Writers of Pro Football Prospectus 2008


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2017 Adjusted Games Lost

Two NFC teams were hit hardest by injuries last year. One already set the AGL record in 2016, while the other has a coach with the worst AGL since 2002. Also: the Rams' incredible bill of health in L.A., and Tampa Bay's questionable injury reporting.

Recent Features

Football Outsiders Features

Super Bowl LII DVOA/Quick Reads

Here are all our advanced numbers from Super Bowl LII. As you can imagine, the offensive numbers are pretty high. The Patriots end up with the higher DVOA, but that's not how games get decided.

40 comments, Last Comment at 10:05am by Andysingh

Feb 05, 2018 06:50am by Vincent Verhei || read all DVOA Rankings and Analysis articles

Film Room: Rob Gronkowski

The skeleton key in New England's offense, Gronk is a matchup nightmare for any defense -- and an especially difficult opponent for the Philadelphia Eagles.

8 comments, Last Comment at 21 Feb 2018, 9:02pm by Obat Pembesar Penis

Jan 31, 2018 03:18pm by Derrik Klassen || read all Film Room articles

Word of Muth: Getting the Job Done

Philadelphia's offensive line wasn't perfect against Minnesota, but did enough to lead the Eagles to an NFC championship -- and there's reason to believe they'll be even more effective in the Super Bowl.

2 comments, Last Comment at 02 Feb 2018, 5:43pm by Sifter

Feb 01, 2018 10:26am by Ben Muth || read all Word Of Muth articles

QR Bonus: Keys To Beating Philadelphia

The Patriots won't necessarily need a big game from Tom Brady to win the Super Bowl -- but the Eagles absolutely will need one from Nick Foles.

26 comments, Last Comment at 21 Feb 2018, 8:15pm by Obat Pembesar Penis

Jan 30, 2018 11:46am GMT by Vincent Verhei || read all Quick Reads articles

Audibles at the Line: Super Bowl LII

The Philadelphia Eagles dethrone the New England Patriots in a game that sets the all-time record for most total yards from scrimmage.

260 comments, Last Comment at 08 Feb 2018, 10:46am by Pat

Feb 05, 2018 12:22am GMT by Andrew Potter || read all Audibles articles

FEI Final Ratings

Another year, another Alabama championship. Is it a good thing for the sport of college football that one program is so dominant over its competition?


Jan 10, 2018 06:32pm by Brian Fremeau || read all Fremeau Efficiency Ratings Articles

OFI: Freshmen Propel Alabama

Replacing starter Jalen Hurts, Alabama quarterback Tua Tagavailoa threw a 41-yard walk-off touchdown pass to fellow freshman DeVonta Smith on second-and-26 in overtime for yet another Alabama championship.

12 comments, Last Comment at 10 Jan 2018, 2:27pm by Anger...rising

Jan 09, 2018 12:47pm by Chad Peltier || read all One Foot Inbounds articles

SDA: National Championship Preview

Most expected Georgia to face Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. We're finally getting that matchup, but the stakes are even higher than anticipated.


Jan 07, 2018 02:53pm by Ian Boyd || read all 7th Day Adventure articles

Any Given Sunday: Jaguars Over Steelers

Wow, an underdog upset the Steelers? Get out of town -- then, head to New England, for the AFC Championship Game.

12 comments, Last Comment at 19 Jan 2018, 11:31am by sbond101

Jan 16, 2018 02:55pm GMT by Rivers McCown || read all Any Given Sunday articles

The Month in Quotes: February 2018

It's combine time, which means NFL discussion is focused on the usual matters: cryptocurrency, Flat Earth conspiracies, fake IDs, and malt liquor.

11 comments, Last Comment at 11 Mar 2018, 5:47pm by Bright Blue Shorts

Mar 03, 2018 11:33am by Cale Clinton || read all The Week in Quotes articles

Scramble for the Ball: Parting is Such Sweet Sorrow

Bryan and Andrew say good-bye to the 2017 season by looking back at the staff's preseason predictions. Also: a record-setting Prop Bets result!

19 comments, Last Comment at 12 Feb 2018, 10:29am by idembsky

Feb 07, 2018 11:02am by Bryan Knowles and Andrew Potter || read all Scramble articles

Most Recent Articles

23 Mar 2018, 12:49pm by Aaron Schatz

QBASE 2018 (ESPN version)

Here are our QBASE projections for the Class of 2018. Baker Mayfield ends up with one of the best QBASE projections of all-time, and Josh Allen has one of the worst projections ever for a first-round pick. Everyone else is grouped in the middle. This will also run here on FO late next week.

» More...

2 comments, Last at 9:58am by Andysingh

22 Mar 2018, 02:36pm by Scott Kacsmar

2017 Adjusted Games Lost

Two NFC teams were hit hardest by injuries last year. One already set the AGL record in 2016, while the other has a coach with the worst AGL since 2002. Also: the Rams' incredible bill of health in L.A., and Tampa Bay's questionable injury reporting.

» More...

7 comments, Last at 10:00am by Andysingh

21 Mar 2018, 12:05pm by Derrik Klassen

Futures: Josh Rosen

UCLA's quarterback clearly has the talent to succeed as an NFL starter. The question is whether or not he can avoid enough mistakes to become a superstar.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 23 Mar 2018, 11:12am by garion333

19 Mar 2018, 03:35pm by Guest

Defense and Rest Time

Do defenses really wear out over the course of a game? Do defenses benefit from long drives that give them more time to rest on the sideline? Guest columnist Ben Baldwin investigates.

» More...

30 comments, Last at 23 Mar 2018, 3:23pm by Pat

16 Mar 2018, 11:16am by Charles McDonald

Futures: Maurice Hurst

A heart condition discovered at the combine has put the Michigan lineman's career in limbo, but Hurst had the best film of any defensive tackle in this year's draft class.

» More...

1 comment, Last at 10:07am by Andysingh

15 Mar 2018, 12:26pm by Zach Binney

Weight and Injuries

NFL football is a violent game, and traumatic injuries are unfortunate but unavoidable. But are bigger players more likely to be hurt than their smaller peers?

» More...

16 comments, Last at 21 Mar 2018, 12:03pm by justanothersteve

12 Mar 2018, 11:50am by Guest

Situational Play-Action Passing in the NFL

What down and distance make the most sense for play-action passes? And does it matter whether the quarterback is under center or in the shotgun? Guest columnist Ben Baldwin explores.

» More...

10 comments, Last at 15 Mar 2018, 1:31pm by ChrisS

09 Mar 2018, 11:09am by Derrik Klassen

Four Downs: AFC West

If you are an unemployed defensive player, you would be wise to send your resume to the Chiefs, Chargers, or Raiders. As for Denver, they will try to replace Peyton Manning for the third year in a row.

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10 comments, Last at 14 Mar 2018, 5:59pm by BaldColumbian

08 Mar 2018, 12:33pm by Derrik Klassen

Futures: Minkah Fitzpatrick

Man-to-man. Zone coverage. Run-stuffing. Pass-rushing. Alabama's Swiss Army knife defensive back can do it all, which makes him especially valuable in a league based on matchups and versatility.

» More...

5 comments, Last at 12 Mar 2018, 1:40pm by Guest789

07 Mar 2018, 01:31pm by Rivers McCown

ESPN: The Two Teams That Must Sign Kirk Cousins

The Minnesota Vikings may be the favorites to sign Kirk Cousins, but Arizona and Denver could use him even more.

» More...

10 comments, Last at 13 Mar 2018, 9:07pm by BravoSix

06 Mar 2018, 12:13pm by Andrew Potter

Four Downs: AFC South

No longer a laughingstock, this division last year produced two teams that won playoff games and the league's most exciting rookie passer, and now the Colts are getting Andrew Luck back. Here's where each club needs to get better in 2018.

» More...

16 comments, Last at 10:08am by Andysingh

05 Mar 2018, 01:02pm by Robert Weintraub

Four Downs: AFC North

Why yes, come to think of it, the Browns could use a good quarterback. Baltimore and Cincinnati need help on offense too, while Pittsburgh's secondary could use a boost.

» More...


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