The Eagles quarterback's poor performance led to a loss against Tampa Bay in October. Can he play better in the playoffs and upend the defending Super Bowl Champs?
Yes, the Pittsburgh Steelers can win this weekend against Kansas City. But to do it, they'll need to force Patrick Mahomes to throw interceptions.
The Bills are healthier and have the quarterback with the higher ceiling. That gives them the advantage in this matchup of two of DVOA's favorite teams.
If Las Vegas is going to continue its winning ways, it's going to need to make Joe Burrow's life miserable in Cincinnati.
The top-line numbers suggest a Tampa Bay upset in Super Bowl LV, but the specific matchups point to favoring Kansas City. We cover everything from how each quarterback fares under pressure to different personnel groupings to how the Week 12 matchup might inform the strategies on Sunday.
Here's a big Super Bowl LV video preview from Football Outsiders and EdjSports. We discuss the big game from a number of angles, with DVOA stats, coaching analysis, and some prop bet picks from Scott Spratt. Why Bruce Arians needs to go for it more than usual, why we might not see a lot of Gronk, and more.
Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers will be just the second pair of quarterbacks with multiple MVP awards each to meet in the conference championship round of the playoffs -- but it's the other 94 players and their coaches who may determine who wins.
The Bills have improved on defense since they kept the Chiefs somewhat contained with a very conservative strategy back in Week 6. But if they want to make it to Super Bowl LV, their offense has to play well enough to outscore the powerful Kansas City attack.
Football Outsiders and our partners at EdjSports have put together this video preview of the conference championships, previewing both games with advanced stats and coaching breakdowns. (Click for video.)
Patrick Mahomes is shooting for his second straight Super Bowl title. The biggest remaining Cinderella, Cleveland, will be standing in his way. On the other side of the bracket, Baltimore and Buffalo present a excellent matchup of two well-rounded teams that have peaked in recent weeks.