem.
7 One big reason
The one big reason I thought it might become an issue is this-the Bucs are getting an advantage that they did not earn. Home field advantage in the playoffs is earned in the NFL by having a better Record than your opponent. Not in this game however.
8 Prop bets
Great call on Gronk receiving yards under. Interesting breakdown over the course of the season:
- Season-long Gronk avg 35.1 re yds
- Pre-bye Gronk avg 42.1 re yds
- Post-bye Gronk avg 23.0 re yds
- In games where Bucs rushed for 76 or more, Gronk avg 32.6 re yds (season-long)
Comments
8 comments, Last at 07 Feb 2021, 12:14pm