Football Outsiders and our partners at EdjSports have put together this video preview of wild-card weekend, previewing all six games with advanced stats and coaching breakdowns. (Click for video.)
Offense is generally more predictive than defense, and passing is stronger than rushing. That points to Kansas City as the favorite in Super Bowl LIV. But the San Francisco offense won't go quietly and has some major advantages on the other side of this matchup.
The Chiefs have reached the AFC Championship Game for the second consecutive season. The Titans are here for the first time since 2002. Can Derrick Henry's incredible playoff performance continue? And is there any way Tennessee can slow down Patrick Mahomes?
Eight weeks ago, the 49ers demolished the Packers 37-8. What went wrong for Green Bay in that game, and how do they change things to win the NFC Championship as underdogs this Sunday? It starts with improving both offense and defense on downfield passes.
The NFC divisional round is set up to be closer than the AFC, as the Vikings match up well with San Francisco and the Seahawks may have been better than Green Bay during the regular season.
The divisional round reintroduces the Ravens and Chiefs to the AFC playoff picture. And while their regular-season success and Vegas spreads make them the overwhelming favorites to face each other in the AFC Championship Game, the Titans have a running back and the Texans have a quarterback who could easily play spoiler.
The first NFC wild-card game on Sunday sees perhaps the conference's best playoff team looking to avoid an upset. The second game sees perhaps its worst playoff team looking to defend its home turf.
Saturday of Wild-Card Weekend should be compelling with a pair of matchups between AFC teams with competing strengths and weaknesses.
Two teams with very strong offensive lines, a lot of play-action passes, and trouble stopping the run. Youth will take on experience, both at the quarterback position and the head coach position. The closest Super Bowl matchup we've ever measured using weighted DVOA. Where does each team have an advantage when the Los Angeles Rams take on the New England Patriots in Super Bowl LIII?
Hold that shootout narrative for a moment! Over the last three months, the New Orleans Saints are the one remaining NFL team that could really play good defense. That should lead them to a win over Los Angeles and a trip to Super Bowl LIII. But what if Drew Brees struggles like he has since the start of December? And what will the presence of Aqib Talib really mean for slowing down the unguardable Michael Thomas?